When people speak of possible Republican candidates for president in2012 who have not yet declared, one name that was on everyone’s lips four years ago is now
conspicuous by its absence: Rudy Giuliani.
In 2007 the former mayor was a top-tier candidate with a major following and a good case to be made that he was a man with proven administrative success as well as a serious record on foreign policy. When anyone thinks about him and the presidency now, what immediately comes to mind is the one example of genuine wit from Joe Biden, who quipped that a Giuliani sentence consisted of a noun, a verb, and 9/11. The memory of the expensive fiasco that Giuliani’s presidential campaign turned out to be, however, is apparently not enough to squelch interest in his ambitions.
At the end of a Meet the Press session devoted to 9/11 and the death of bin Laden yesterday, David Gregory asked Giuliani whether recent events had affected his “thinking about running for president next year.” The two things are “separate,” Giuliani said, but then he conceded that he was thinking about running.
Although Giuliani has many admirers (I count myself as one), the question has to be why the mayor is even thinking such thoughts. Politics is a strange business, but the scenario for a Giuliani victory in the GOP primaries was shaky enough in 2008 when the prospect of the party’s nominating a man whose liberal record on social issues such as abortion and gays might have theoretically been offset by his appeal on other issues. After the swift collapse of that run, though, it is hard to imagine how he could prevail in 2012 under circumstances that are, if anything, even less inviting for someone with his record on government and social issues. But hope—or the illusion of hope—springs eternal in the minds of most politicians.



