Commentary Magazine


Contentions

Who Benefits from Cain Bombshell?

Jonathan is right that the sexual harassment settlement allegations against Herman Cain may end up winning him sympathy from conservatives, at least initially. But if the Politico story holds up, it could be more than enough to knock him out of his top position. So who would benefit most from a potential Cain downfall?

So far, the momentum has moved from one not-Romney candidate to another: first Bachmann, then Perry, then Cain. This trend could continue, with Cain’s support siphoning away to Newt Gingrich or Rick Santorum. Or his supporters could end up running back to Bachmann or Perry.

Obviously, the best outcome for Romney would be if Cain’s backers split themselves evenly between several other candidates.

But whatever happens, one of the instant beneficiaries of the Politico article is Rick Perry. This embarrassing news story about Cain leading him with Texas Republicans will likely end up getting buried by the scandal coverage today:

“Cain got 27 percent to Perry’s 26 percent among Texas registered voters who identify themselves as Republicans. U.S. Rep. Ron Paul was next with 12 percent, followed by former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney at 9 percent and … Newt Gingrich at 8 percent. … ‘Maybe the most important number is that Cain is up 37 percent to 24 percent among the most conservative voters,’ said Daron Shaw, co-director of the poll and a UT government professor. ‘Perry wins with every other group.’”

For Cain, on the other hand, this story could not have come at a worse time. He wanted to spend the day talking about the major Des Moines register poll showing him in a statistical dead-heat with Romney in Iowa. Instead, he’ll spend it responding to sexual harassment claims. Worse, he won’t have the opportunity to take his case to a friendly media outlet. Cain has two open press events in Washington, D.C. today, one at the American Enterprise Institute, and another at the National Press Club. There’s no doubt he’ll get pressed on the issue, and he’ll be expected to have a better response than the one his spokesperson has been giving.



Join the discussion…

Are you a subscriber? Log in to comment »

Not a subscriber? Join the discussion today, subscribe to Commentary »





Welcome to Commentary Magazine.
We hope you enjoy your visit.
As a visitor to our site, you are allowed 8 free articles this month.
This is your first of 8 free articles.

If you are already a digital subscriber, log in here »

Print subscriber? For free access to the website and iPad, register here »

To subscribe, click here to see our subscription offers »

Please note this is an advertisement skip this ad
Clearly, you have a passion for ideas.
Subscribe today for unlimited digital access to the publication that shapes the minds of the people who shape our world.
Get for just
YOU HAVE READ OF 8 FREE ARTICLES THIS MONTH.
FOR JUST
YOU HAVE READ OF 8 FREE ARTICLES THIS MONTH.
FOR JUST
Welcome to Commentary Magazine.
We hope you enjoy your visit.
As a visitor, you are allowed 8 free articles.
This is your first article.
You have read of 8 free articles this month.
YOU HAVE READ 8 OF 8
FREE ARTICLES THIS MONTH.
for full access to
CommentaryMagazine.com
INCLUDES FULL ACCESS TO:
Digital subscriber?
Print subscriber? Get free access »
Call to subscribe: 1-800-829-6270
You can also subscribe
on your computer at
CommentaryMagazine.com.
LOG IN WITH YOUR
COMMENTARY MAGAZINE ID
Don't have a CommentaryMagazine.com log in?
CREATE A COMMENTARY
LOG IN ID
Enter you email address and password below. A confirmation email will be sent to the email address that you provide.