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Recent Gallup Poll Not Surprising

According to the most recent Gallup Poll,  registered voters by a “significant margin” now say they are more likely to vote for the “Republican Party’s candidate for president” than for President  Obama in the 2012 election. The margin is eight points — 47 percent v. 39 percent. And among the all-important Independents, Obama’s gap is double digits (44 percent v. 34 percent).

In Gallup’s understated conclusion, “President Obama’s re-election prospects do not look very favorable at this point — if the election were held today, as measured by the generic presidential ballot.”

That’s quite right. It’s highly unusual for an incumbent president to be trailing by this large a margin in the summer of his third year. And it’s not good for his re-election prospects to be drawing support from less than 40 percent of the public.

None of this is surprising. Our sickly economy continues to exert a downward pull on this president, just as it would on any president. Obama is not exempt from the rules that apply to everyone else.


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