Commentary Magazine


Posts For: October 11, 2011

Who’s the Frontrunner? Ask Mitt.

The most telling moment in tonight’s Republican presidential debate came at the start of the second hour when the candidates were given the opportunity to ask questions of their opponents. The result was that the majority of the contenders posed their query to Mitt Romney.  This was merely the confirmation of what we already had discovered by that point in the evening. Romney is the clear frontrunner with no one else even close.

By that point we had also learned that this was not going to be the night when Rick Perry began his comeback. Perry followed up his three previous poor debate performances with yet another weak showing. He looked uncomfortable and rambled at times even when served up a softball that he could have used to attack Romney. Perry may stay in the race but tonight he again proved himself unequal to the task of running for president.

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Live Blog: The GOP Presidential Debate

Romney concludes the evening with yet another small stumble but without anyone having laid a glove on him. He leaves the stage the way he entered it: as the clear frontrunner.

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Gingrich rightly skewers the sympathy question posed by Charlie Rose.

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Santorum finally gets back into the conversation with a great point about the importance of the role of the  breakdown of families in the increase of poverty. Unfortunately, Charlie Rose isn’t interested.

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Back to the liberal narrative about income inequality.

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99 minutes into the debate and Perry makes his first real pitch for himself as a job creator. Too little, too late. He’s lost again.

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Debate Preview: The Onus is on Perry

We’re only moments away from the start of tonight’s Republican presidential debate. Mitt Romney comes in as the frontrunner with momentum earned from a lead in the polls and an endorsement this afternoon from Chris Christie. Herman Cain is hoping his showing in recent polls means he is moving up to the first tier. And the rest of the field including Rick Santorum, Michele Bachmann and Jon Huntsman is hoping that something can happen to give them a boost to get them into the conversation as viable contenders.

But there’s no question that the onus tonight is on the man who had a double-digit lead only a month ago: Rick Perry. The Texas governor’s September swoon was historic leaving him with only half of the support he had at the start of the September. His debate performance will have to drastically improve. But that means more than just exceeding the low expectations that currently exist for him. He’ll need to change the minds of Republicans who tuned into previous debates and left thinking him an inarticulate bumbler.

Obama Seen as Lethal Political Threat

According to Reuters, “Four years ago, Senator Claire McCaskill was one of Barack Obama’s biggest boosters in his presidential campaign. But when he recently visited her state of Missouri, she did not have time to join him. Many of McCaskill’s fellow Democrats in Congress may also decide they are too busy to be with Obama, whose approval rating of about 40 percent as the economy struggles threatens to be a drag on their own reelection chances next year.”

“You may see a number of Democrats say ‘Sorry, I have a scheduling conflict,’” a senior Democratic lawmaker is quoted as saying.

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Israel Needs a Death Penalty for Terrorism

I hate the death penalty and always have, so I do not say this lightly, but it’s high time even opponents of capital punishment start thinking seriously about executing convicted terrorists. Unlike even the worst criminals such as serial killers, terrorists remain dangerous to societies at large even after they’ve been locked up with life sentences because innocents outside the prison walls are frequently kidnapped to secure their release.

The Israeli government just struck a deal with Hamas to free Gilad Shalit, a soldier who was kidnapped five years ago near the border with Gaza. In exchange for Shalit’s release, hundreds of Hamas prisoners will also be freed. All the hard work that went into capturing these people and removing them from the field has now been undone. Not even the most violent terrorists are executed by Israel because the country removed the death penalty from the books in 1954. Those hundreds collectively will almost certainly end up being responsible for more Israeli casualties.

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Iranian Nukes Aren’t Just Israel’s Problem

I agree with Michael Rubin the Obama administration “projecting weakness” gave Iran the impression it could carry out a terror attack this brazen without serious consequences. Assassinations in the U.S. aren’t a new game for Iran, and this particular plot pushed the envelope much further. According to the FBI charges, the plotters weren’t just working to kill the Saudi ambassador; they were planning to blow up an entire restaurant in a populated neighborhood. The ambassador wouldn’t have been the only casualty.

If Iran feels safe planning a U.S.-based attack now, imagine how much more blatant its aggression would be if it had nuclear weapons. Some people like to pretend Israel is the only country that would be seriously threatened by a nuclear Iran. This case is a prime example of how wrong that assumption is.

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The Political Future of Herman Cain

I understand the appeal of Herman Cain, who seems like a likeable and engaging man. He’s someone who has an impressive business history. He can also be quite strong when refuting the smears of people like Cornel West and Harry Belafonte. And there’s no doubt he’s helped himself in the presidential debates, much like Mike Huckabee did in 2008. But when the dust finally clears, I find it hard to believe Cain will win the GOP nomination.

Part of the explanation is that the presidency is not, in the words of Richard Brookhiser, “an entry-level position.” Beyond that, Cain is notably unknowledgeable and seemingly not curious about national security matters. He has demonstrated that weakness several times, including his cluelessness in interviews  about the issue of the Palestinian “right of return,” in debates about our military strategy in Afghanistan, and in his knowledge of what he (kiddingly) calls “Ubeki-beki-beki-beki-stan-stan.”

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Netanyahu Had No Choice But to Save Shalit

Max is right that the prisoner exchange Israel is about to conclude with Hamas is an enormous victory for terrorism and a blow to Israeli security. Evelyn Gordon summed up the problems inherent in this deal in her definitive COMMENTARY article on the subject in May 2010, when she pointed out the impetus to free so many killers in exchange for one Israeli was a manifestation of the country’s weakness and its despair about the prospects for peace.

Though the Shalit deal is undoubtedly a mistake that will come back to haunt Israel, it is an unavoidable one. Those who will flay Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for being so foolish as to let 1,000 Palestinians, including convicted mass murderers, go free, need to remember that in doing so he is obeying the dictates of Jewish tradition: the ransoming of captives. It is also a fact that no leader of a democratic country can resist the pressure to save hostages, as Ronald Reagan proved in the 1980s when he traded for American captives held by Iran’s terrorist allies. What was true for Reagan is also the case for Netanyahu.

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Live Blogging the GOP Debate Tonight

Join us tonight as senior online editor Jonathan S. Tobin live blogs the latest Republican presidential debate from New Hampshire. So tune in to Bloomberg TV at 8 pm and then log on to Commentarymagazine.com for live insights as the GOP contenders have at it once again.

Israel’s Hostage Deals Create Incentives for Future Hostage-Taking

Israel has a well-earned reputation for being tough on terrorism—witness its punitive raids and targeted killings of terrorists going back to the 1950s and beyond. But there is another side to Israeli policy—a softer side. Israel is not only one of the biggest killers/jailers of terrorists but also one of
the biggest releasers of jailed terrorists. As I noted in an op-ed in The Daily a few months ago:

A study published in 2008 by the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs concluded that since 1985, Israel had “freed over 10,000 Palestinians who were serving prison sentences for hostile activity or terror actions.” Some were let go in massive deals with groups such as Hezbollah wherein a few Israeli hostages — or, in some cases, nothing more than Israeli corpses — were exchanged for hundreds of imprisoned militants. Others were freed as a “goodwill” gesture to Israel’s negotiating partners in the Palestinian Authority.

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Not the First Iranian Plot to Target Area

The Iran Human Rights Documentation Center has put together a formidable list of all the Iranian assassinations targeting Iranian dissidents outside Iran. Alas, one of the first things Hillary Clinton did when assuming leadership at the State Department was to cut off funding to the Iran Human Rights Documentation Center. Its nonpartisan and well-documented reports got in the way of her efforts at rapprochement.

At any rate, in 2009, the New York Times provided an update on the hit man who carried out the assassination of an Iranian exile in Bethesda, Maryland. Unfortunately, by projecting weakness to an overconfident and ideological Iran, it seems President Obama has taken us back to the Carter-era in more ways than one. That said, kudos to the U.S. Justice Department for rolling this up before people died.

The Iranian Terror Plot

ABC News is reporting U.S. officials have disrupted an Iranian plot to bomb the Israeli and Saudi embassies in Washington, and assassinate the Saudi ambassador to Washington. Alas, if true, it seems the Islamic Republic, to which Obama wrote multiple letters and sought an unclenched fist, has responded definitively.

It will be interesting to see how groups seeking engagement and diluted sanctions against the Islamic Republic will react. After all, Internet chat groups show that Trita Parsi, the leader of the National Iranian American Council (NIAC), has denied any Iranian involvement in terrorism whatsoever. As Trita wrote, “There is no evidence hereto that links Iran to … any terrorist activities.” Mind you, this is after the Khobar Towers attack, kidnappings and bombings in Lebanon, and any number of assassinations in Europe.

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Christie Endorsement a Coup for Romney

On a day when the political world was focused on the question of whether Rick Perry could mount a comeback, Republican presidential frontrunner Mitt Romney has scored a coup that could overshadow even a strong performance by the Texas governor tonight. By getting the endorsement of New Jersey Governor Chris Christie today, Romney will dominate the political news and add to the growing perception his nomination is inevitable.

Any endorsement — even one from a political star like Christie — can’t change the race or guarantee any votes. It is also true that had he run, Christie would have largely competed with Romney for the backing of centrist Republicans. But his fights with New Jersey’s state worker and teacher unions means Christie has some credibility with Tea Party supporters, the very constituency where Romney is weakest.

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Occupy Wall Street Has an Anti-Semitism Problem

A quick sampling of the anti-Semitism on display among the Occupy Wall Street set yields the flamboyant and aggressive protester who yells,“You’re a bum, Jew” at his yarmulke-wearing interlocutor; the conspiracy theorist who laments that “Jewish money controls American politics,” and warns the Russians not to let the Jews take over Russia too; and  the self-described Nazi with the swastika tattoo who regrets that America has been handed over to “other people.” Ah, people power.

The Jew-hatred among protesters and sympathizers is diverse and unapologetic. It is, in fact, atmospheric. Tune in randomly to live television coverage of the spectacle and you’ll see—as I did—placards scapegoating Israel, Zionism, or “Hitler’s bankers.”  Check out the continuous flurry of protest-supporting tweets and blog posts, and you’ll get more of the same.

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Perry Must Do More Than Exceed Expectations Tonight

While tonight’s Republican presidential debate sponsored by the Washington Post and Bloomberg TV (where the debate will be seen) may seem like yet another of an endless stream of such events since the summer began, it is no exaggeration to say this one will be crucial. Rick Perry’s presidential hopes are literally on the line this evening as he tries to rebound from three consecutive disastrous performances.

Expectations for Perry have been set so low that many believe even a halfway credible showing will be enough to pump some life into his flagging campaign. But if he thinks that’s all he needs to do, he’s fooling himself. Exceeding low expectations won’t cut it. The bar is actually set much higher for him than ever before. This time Perry must look, act and speak in a presidential manner.

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Conservatives Launch “53 Percent” Website

The “53 Percent” website, created by Erick Erickson and Mike Wilson, is supposed to be a rebuttal to the Occupy Wall Street protest’s “We are the 99 Percent” blog:

Both sites feature webcam photos of people holding up signs inscribed with their own personal financial sob stories. But while the original seems to communicate a sense of hopelessness and anger directed at the rich and powerful, the 53 percenters — named after the percentage of Americans that pay income taxes — are comprised of, “Those of us who pay for those of you who whine about all of that… or that… or whatever.”

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Forecaster: Recession Can’t Be Averted

The state of the economy is so bad these days that even negative statistics — such as last week’s unemployment report that showed the level of joblessness stuck at an unacceptably high rate — are often treated as good news, because the numbers are not as bad as some feared. But despite all the spinning by both the Obama administration and their cheerleaders in the media, the prospects for a recovery appear dim and are getting dimmer all the time.

One of the latest and most daunting predictions of financial doom comes from the Economic Cycle Research Institute, a New York forecasting firm that during the last 15 years has been right every time about recessions while issuing no false alarms. Their verdict provides chilling news for both the president as well as the country: not only is the weak recovery from the last recession over, but a new recession is certain.

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A Warning to Responsible Democrats

According to the New York Times:

Leading Democratic figures, including party fund-raisers and a top ally of President Obama, are  embracing the spread of the anti-Wall Street protests in a clear sign that members of the Democratic establishment see the movement as a way to align  disenchanted Americans with their party. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, the party’s powerful House fund-raising arm, is circulating a petition seeking 100,000 party supporters to declare that “I stand with the Occupy Wall Street protests.”

The Center for American Progress, a liberal organization run by John D. Podesta, who helped lead Mr.  Obama’s 2008 transition, credits the protests with tapping into pent-up anger over a political system that it says rewards the rich over the working class — a populist theme now being emphasized by the White House and the party. The center has encouraged and sought to help coordinate protests in different cities. Judd Legum, a spokesman for the center, said that its direct contacts with the protests have been limited, but that “we’ve definitely been publicizing it and supporting it.”

He said Democrats are already looking for ways to mobilize protesters in get-out-the-vote drives for 2012. “What attracts an organization like CAP to this movement is the idea that our country’s economic policies have been focused on the very top and not on the bulk of America,” Mr. Legum added. “That’s a message we certainly agree with.”

The story goes on to say, “That’s the danger with something like this [Occupy Wall Street protests] — that you go from peaceful protests to throwing trash cans,” said a senior House Democratic official, who spoke on condition of anonymity. “Sure, there’s been some crazy anarchy stuff, but over all, the Democrats like their message about Wall Street and accountability,” the official said. “It overlaps with our own message.”

For reasons I explained yesterday, this is a very dangerous path the Democratic Party is on. They are embracing a movement that is comprised, at least in some significant part, of Big Government anarchists (something of a contradiction, I know). It is highly disorganized, dissolute, and made up of people who are deeply disaffected and who have found a home on the fringes of American politics. All of which means it has potential to go from being a controlled blaze to an out-of-control fire.

President Obama has spoken sympathetically of the Occupy Wall Street Movement. Nancy Pelosi has endorsed it. So have others. Let me therefore offer some counsel to my Democratic friends: A party that embraces a movement like this is asking for, and will soon find, trouble. This is not a movement to which you want to link yourself. As John F. Kennedy once warned,  “those who foolishly sought power by riding on the back of the tiger ended up inside.”

 

Young American Jews and Israel

Few Jewish issues have seen as much ink spilled over them in recent years as the question of the strength of the attachment of young American Jews
to Israel. Yet none has likely been discussed with as little honesty.

The latest notable example of this genre was published during the Rosh Hashana holiday in Time. Written by Dana Goldstein, a fellow at both The Nation Institute and the New America Foundation, it is not notable for any of its content, which is no more than a recitation of the usual “young Jews are so moved by the Palestinian plight that they can’t be the diehard Zionists their parents are” narrative, with practically no information that is not at least a year old. (Even the Jewish Brown undergrad distraught over what she saw on Birthright shtick is not original.)

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The Literary Equivalent of a Walk-Off Grand Slam

Nelson Cruz ended the second game of the American League Championship Series with a bang not a whimper yesterday in Arlington, Tex., driving a pitch from Detroit Tigers’ righthander Ryan Perry deep into the left-field bleachers to give the Texas Rangers a 7-to-3 victory and a two-games-to-none lead in the last best-of-seven battle for the league pennant. Cruz’s blast was not the first game-ending or “walk-off” home run in the postseason history of Major League Baseball — the names of Bill Mazeroski, Bobby Thomson, Kirk Gibson, and Joe Carter come unbidden to the mind — but never before had a playoff game ended with a grand slam. I can’t even imagine the noise in the Rangers Ballpark when Cruz delivered his shot, but I can remember a game at the Astrodome that Jeff Bagwell ended with one of his signature drives that looked as if it would hit the roof before it cleared the fence. I couldn’t hear myself yell.

No sooner had Cruz homered, though, than Vicki Ziegler, a self-described “modest” book blogger from Toronto, tweeted the question: “What would be the literary equivalent of a walk-off grand slam?” (Somewhere, I am sure, a Jewish blogger is asking the related question, “Is a walk-off grand slam good for the Jews?”) Ziegler suggested that winning the Giller or Booker Prize or publishing a “NaNoWriMo” novel in December might just qualify. And though she allowed that “nothing in literary achievement” would make a writer “feel as euphoric as Nelson Cruz,” she went on to say that she had read things that obliged her to close the book and catch her breath. “That’s pretty walk-off,” she said.

I am trying to picture a crowd of readers rising to its feet and screaming itself hoarse at the ending of The Great Gatsby (“So we beat on, boats against the current, borne back ceaselessly into the past”) or even Russell Banks’s Continental Drift (“Go, my book, and help destroy the world as it is”). Nothing in literature can possibly approach the finality of a walk-off home run.

The ideology of “literary art” leads writers and readers alike to expect something that literature cannot deliver — what Howard Nemerov called “the quality of decisiveness and finish, of absolute completion to which nothing need be added nor could be added.” When Ziegler says that she catches her breath at something she has read, she is describing this sensation of “absolute completion.”

But it is entirely an illusion. Electronic texts, which enable the author to go on revising them forever, were anticipated by Henry James in The Middle Years (1893). Dencombe is staying at a hotel in Bournemouth when the postman brings his latest novel, “just out” in hard covers, its “fresh pages” carrying the “odour of sanctity.” Dencombe begins to read his own prose with a feeling of wonder. Although he realizes that his talent has never been so fine, and though he recognizes the problems he faced and sees where his art surmounted them, he cannot resist taking out a pen and altering the printed text:

Dencombe was a passionate corrector, a fingerer of style; the last thing he ever arrived at was a form final for himself. His ideal would have been to publish secretly, and then, on the published text, treat himself to the terrified revise, sacrificing always a first edition and beginning for posterity and even for the collectors, poor dears, with a second.

Why he assumed that the “terrified revise” would cease with a second edition, though, is beyond me. There is every chance that the novelist will revise errors and gaps into his book, as Herman Melville did with his famous phrase “soiled fish of the sea” in White-Jacket or as Mark Twain did with the missing raftsman episode in Huckleberry Finn, and generations of readers will catch their breaths at the absolute completion of a corrupt text.

The expression walk-off home run is only about fifteen years old. The earliest example of it that I’ve found is in a July 1996 story by John Hussey in the Manchester Union Leader, recalling Mazeroski’s famous home run that ended the 1960 World Series. “It was the only ‘walk-off’ home run ever recorded in the seventh game of the World Series,” Hussey wrote. Squeezing the phrase between quotation marks like this suggests that it may already have become familiar in speech (but not established in print) by the time Hussey wrote it. Seven years later, in the New York Times, Allen Barra assigned it to the category of buzz words, saying that the “noble ‘game-winning home run’ — a phrase that used to compliment the winner — has been transformed into one that thumbs its nose at the loser.”

The doctrine of the breath-catching finish is a lot older than that, although it may only be a way that the fidgety and sleepless novelist, unable to hit upon a “final form” that quiets his nerves, thumbs his nose at his unsuspecting readers.