Commentary Magazine


An Iran Dot?

A new National Intelligence Estimate states that Iran halted its nuclear-weapons program in 2003.

Just two years ago, a previous NIE had stated that the intelligence community assesses “with high confidence that Iran currently is determined to develop nuclear weapons despite its international obligations and international pressure, but we do not assess that Iran is immovable.”

What accounts for this about face, a disavowal of a judgment reached with “high confidence”? Here is one dot from July. Is it connected to the new NIE?