Sometimes a chart says it all. Check out this one showing the recent polling data for Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton. On average, according to RealClearPolitics, her lead is less than 5 points, but you have to go back to pre-Pennsylvania to find a result where Obama led outside the margin of error. And there isn’t any poll after the National Press Club disaster where Obama leads. This is problematic for a candidate who boasts a home field advantage (25% of Indiana is in the Chicago media market). He’s said that “People are a little more familiar with me in Indiana.” But it seems that as more and more Indiana voters focus on the race, his poll numbers go down. In the post-Wright-eruption atmosphere, the question remains whether this is as bad as it will get or whether things have yet to hit rock bottom.
And one final note. Should Clinton win, it will show that, for all the talk of her unpopularity with the Democratic establishment, three heavyweights (Strickland in Ohio, Rendell in Pennsylvania, and Bayh in Indiana) may have rescued her from oblivion.