Commentary Magazine


Posts For: September 14, 2011

Electoral College Hysteria

Some left-wing pundits are going off the deep end today because of the proposal mooted by Pennsylvania State Senate Majority Leader Dominic Pileggi that would divide the state’s electoral votes in future presidential elections by congressional districts rather than a winner-take-all system as currently exists in 48 out of the 50 states. For writers like the Washington Monthly’s Steve Benen or the Washington Post’s Jonathan Bernstein, it’s a nefarious GOP plot to steal the next election and part of a concerted effort to disenfranchise Democrats.

One needn’t be in favor of the proposal to see this reaction as an example of liberal hysteria rather than a serious critique. Though probably misguided, splitting a state’s electoral votes along those lines is not illegal. It is already the case in Maine and Nebraska, without democracy being threatened. As for its impact on the next election, though it might benefit the GOP if Pennsylvania did it without being copied by any other large states, were the practice to be applied everywhere in the country, it is far from clear either party could count on it providing an edge in a presidential election.

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Panic, Then Rage Ahead for Democrats

According to White House spokesman Jay Carney, the results of the historic Democratic defeat in NY-9 had nothing whatever to do with the president. When asked by a reporter how it could be viewed as anything other than a referendum on the president, Carney said,  “Special elections are often unique and their outcomes do not tell you very much about future regularly scheduled elections.” He added, “Oone election in what had been a Democratic seat is unique to that district, to the circumstances around what created — that caused the special election to take place. And judge it as you will, I think it’s a very specific case in a specific district in, obviously, a very low turnout election.”

Here’s the problem with that spin: it’s not true.

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The “Vatican Option” and the Palestinians

With the United States certain to veto a resolution calling for Palestinian statehood in the United States Security Council, more attention is being given to the impact of a vote on the same issue in the General Assembly. The GA doesn’t have the power to create a sovereign state, but it can upgrade the Palestinians’ current status at the UN from a non-member “observer entity” to a non-member “observer state.” That would give the Palestinians the same status at the world body as the Vatican. That means it could become a member of a variety of UN organizations such as UNESCO, UNICEF and the World Health Organization. Some observers see this “Vatican option” as a reasonable compromise, but a comparison between the Vatican and the Palestinian Authority ought to put this initiative in perspective.

The Vatican actually is a tiny yet sovereign state that controls a small amount of territory in Rome and is allowed the courtesy of observer status because of the respect due to a venerable church and its charitable institutions. But although the origins of the Papal state were in the power politics of Italy during the medieval era, unlike the putative Palestine, the Vatican does not harbor any ambition to take over its immediate neighbor. Nor does it form part of a unity coalition with an Islamist terrorist group or honor terrorists or pay them pensions, as does the PA.

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Columbia U. Threatened With Lawsuit Over Ahmadinejad Visit; UPDATE: Columbia Responds, No Visit

See update below from Columbia University spokesperson, who says the school never “planned or considered” hosting a dinner for Iranian President Ahmadinejad.

Columbia University has hosted Iranian President Ahmadinejad in years past, but the upcoming banquet it’s reportedly planning for the universally-loathed leader might not go as smoothly this time around.

An Israeli law center is vowing to hit Columbia University with massive lawsuits if it goes ahead with the banquet, according to a letter the legal group sent to university president Lee Bollinger and obtained by COMMENTARY:

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Kudos to Diplomats Crocker and Ford

Diplomats too often get caricatured as wimps in striped pants. The reality is that a substantial number of civilian representatives have performed commendably in the face of considerable danger during the past decade—not as many as were needed perhaps, but those who volunteered to go “down range” were often a profile in courage. Two of the best diplomats to emerge out of the cauldron are Ryan Crocker and Robert Ford—two veteran Arabists who served very capably in Iraq. Crocker is now ambassador in Afghanistan, Ford in Syria, and they are showing some welcome backbone in the performance of their arduous duties.

Here is how Crocker reacted to the terrorist assault on his embassy yesterday: “If this is the best [the Taliban] can do, I find both their lack of ability and capacity and the ability of Afghan forces to respond to it actually encouraging in this whole transition process.”

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Weprin Blames Obama for NY-9 Loss

Some Democrats are arguing that the NY-9 race doesn’t mean anything for Obama’s 2012 chances. But according to David Weprin, the Democratic candidate who lost the NY-9 race to Republican Bob Turner, Obama has “major problems” in New York.

Weprin blamed Obama’s unpopularity and Israel issues for his failed bid during an interview with Washington Jewish Week’s Adam Kredo:

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Perry Holds Lead Despite Ponzi Potshots

The last week has been a rocky one for Rick Perry, as he became his rivals’ piñata during two Republican presidential debates. Perry showed himself to be an inexpert debater, especially when compared to the polished Mitt Romney and the passionate Michele Bachmann. After amassing huge leads in the days after his entry in the race in late August, he has spent the last few days fending off attacks for calling Social Security a Ponzi scheme. The Texas governor also been forced to play defense for his executive order mandating vaccinations of girls against cervical cancer.

But despite all of that, and dire predictions from unsympathetic observers that his perch atop the field would be short-lived, the latest poll shows his lead is undiminished. In a survey conducted from September 8-11, Democratic pollster Public Policy Polling shows him maintaining a whopping 31-18-percentage point edge over Romney. Romney’s camp may try to spin this poll as evidence Perry has stopped surging, because it merely shows him holding his ground rather than expanding his advantage. But with so many candidates still actively campaigning, it is still an astonishing feat for Perry to have gained the support of nearly a third of all Republicans. Though Perry did himself little good at the last two debates, Romney faces a steep uphill climb to even get close to the Texan because of his unpopularity with the GOP core and Tea Partiers.

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Next Election Will Determine Future of Health Care and Defense

I asked an investor in the health-care sector last night about the impact of Obamacare. He pointed out to me that it hasn’t really been implemented yet and won’t be until after the next election. He predicted that, with Republicans likely to take control of the Senate, it will never be implemented in its original form. But of course much will depend on the outcome of the next election—not only for Congress but for president. The same is true when it comes to the defense budget.

Yesterday, I testified before the House Armed Services Committee about the catastrophic consequences of “sequestration”—the process whereby Congress may whack up to $600 billion from the defense budget later this year unless an alternative can be found. This would be on top of the roughly $465 billion in cuts already announced this year. If implemented, this would make it impossible for the armed forces to maintain our current security commitments and could well cripple America’s standing as a superpower. But, as anyone who knows anything about Washington will tell you, a current budget does not dictate spending more than a year out.

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Defeats and Victories Not Recorded in the Annals of History

If it were published today John Williams’s novel Stoner would be labeled “literary fiction.” Because it was published 46 years ago, it’s called a classic — at least by NYRB Books, which keeps it in print under the classic designation — and for many readers, that may be even worse.

Williams’s book suggests how much is lost by dismissing any novel that does not fit into a ready-made marketing niche as “fiction where not very much happens to people who aren’t very interesting.” It’s true that Stoner probably won’t appeal to readers who are looking mainly for feats of physical derring-do, intricate plot twists leading to a panting climax, or paranoid obsessions that scare them silly. It’s also true that Williams’s persons are not very important, nor do they suddenly find themselves in extremis.

Williams’s achievement is of a different order, and far more impressive. Stoner takes an outwardly nondescript life, the sort of life that many of us want to escape into fiction, and demonstrates that the real drama of human experience is in the daily refusal to escape, the uninterrupted renunciation of extreme situations, the muted decision to stay and do some good. It’s hard to make such a book sound very exciting. That Stoner is exciting — unexpectedly so, and incredibly moving — is the true measure of Williams’s achievement.

The novel is the story of William Stoner, who left his parents’ farm in central Missouri a few years before the First World War to study agriculture at the state university forty miles away, and then spent the rest of his life there after switching majors to English and becoming a literary scholar. Or, as he would prefer to say, a teacher. He himself does not discover his vocation until his undergraduate adviser, having learned that Stoner has no intention of returning to the farm, suggests that he might stay on to earn an M.A. while teaching freshman composition. The young man is dumbfounded:

     “[D]on’t you know, Mr. Stoner?” [the adviser] asked. “Don’t you understand about yourself yet? You’re going to be a teacher.”
     Suddenly [the adviser] seemed very distant, and the walls of the office receded. Stoner felt himself suspended in the wide air, and he heard his voice ask, “Are you sure?”
     “I’m sure,” [the adviser] said softly.
     “How can you tell? How can you be sure?”
     “It’s love, Mr. Stoner,” [the adviser] said cheerfully. “You are in love. It’s as simple as that.”

Stoner has fallen in love with learning. He has already taught himself enough Latin and Greek, eyes burning from lack of sleep, to read simple texts. He remains faithful to his first love, even when the United States enters the war against the Germans in 1915. His two best friends enlist, but Stoner remains at the University of Missouri to finish his PhD dissertation on “The Influence of the Classical Tradition on the Medieval Lyric.” His old undergraduate adviser, now the department chairman, supplies Stoner’s reasoning: “There are wars and defeats and victories of the human race that are not military and that are not recorded in the annals of history.”

There in one sentence is Stoner’s theme. The remainder of the novel resembles nothing so much as a military campaign, conducted behind closed doors and without benefit of publicity. To defend his love of learning (and the institution that was established to represent it), Stoner must face two determined adversaries: his wife Edith, who battles him for the affections of their daughter Grace, and a new department chairman, who does everything in his bureaucratic power to rout Stoner’s career.

The war over his daughter is heartbreaking. Because her mother suffers a nervous breakdown shortly after her birth and then takes up a frantic and nearly hysterical social existence to avoid domesticity, Grace spends most of her first eight years of life with her father, knowing only his voice and his touch and his love. In the evenings they sit together in Stoner’s study. He had “found a small desk and chair for her, so that she had a place to read and do her homework” while Stoner sits at a larger desk beside her, grading papers and writing scholarship. The portrait of a father, perfectly content in the company of his child, has never been done any better.

Stoner’s wife Edith decides abruptly that Grace is not sufficiently feminine and not sufficiently social, and she takes Grace away from her father. Eventually she is able even to take away Stoner’s study.

On campus, Stoner is thwarted too. After trying to get a student dismissed from the department’s graduate program for dishonesty and incompetence, Stoner becomes the chosen enemy of the new chairman, whose prize pupil the incompetent is. His graduate seminar is taken away from him; he is assigned four sections of freshman composition at widely spaced hours on six days of the week; he is never promoted beyond assistant professor.

Even when he finds a young woman who shares his “illicit and dangerous” love for the “mystery of the mind and heart showing themselves in the minute, strange, and unexpected combinations of letters and words, in the blackest and coldest print,” Stoner must give her up. His life, his career, is a series of soul-grinding defeats. Somehow, though, Stoner maintains his commitment to teaching, his allegiance to the university, his fidelity to learning. His devotion becomes his triumph, and Williams’s account of his triumph — Stoner’s hard-fought survival of the defeats — is wholly persuasive and oddly gripping. Even the most undramatic of lives are full of urgent drama when you realize what is at stake.

Stoner has a special significance to me, because it is based upon the life of my beloved teacher J. V. Cunningham and especially his disastrous marriage to the poet Barbara Gibbs. I also revere it, because no other novel — no other book, except perhaps for Cunningham’s own Poems — makes a better case for the life of scholarship. But even readers who care little for Cunningham and less for scholarship will love John Williams’s Stoner. It will remind you why you first started reading novels: to get inside the mystery of other people’s lives. And perhaps that is the final cause of all good fiction. Perhaps it is written to preserve the defeats and victories not recorded in the annals of history.

Should Government Fund Risky Start-Ups?

At the heart of the Solyndra debacle, there’s a fundamental question over the role of government: should taxpayer money be used to fund risky start-ups that might not necessarily have a chance otherwise? CNN reports:

Now the company’s bankruptcy has become a case study on an issue likely to gain increasing attention: Should the government be investing taxpayer dollars in promising — but risky — startup companies?

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“Difficult District”? No, Difficult Country

Rep. Debby Wasserman-Schultz, chairman of the Democratic National Committee, has to get the prize for the dumbest spin of the week. She tried to explain the party’s loss in NY-9 by saying, it’s a very difficult district for Democrats.

Obama carried the district by 11 points in 2008, and it hasn’t been represented by a Republican in Congress since 1920 (although as Michael Barone points out, its shape has changed so much during the last 90 years as a result of redistricting and gerrymandering that that doesn’t really mean much).

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The Difference Between Carter and Obama

The Palestinians are rounding up the usual suspects as they prepare for their symbolic victory at the United Nations next week. Among those supporting the Palestinian Authority effort to gain recognition of independence without making peace with Israel is former President Jimmy Carter. Carter has been among the most consistent foes of Israel during his decades as the country’s most insufferable ex-president, so it is no surprise he would back a tactic whose purpose is to evade peace talks rather than promote them.

But the interesting thing about Carter’s support for this effort to destroy an already moribund peace process is he accompanied it with a stinging rebuke for the Obama administration. According to Carter, he wouldn’t be backing the PA initiative if Obama had put forward his own Middle East peace plan that would have forced Israel to make unilateral concessions. That even Obama, whose hostility to Israel’s government is highly reminiscent of Carter’s own time in the White House, refused to go down that route shows not only the difference between the two presidents but also the way the Palestinians have alienated an administration that was prepared to go a long way in their direction.

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Most Americans Say Stimulus Won’t Work

Another day, another crop of gloomy polls for President Obama. Reactions to his jobs plan are finally starting to trickle out, and it sounds like his speech last week may have only made things worse for him.

Obama’s approval rating has hit a new low of 45 percent, according to a Bloomberg poll released today. Not only that, he’s also hit new lows in every area of the poll that measures economic performance:

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Obama to Supporters: “Report” My Critics

During the 2008 presidential campaign, Dennis Miller responded to the Obama campaign’s obsession with race by saying: “I don’t even notice the color of his skin. I do notice the thinness of it, though.” Perhaps it is in his famous spirit of bipartisanship, but President Obama spends an awful lot of time and energy proving his critics right.

And he has done it again, with his new program designed to remind the American people they’re being monitored very carefully, AttackWatch. I don’t want to spend more time on this than it’s worth, and it’s not worth very much. But it really makes me wonder why the president–who as a candidate famously had 300 foreign policy advisers–doesn’t have a single person in the White House telling him just how disturbing this looks.

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Has Obama Learned Anything?

Imagine you’re in the Obama White House, and this is what you face. Democrats lose a special election in a congressional district they have controlled since the 1920s and which was framed as a referendum on the president. There’s a possible scandal brewing over the White House’s effort to rush federal reviewers for a decision on a nearly half-billion dollar loan to a solar-panel manufacturer, Solyndra. The most recent Census Report shows median household earnings fell for the third consecutive year, back to 1996 levels. A record number of Americans are in poverty. In Afghanistan, the Taliban mounted a fierce assault on the U.S. embassy and NATO military headquarters in Kabul. A new CNN/ORC poll shows Obama’s disapproval rating has reached a new high while the number of Americans who think he is a strong leader has dropped to a new low. And that’s just today.

On a human level, one can sympathize with what the president, his advisers, and his supporters are going through right now. But there is a cautionary tale in this as well. When Obama was running for president, he was dismissive of those who came before him. The problems we faced, at home and abroad, would be fixed by signing this executive order and passing that piece of legislation. Hope and change were on the way. “I’m LeBron, baby. I can play on this level. I got some game,” Obama is reported to have said back in 2004.

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PLO Ambassador: No Jews in New Palestinian State

According to this report in USA Today, the Palestine Liberation Organization’s representative in Washington has declared there will be no place in any future Palestinian state for Jews. There are several ironies.

Turkey and perhaps European countries as well are maybe on the verge of recognizing the first state since Nazi Germany to propose a judenrein policy. There are several ironies: First, Israel, whose Arab Christian and Muslim minorities—perhaps 20 percent of the population—have full rights, but is lambasted by the cocktail set as racist. Second, when the Netanyahu government proposed recognition of Israel as a Jewish state, many diplomats—including those in the State Department—balked. But to propose a Jew-free state? That’s okay.

Census Report: One in Six Americans Live in Poverty

According to the most recent Census report on income, poverty, and health insurance coverage in America, 46 million Americans (roughly one in six people) are now living in poverty, the largest on record dating back to when the census began tracking poverty in 1959 (the poverty rate in 2010 was the highest poverty rate since 1993).

Here’s what else the data show:

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Obama, NY-9 and the Shifting Narrative

Less than four months ago, the Republican tide that had swept the Democrats out of the House of Representatives in 2010 had clearly ebbed. The Democratic victory in a May special election in New York’s 26th congressional district proved conclusively the House GOP majority had overreached in its first few months in office, and the next year and a half of American political life would be dominated by resurgent liberals who would end the talk of cutbacks in social spending and entitlements.

Except that it didn’t. As yesterday’s Republican wins in special elections in Nevada and New York illustrated, the shifting narrative of American politics often has more twists and turns than the pundits anticipate. The problem however, is not just that liberals were wrong about the New York-26 results being the harbinger of a national trend, though that is certainly true. They forgot an unpopular president is a far better indicator of a party’s political fortunes than a controversial budget plan. Though Democrats hoped no one would be talking about anything but Paul Ryan’s Medicare reform proposal until November 2012, President Obama’s performance remains the key to understanding the national mood.

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Obama, Religious Jews, and Elderly Jews

All kinds of cautions are being thrown about in the wake of the stunning upset in New York’s 9th Congressional District, the most Jewish in the country. Ben Smith points out that its large contingent of Orthodox voters are basically just Republicans. Sean Trende, RealClearPolitics’s extraordinarily impressive young number-cruncher, writes, “Jewish voters here still tend to be more conservative than the Jewish communities around Miami or in Manhattan.” Thus, he suggests, their politics may not reflect Jews as a whole outside of the district.

But. But. But. Former Mayor Ed Koch, who endorsed Obama in ’08 and promised he would be a friend of Israel and now feels betrayed, played a role in advancing the “vote for Bob Turner and send a message” case that prevailed last night. Smith writes that “Koch’s appeal, for instance, wasn’t to the Orthodox Jews, but to what State GOP Chairman Ed Cox told me last night was a still-more sizeable population of non-Orthodox Jews in old-line neighborhoods like Forest Hills.”

If true, there’s the really bad news for Obama and the Obama-ites. Those non-Orthodox Jews tend to be older, heritage-proud, and were bathed from youth forward in Zionism. They may be, in other words, a precise analogue to the Jews of South Florida—and if Obama can’t win Florida, he is in deep trouble.

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Post-NY-9 Politics

Democrats have to be in panic mode after New York and Nevada last night. Any way you spin the polling, Obama’s economic policies – and in the case of NY-9, his Israel policy – had a heavy influence on these races.

Even more alarming for Democrats: Mediscaring didn’t work.

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