According to the Pew Research Center, Republicans now have the advantage over Democrats across virtually all groups of white voters.
A two-point Republican edge among whites in 2008 (46 percent to 44 percent) has widened to a 13-point lead today (52 percent to 39 percent). Among whites 18-to-29 years old, a seven point lead for Democrats in 2008 (49 v. 42) has now turned to a nine point lead for Republicans (52 v. 41). And the drop in support for Democrats among working class whites (a 15-point Democratic advantage among whites earning less than $30,000 annually has swung to a four-point Republican edge today) has been startling as well. This is particularly crucial to the president’s re-election efforts, because working class white voters are extremely influential in the Midwest.
The one trend that’s troubling for the GOP, at least in the long term, is the drop of support among Hispanics (from 66 v. 28 percent in favor of Democrats in 2008 to 64 v. 22 percent among Hispanics in 2011). But overall, the polling data from Pew – like the polling data from virtually every other polling group – is bad news for the president and his re-election team.