Commentary Magazine


Posts For: September 7, 2011

The GOP Race is Going to be a Snore

The big story at the Republican debate at the Reagan Library was Rick Perry’s debut on the presidential stage. The question for the GOP was whether the Texas governor who vaulted to a huge lead after entering the race last month could sustain that margin in the heat of the battle. The answer was that by the end of the evening nothing had changed. Despite constant attacks from his opponents, Perry is still way ahead and set up to win the nomination easily.

Mitt Romney will skewer Perry for calling Social Security a “Ponzi scheme” and Democrats will hammer him on that point in a general election. But nothing he said will hurt him in the GOP primaries. Though Romney will attempt to gain traction as the more electable Republican, his failure to dent Perry’s armor bodes ill for his hopes to overcome the Texan’s enormous advantage with the conservative voters who make up the GOP base.

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Live Blog: The GOP Debate

The debate ends abruptly and the situation at the end is no different from where we were at the start: Rick Perry’s huge lead is intact. His challengers not only failed to dent his armor, he went on the offensive throughout the debate and emerged without any serious mistakes. Mitt Romney came off well but as long as he is defending his health care plan he is losing. Similarly, Michele Bachmann didn’t do badly but also made no progress against Perry. The bottom line: Perry’s huge lead is unlikely to be going down any time soon. This is apparent already with MSNBC commentators treating him as the presumed GOP candidate in 2012 and starting their attacks on him as “anti-science” and intemperate. But whether they are right about his problems in a general election is a question for another day. Right now, Perry is well on his way to the nomination.

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Getting Ready for Perry

Tonight’s Republican presidential debate presents both opportunities and dangers for the eight candidates who will appear. This is Rick Perry’s debut on the debating stage and the scrutiny on the Texas governor who has emerged as the frontrunner will be intense. His opponents are hoping he will falter but that just means that all he has to do to succeed is to stay on his feet.

But it would be a mistake to think that Mitt Romney and Michele Bachmann who have both slumped since Perry’s entry have nothing to gain here. Both have a chance to stand out and connect with the voters tonight especially if Perry proves unequal to the competition on this level.

Obama Has Lost Both Power and Mystique

Politico.com has published a story whose title says it all: “The Incredible Shrinking Obama.”

It cites recent polls which, according to reporters Glenn Thrush and Carrie Budoff Brown, told “the same sorry tale – the avatar of hope and change, the slayer of Osama bin Laden, the president with dreams of a billion-dollar reelection campaign – is losing popular support and bleeding political power 15 months ahead of Election Day.” And that’s more or less the positive part of the story for the president.

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U.S. Must Stand Firm on Defense

Much of the commemoration of 9/11 has been highly sentimental, not to say soft-headed, focusing on compelling stories of courage and grief. But there are also broader issues of public policy worth examining on this 10-year anniversary. One of them is the state of our armed forces 10 years after the worst terrorist attacks in history.

The U.S. military has made some mistakes in the last decade—some of them, in Iraq, of great significance—but on the whole it has performed magnificently–notwithstanding the considerable hardship endured by those in uniform. The question is whether we will retain those hard-won military capacities for the next decade. We might not, because Washington is in a budget-cutting mood, and the defense budget looks ripe for sacrifice even as sacred cows such as Medicare and Social Security go untouched. This is a dangerous development—one that could do more damage to our military capacity than any foe our military has faced in the past decade.

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About Those Missing Libyan Missiles…

I’m stuck at the Louisville airport watching CNN. There is truth to a comedian’s quip I once heard to the effect of Fox News’ slogan is “fair and balanced,” MSNBC’s slogan  is “lean forward,” and CNN’s is “If you’re watching us, your flight is delayed.” One of the major stories is about the apparent looting of Libya’s arsenal, including a load of surface-to-air missiles which, if they fall into the wrong hands, could threaten helicopters and civilian jetliners.

What is striking is the inconsistency with which the media are reporting this story in contrast to the manner in which they reported the alleged looting of an arms cache in al-Qa’qaa. The New York Times broke that story shortly before the 2004 presidential elections, and most major media outlets and pundits attributed the looting to incompetence on the part of President Bush. Certainly, if the military failed to guard al-Qa’qaa, there should be accountability for that failure. But after the Times’ breathless story, subsequent reporting suggested there might be less than met the eye.

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Questions Turkey and its Apologists Must Answer

Emanuele Ottolenghi is correct to note and report the harassment of Israelis arriving at Istanbul’s Ataturk Airport. Yusuf Kanli, a columnist for Hurriyet, reported the incident and takes up the Turkish harassment of Israelis from a different perspective and asks some great questions:

An officious deputy Istanbul governor – who unfortunately is serving as the “highest administrative official” at Istanbul’s Atatürk Airport – apparently decided to defend the “national honor” of Turkey by ordering customs police to apply the famous “reciprocity principle” to arriving Israeli citizens and question them why they wanted to visit Turkey…

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Proof That the War on Terror Was Successful

At Slate, Anne Applebaum is really upset about the war on terror. It’s not that it wasn’t effective in keeping America safe and degrading al-Qaeda. That much she readily acknowledges. She’s upset, rather, because the war on terror failed to resolve issues outside the scope of the war on terror. All issues outside the scope of the war on terror. Honest. That’s the gist of her take. She writes that “the war on terror was far too narrow a prism through which to see the entire planet” before using the war on terror as a prism through which to see the entire planet.

In our single-minded focus on Islamic fanaticism, we missed, for example, the transformation of China from a commercial power into an ambitious political power. We failed to appreciate the significance of economic growth in China’s neighborhood, too. When President George W. Bush traveled in Asia in the wake of 9/11, he spoke to his Malaysian and Indonesia interlocutors about their resident terrorist cells. His Chinese colleagues, meanwhile, talked business and trade.

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Live Blogging the GOP Debate Tonight

Join us tonight as senior online editor Jonathan S. Tobin live blogs the Republican presidential debate at the Reagan Library. So tune in to MSNBC at 8 pm and then log on to Commentarymagazine.com for live insights as eight GOP contenders have at it in their first confrontation since Texas Rick Perry joined the race last month.

Best Baseball Books

After reading my last post, John Podhoretz wrote privately to insist that the two best baseball books are Ring Lardner’s You Know Me Al and The Kid from Tomkinsville. He’s got an argument for John R. Tunis’s novel, even though it is a boy’s book. Joseph Epstein has made the best case possible for Tunis in a lovely essay for COMMENTARY nearly a quarter century ago. The book was also the subject of a superb passage of literary criticism, one of the best pieces of criticism ever written, in Philip Roth’s American Pastoral. After summarizing the book’s plot (and demonstrating that plot summary can itself be high art), Nathan Zuckerman explains that he read Tunis’s book at ten and “had never read anything like it.” Many years older, he says it could as well have been called The Lamb from Tomkinsville, even The Lamb from Tomkinsville Led to the Slaughter. He settles upon calling it “the boys’ Book of Job.”

Tunis’s moral concerns may not appeal to sophisticated 21st-century readers, although I am reading aloud Highpockets, a later Tunis about a cocky outfielder who accidentally strikes a child with the car he was awarded for winning Rookie of the Year, and my eight-year-old twins are eating it up.

About Lardner’s novel I am less sure. His son John Lardner, a marvelous writer in his own right, claimed that he had never read another piece of baseball fiction, besides his father’s, “in which there was no technical mistake.” Maybe so, but there is not a lot of technical knowledge on display either. Jack Keefe is a rookie pitcher for the Chicago White Sox. He tells of one time that he faced the great Ty Cobb:

Cobb came pranceing up like he always does and yells Give me that slow one Boy. So I says All right. But I fooled him. Instead of giveing him a slow one like I said I was going I handed him a spitter. He hit it all right but it was a line drive right in [Hal] Chase’s hands. He says Pretty lucky Boy but I will get you next time. I says Yes you will.

Lardner was more interested in baseball language, I think, than in the technical aspects of the game. He knew the technical aspects, though, and their shadowy presence beneath the plot, like the proverbial three-fourths of an iceberg below the surface, give the novel its unquestionable substance. The lack of baseball knowledge is what makes The Natural such a terrible baseball book.

Despite John’s prodding, I’ll stick with Mark Harris’s Southpaw as the best baseball novel of all time, although maybe it would be better to call it one of the five best.

Dems’ New Political Language

According to The Hill, Representative Nancy Pelosi and House Democrats have dropped the word “stimulus” from their vocabulary.

“Though the House minority leader and her caucus are still pushing an economic stimulus agenda to save the economy, they’ve radically changed their rhetoric with the hope of winning over voters who saw ‘stimulus’ as close to a dirty word,” the story reports. “Democrats are now being careful to frame their job-creation agenda in language excluding references to any stimulus, even though their favored policies for ending the deepest recession since the Great Depression are largely the same.”

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Chance of New Stimulus Passing “Less Than Zero,” Says GOP Aide

We’re only hearing vague details about what’s in Obama’s rumored $300 billion stimulus plan, but there are already plenty of reasons to doubt it will get past Republicans in Congress.

It’s hard to imagine GOP lawmakers passing a watered-down carbon copy of the reviled 2009 stimulus, after the conservative movement spent so much energy criticizing the last one. Even if Republicans in Congress wanted to support it – which is doubtful – the conservative movement wouldn’t let them get away with it.

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Hezbollah’s Ally Wants to See it Destroyed

Nabih Berri is Lebanon’s speaker of parliament. His political party, Amal, is a secular Shia movement and a corrupt political machine with a small and not terribly fearsome militia. It is aligned with Hezbollah and Bashar al-Assad’s Baath Party regime in Syria. Berri dispatched men to fight alongside Hezbollah during its invasion of Beirut in May 2008. He is as staunch an ally of Hezbollah as the Party of God could ever dream of acquiring from a secular Lebanese party even if he and its secretary general Hassan Nasrallah are both at least nominal Shias.

Yet Berri wished to see Hezbollah destroyed by the Israel Defense Forces in 2006.

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Israel’s Borders: It’s Complicated

Readers of the New York Times are often frustrated and offended by the pervasive bias in its coverage of Israel, in which the paper tends to present every conflict as an example of Israel refusing to take obvious action to alleviate a simple injustice. But every once in a while, the paper publishes what I like to call an “Imagine that!” story, in which its reporters finally delve into an issue and find that its pro-Israel readers were right all along.

Today, the Times carries such a story. I’m not sure it can top the best such article, which Ethan Bronner and Isabel Kershner co-authored in September 2009. Headlined “Resolve of West Bank Settlers May Have Limits,” Bronner and Kershner begin by repeating the sort of simpleminded conventional wisdom about “dangerous” Jews living in the West Bank. But then–four decades after the Six-Day War–the reporters ventured out to interview settlers. Here is what they found:

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The Amazing Adventures of a Novel in Manuscript

Three years ago Keith Gessen wrote All the Sad Young Literary Men, a comic novel about three young writers trying (though not very hard) to forge a literary career. The founding editor of n+1, a very good literary magazine, Gessen has now written a journalistic account that covers the same territory — with success rather than failure (or, at least, procrastination and delay) as its theme. How a Book Is Born: The Making of “The Art of Fielding” is the story of Chad Harbach’s debut novel, which is being released today by Little, Brown, from its origins in a creative writing classroom to the 35-year-old author’s $650,000 advance. Gessen originally wrote the story for Vanity Fair, but he has now expanded it into an ebook.

Harbach’s novel is already being compared to Bernard Malamud’s tall tale The Natural and Mark Harris’s pretend autobiography The Southpaw, a book that a couple of us called the best baseball novel of all time. Since Malamud and Harris have little in common besides baseball as a subject, the comparison is not particularly enlightening.

Harbach sounds like a regular fellow, and some of Gessen’s excitement is commendable happiness for a friend’s good fortune. (Harbach cofounded n+1 along with Gessen.) Nevertheless, the celebration over Harbach’s huge advance — four times larger than Michael Chabon’s for The Mysteries of Pittsburgh, the largest ever for a first novel and astounding to old literary hands at the time — suggests just how far the conception of a literary career has drifted from the years after the Second World War when modernism was an accomplished fact, creative writing was not yet the standard training and common experience for young writers just starting out, and according to the late Malcolm Bradbury (born this day in 1932),

the literary imagination, rich, generous and humane . . . came to be identified as the central, pluralistic, comprehensive (or as F. R. Leavis would put it “mature”) form of intellectual exploration and concern. In its scepticism and empiricism, its irony and ambiguity, its great moral and analytical power, in its concern with selfhood and the human person and the personal relation to society, in its passion to know and discover, to love and to dream, to criticize and to understand, literature in its liberal, humanistic and educative functions became important, and it also became culturally redefined.

No man but a blockhead ever wrote except for money, I know. And the reminder that economic realities undergird all human activities, even the tussle with irony and ambiguity, has the virtue of checking much of the shallow eloquence of literary criticism. I know that too. Even so, I am nostalgic for a culture in which the publication of a new book was an event because of its literary ambitions, because it was important, and not because of the size of its author’s advance. Call me square.

American Legion Will Oppose Flag Bill

Rumor has it the American Legion will oppose the flag bill I wrote about here, as the House of Representatives tries to pass it on suspension, usually reserved for non-controversial bills.

The House version (HR 2061) is sponsored by Rep Richard Hanna (R-NY-24), and has the support of some 20-odd congressmen. An opponent to the bill points me to this blog post, asking if there is an inherent difference between military and civil service, and noting how many diplomats refuse to work in Iraq, Africa, and other areas critical to U.S. diplomacy. The House Committee report references the honors we give soldiers and says this bill aims to make up for the lack of the same honors for bureaucrats. The State Department, however, gives numerous meritorious service certificates and other power point honors.

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Obama’s Rhetoric: Cynical, Hypocritical and Now Untrue?

As Alana just wrote, two days ago, President Obama made this claim: “We said working folks deserved a break, so within one month of me taking office, we signed into law the biggest middle-class tax cut in history, putting more money into your pockets.” Glenn Kessler, the Washington Post’s fact-checker, calls that claim “ridiculous” and a “whopper,” which is a colloquial way of saying Obama’s claim is a lie.

Perhaps this is what a desperate president does at times like these. But Obama needs to be careful; if he isn’t, the public will not only turn on him because of his manifest incompetence (which Americans are doing in rather large numbers these days), but also because of his deeply flawed public character.

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Obama’s Middle-Class Tax Cut Fabrication

At the Washington Post, Glenn Kessler catches a dubious claim from Obama’s Labor Day speech:

“Everything we’ve done, it’s been thinking about you. We said working folks deserved a break—so within one month of me taking office, we signed into law the biggest middle-class tax cut in history, putting more money into your pockets.” (Emphasis added.)

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Abbas’ Revealing Statement

Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas is routinely lauded as a “moderate” and a peace-seeker, because unlike Hamas, he generally refrains from openly calling for Israel’s destruction. But anyone who believes he doesn’t share this goal should pay close attention to what he told a group of journalists and Israeli intellectuals on Monday. Amid all the soothing bromides about continued security cooperation and the importance of negotiations was one highly revealing sentence: When the Palestinians seek UN recognition as a state later this month, “We are going to complain that as Palestinians we have been under occupation for 63 years.”

For anyone who needs reminding, Israel’s “occupation” of the West Bank and Gaza began 44 years ago, in 1967. What happened 63 years ago was Israel’s establishment – in the pre-1967 borders. In other words, as far as Abbas is concerned, the problem isn’t Israel’s “occupation” of the West Bank, it’s Israel’s very existence: Even pre-1967 Israel constitutes an “occupation.”

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Obama’s $300 Billion Stimulus

If Obama’s plan for economic recovery sounds familiar, that’s because it is. Despite the 2009 Recovery Act’s failure to curtail unemployment or jumpstart the economic recovery as promised,  Obama will reportedly propose another $300 billion stimulus that includes many of the same ideas:

“To put Americans to work, we’ll create millions of new green jobs and invest in rebuilding our nation’s infrastructure,” Obama proclaimed in March 2008. “It’s an agenda that starts with providing a stimulus that will reach the most vulnerable Americans, including immediate relief to areas hardest hit by the housing crisis and a significant extension of unemployment insurance for those who are out of work.” …

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