Commentary Magazine


Posts For: November 3, 2011

What’s the Real Audience for Israel’s Iran Attack Speculation?

President Obama sounded what was for him a hard line position when he noted during a press conference in Cannes, France about the need to convince the recalcitrant ayatollahs that they should abandon their nuclear program. With a new report on Iranian nukes due next Tuesday from the International Atomic Energy Agency, Obama said he and French President Nicolas Sarkozy intend to “maintain the unprecedented pressure on Iran to meet its obligations.”

But with Russia and China set to block any effort to toughen international sanctions on Iran, it’s likely Tehran was a bit more impressed with the rumblings out of Israel this past week about the possibility of an attack on their nuclear sites than anything Obama said. There is no way yet of knowing whether the rumors about an impending decision from Israel to strike Iranian targets are true yet even the possibility that Jerusalem will not just sit back and wait while the Western powers waste another year or two or three pretending to do something about the problem has to be worrying the Khameini/Ahmadinejad regime. But it may be worrying the U.S. and Europe even more.

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Re: Obama Gives Erdoğan the ‘Hug Treatment’

Over at The Weekly Standard’s blog, Daniel Halper picks up on a pool report which describes how President Obama reserved his warmest greeting in Cannes for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, Turkey’s Islamist prime minister. Certainly, Erdoğan is undeserving of any such praise. Under his direction, Turkey has rapidly moved from ally to adversary. Certainly Turkey is not only responsible for facilitating the Mavi Marmara in its quest to support Hamas, but also threatened Israel in the wake of the UN Palmer Commission report which largely exculpated Israel. In recent weeks, Erdoğan’s confidant Egemen Bağış has even threatened Cyprus with military action in a dispute over Cyprus and Israel exploring for oil in international waters of the Eastern Mediterranean.

Republicans should not simply hand wring, however, at Obama’s self-defeating behavior. On October 28, at Obama administration behest, the Pentagon officially notified Congress of its intention to sell Turkey three Super Cobra helicopters. In the past, officials rebuffed such Turkish requests because those helicopters were needed in Afghanistan. Frankly, they still our and American lives depend on them. Senators now have 15 days to object to the sale; the Obama administration, however, hopes that their request will slip through unnoticed.

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Cain’s Unbelievably Amateurish Campaign

On Fox News, Meghan Kelly interview Herman Cain’s campaign manager, Mark Block, and pressed Block on his charge, made yesterday, the Governor Perry’s campaign (in the form of GOP strategist Curt Anderson) leaked the sexual harassment story to Politico. Mr. Anderson emphatically denied the charge, and Block was able to watch clips of Anderson’s interview. Mr. Block, in turn, said he now accepts Anderson’s denial even as he (Block) stands behind what he said yesterday.

This is as incoherent an explanation as what Herman Cain has said on abortion, trading GITMO prisoners for hostages, appointing Muslims to a Cain cabinet, and his knowledge of a sexual harassment settlement agreement. It simply makes no sense. Mr. Block is pretending to reconcile two opposite claims.

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It’s Time to Sanction Iran’s Central Bank

Tomorrow marks the 32nd anniversary of the Iranian seizure of the U.S. Embassy in Tehran. To mark the occasion, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei today addressed students. Alas, neither two letters, nor his silence during Iran’s 2009 election unrest, nor even Obama’s unilateral surrender of Iraq has managed to convince Khamenei to unclench his fist. Here is what Khamenei had to say: “The United States is now defeated in Afghanistan and in Iraq and has no other way but leaving these two countries, just as it has been defeated in North Africa….”

Certainly, Khamenei does not appear to take the United States seriously. Under such circumstances, arguing about how many Revolutionary Guard commanders to sanction is silly. And it is farcical to believe that the Iranian leadership has understood that nuclear proliferation and sponsorship of terrorism is unacceptable. No strategy can change Khamenei’s mind unless it is truly biting. The time to sanction Iran’s Central Bank is now.

Occupy, the Tea Party and Media Bias

According to the Associated Press:

A day of demonstrations in Oakland that began as a significant step toward expanding the political and economic influence of the Occupy Wall Street movement, ended with police in riot gear arresting dozens of protesters who had marched through downtown to break into a vacant building, shattering windows, spraying graffiti and setting fires along the way.  ”We go from having a peaceful movement to now just chaos,” said protester Monique Agnew, 40.

City officials released a statement describing the spasm of unrest. “Oakland Police responded to a late night call that protesters had broken into and occupied a downtown building and set several simultaneous fires,” the statement read. “The protesters began hurling rocks, explosives, bottles, and flaming objects at responding officers. Several private and municipal buildings sustained heavy vandalism. Dozens of protesters wielding shields were surrounded and arrested.”

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Cain Accusers Got Combined $80k in Settlements

We were already told that one accuser received $35,000, and now Politico reports that the other accuser was given $45,000. James Pethokoukis puts the numbers into present context: “Assuming Politico is correct, total Cain alleged harassment settlement payments = $113,000, adjusted for inflation.”

Is this a major settlement? A small one? We’ll have to wait for experts to weigh in, but clearly it goes well beyond the “two months…maybe three months’ salary” that Cain described during his Greta Van Susteren interview earlier this week.

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Don’t Pin Iraq Withdrawal Date on Bush

The No. 1 excuse offered by defenders of the Obama administration for its failure to keep U.S. forces in Iraq past Dec. 31 is that the deadline was negotiated by the previous administration. For instance:

“The security agreements negotiated and signed in 2008 by the Bush administration stipulated this date of December 31, 2008, as the end of the military presence. So that has been in law now or been in force now for several years,” Deputy National Security Advisor Denis McDonough told reporters on Oct. 21. “So it’s difficult to rebut the proposition that this was a known date.”

True, but as Condoleezza Rice notes, “when the Bush administration signed the agreement, it was understood by both the U.S. and Iraqi governments that there would be follow-up negotiations aimed at extending the deadline — a step that would be in both the U.S. and Iraqi interest.”

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Obama’s Iraq Pull Out Threatens Afghans

One of the most discomfiting aspects of the forthcoming U.S. pullout from Iraq is what it portends for Afghanistan. In a nutshell, it appears more and more likely that Obama will pull out of Afghanistan too, even though the war there is far from won. Thus we read in the Wall Street Journal today: “The Obama administration is exploring a shift in the military’s mission in Afghanistan to an advisory role as soon as next year, senior officials said, a move that would scale back U.S. combat duties well ahead of their scheduled conclusion at the end of 2014.”

I predict we will have more leaks along those lines—followed, next year, by a withdrawal far more rapid than considered prudent by our military commanders. As I learned during a recent visit to Afghanistan, U.S. forces are not planning to turn over lead responsibility throughout the entire country to the Afghan forces until 2014; individual provinces will be turned over before then—some have already been transferred to Afghan control. But the ones that have been turned over are the most peaceful areas—Afghan forces are not yet ready to stand on their own in the most dangerous areas where insurgents supplied and armed in Pakistan are operating in force.

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Initiative to Combat Anti-Semitism Addresses Core Problem: Hatred for Israel

The rising tide of anti-Semitism that has spread from the Middle East to Europe and which seeks to establish a stronger foothold on American shores is a source of concern to many in both the Jewish and general community. But before one can do something about it, you’ve got to be willing to understand what is the factor that is fueling the fires of hatred. The Koret Foundation, a San Francisco-based philanthropy, is doing just that with a new initiative to combat anti-Semitism that is focused on addressing the anti-Israel incitement that is increasingly tolerated and even supported by those who would never openly espouse hatred of Jews.

This initiative is backed up by an initial investment of $5 million in grants to groups that seek to push back against the false narrative that has sought to brand Israel as an apartheid state that deserves to be isolated. Efforts to boycott Israel and its products and other activities that are often centered on college campuses aren’t merely annoyances for supporters of the Jewish state. They are directly linked to acts of anti-Semitism that have risen in the last decade in the United States and to a trend in which Jewish students are intimidated or even assaulted by pro-Palestinian teachers and students. By funding programs that will both assist students and bolster efforts to tell Israel’s side of the story, Koret will be going to the heart of the problem rather than merely adding to the flow of rhetoric about the issue which is par for the course in the Jewish community.

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Does OWS Nullify “Tea Party” as Election Attack?

This new ad from Priorities USA Action, an Obama PAC, is a helpful preview of the kind of attacks Mitt Romney can look forward to during the general election, if he ends up securing the nomination:

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Palestinian “Moderates” Praise Terror to Arabic Media; Talk Peace to the West

One of the standard talking points for critics of Israel’s government is to cite its unwillingness to bolster moderate Palestinians who wind up being undercut by radicals such as the terrorists of Hamas. But the assumption of the essential moderation of the Palestinian Authority and its leader Mahmoud Abbas is one that can only be maintained by ignoring virtually everything the PA does and says. The latest examples are the statements by Abbas and his aide Jibril Rajoub in which they praised the kidnapping of Gilad Shalit by Hamas. Abbas told an interviewer the crime was a “good thing” while Rajoub saluted all those involved with Shalit’s abduction.

The key point here is to understand that Abbas sends very different messages when broadcasting to his own people than when he is speaking to Western or Israeli audiences. So while some peace process cheerleaders were quick to jump on Abbas statement last week that he now accepted the United Nations 1947 partition plan that was made in an interview with an Israeli television station, the comments made by him and Rajoub about Shalit were said in Arabic and broadcast on Arab media.

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The Media’s Unseemly Glee on Cain Story

Having taken John Derbyshire to task for what I thought was his reckless statement arguing that sexual harassment is never a “real thing,” I wanted to underscore my own unease with the way the Herman Cain story is being dealt with by the press.

The original Politico story itself amounted to vague charges by anonymous women who agreed to a settlement for an unspecified amount (we later learned it was $35,000). The story include lines like this: “There were also descriptions of physical gestures that were not overtly sexual but that made women who experienced or witnessed them uncomfortable and that they regarded as improper in a professional relationship.”

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Optimistic or Pessimistic About America: Linda Chavez

The following is from our November issue. Forty-one symposium contributors were asked to respond to the question: Are you optimistic or pessimistic about America’s future?

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There is much to warrant optimism about the future of the United States, given the nation’s history of resilience in the face of adversity. But one social trend, the supplanting of the American family by government as the major source of economic security from cradle to grave, may prove more destructive to America’s future than any previous threat, foreign or domestic.

The problem begins with the dramatic change that has taken place in the family. An estimated 60 percent of all American children will spend at least some of their childhood in a single-parent household primarily as a result of divorce and rising out-of-wedlock births. The most recent figures show that, overall, 4 in 10 children in America are now born to single mothers. But among blacks the number is more than 7 in 10; and among Hispanics, fully half of all births occur out of wedlock.

In 1965, the late scholar and senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan warned that the rate of illegitimate births among blacks was responsible for “a tangle of pathology” that included high crime rates, poor performance in school, and high unemployment, especially among black men. At the time, 24 percent of black births were to single women, a rate lower than the current 28 percent illegitimacy rate for white women. “There is one unmistakable lesson in American history,” he said. “A community that allows a large number of men to grow up in broken families, dominated by women, never acquiring any stable relationship to male authority, never acquiring rational expectations about the future—that community asks for and gets chaos.” But as trenchant as his analysis of the problem was, his solution—more government programs—did not alleviate the disaster taking place in the black family but accelerated it. Worse, dependence on government assistance spread to ever-larger segments of the American population. Read More

2012 “May Not Be Winnable” for Obama

It’s official: Obama is the 2012 underdog. At least that’s the prevailing consensus in pundit world, cemented by this must-read Nate Silver analysis on Obama’s reelection chances.

The piece is devastating for the Obama campaign – with a stagnant economy, his chances of winning the popular vote against Romney are 17 percent – but in a way, it may also be helpful. Right now Obama is focused on getting his base fired up, and nothing can do that quite like the specter of a likely 2012 defeat.

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Obama Tied to Corzine By More Than Money

President Obama’s connection to Jon Corzine was always going to be part of the flurry of stories on the collapse of MF Global, the commodities firm that crumbled under the weight of Corzine’s risky investments and which is under investigation for illegally skimming investors’ money. And that connection is the theme of today’s Reuters story on the matter:

Corzine, who is at the center of a storm over the securities company’s bankruptcy this week, has been a major fundraiser for Obama, having donated the maximum of $5,000 that an individual can give for a presidential campaign, according to campaign finance records.

He also held a lavish $35,800-a-head fundraising dinner for Obama at his home in April and raised or “bundled” donations of at least $500,000 so far for Obama’s 2012 re-election effort….

Corzine has also donated $15,000 to the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee this year and $25,000 to Senate Democrats in 2010, according to regulatory filings.

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Why Did UNDP Fund Aisha Qaddafi?

As American diplomats wring their hands over the funding cut-off to UNESCO and the prospect that a law passed by Congress years ago will mean ceasing U.S. funding to other UN agencies which recognize Palestine as a full member, it may be worthwhile to again consider just how UN agencies spend their money and why American taxpayers should subsidize them so generously when they clearly don’t have their houses in order. Take the United Nations Development Program, led by former New Zealand premier Helen Clarke who, during her tenure in New Zealand, gained a reputation for her strong anti-Israel animus that bordered on the conspiratorial.

Clark appointed Aisha Qaddafi, the daughter of murderous Libyan dictator Muammar Qaddafi, to be a UN Goodwill Ambassador. Aisha Qaddafi, of course, was not simply her dad’s daughter, however. She surely had other qualifications Clark found attractive. Perhaps Clark sought to honor her for her staunch legal defense of Saddam Hussein. Well, Clark did the right thing and terminated Aisha after her dad started mowing people down in the streets of Benghazi although the shootings in February were hardly the first time Qaddafi has used force against his own people. Suggesting that Aisha would shed light on AIDS issues seems a sick joke, considering her father’s wacky conspiracy theories about how the United States created AIDS and his willingness to use doctors and nurses treating the problem in Libya as hostages.

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Chinese Nukes and the Cain Charges

In a week in which Herman Cain was not beset with multiple claims of sexual harassment and seeking to blame all his troubles on a nefarious plot by Rick Perry, we might instead be talking about the Godfather Pizza CEO’s latest foreign policy gaffe. But though the two stories appear to be unrelated, even his loyalists should be pondering whether this disconnect between Cain and reality on many issues is in some way related to the way he has mishandled the news about the sexual harassment charges.

As for the gaffe, in an interview on PBS with Judy Woodruff on Monday, the Republican presidential candidate was asked whether he considered China a potential military threat. Though his affirmative answer to the question was correct in my opinion, he lost whatever little credibility that judgment might have gotten by claiming that China has “indicated that they’re trying to develop nuclear capability.” While it is possible that a great many other Americans don’t know that the Chinese exploded their first nuclear weapon 47 years ago, it’s also true that surveys of historical knowledge also show that many think the battle of Gettysburg was fought during World War Two. But would you really want to elect any of those people president even if they knew how to sell pizza? It also makes you wonder what other events in world history that have occurred since 1964 that Cain missed (note to Herman: the Berlin Wall fell and Francisco Franco is still dead).

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Fantasy Is a Genre of Christianity

Michael Weingrad’s brilliant essay “Why There Is No Jewish Narnia” in the Spring 2010 issue of the indispensable Jewish Review of Books offered several reasons for the lack of fantasy writing among Jews:

• “[T]he conventional trappings of fantasy, with their feudal atmosphere and rootedness in rural Europe, are not especially welcoming to Jews, who were too often at the wrong end of the medieval sword.”

• The “still agonizing historical weight” of the Holocaust “must press prohibitively upon Jewish engagement with the magical and fantastical.”

As a consequence of their history, Jews find “the notion of magic and wizards existing in our own world — as in, for example, the Harry Potter books” — hard to accept. (Warning: Weingrad gives no evidence of having read all seven Harry Potter books before daring to say such a thing.)

The main reason that Jews have largely avoided the genre of fantasy, though, is religious. C. S. Lewis was the author of The Chronicles of Narnia (1950–1956), perhaps the greatest series of fantasy novels ever written in English. Rereading the books as an adult, I was struck by what soared over my head as a boy: the Christian theology that organizes the series. But Lewis is not alone. J. R. R. Tolkien is now widely understood to be a Christian writer, and Christianity Today ranked his Lord of the Rings trilogy (1954–1955) among the top ten Christian books of the twentieth century. Even the Harry Potter books, if Bruce Charlton is to be believed, are works of “covert Christian supposal.” And no wonder.

Fantasy is ideally suited for Christianity’s kerygma, but it is a bad fit for Judaism. As Weingrad wonderfully puts it:

To put it crudely, if Christianity is a fantasy religion, then Judaism is a science fiction religion. If the former is individualistic, magical, and salvationist, the latter is collective, technical, and this-worldly. Judaism’s divine drama is connected with a specific people in a specific place within a specific history. Its halakhic core is not, I think, convincingly represented in fantasy allegory. In its rabbinic elaboration, even the messianic idea is shorn of its mythic and apocalyptic potential. Whereas fantasy grows naturally out of Christian soil, Judaism’s more adamant separation from myth and magic render classic elements of the fantasy genre undeveloped or suspect in the Jewish imaginative tradition.

Weingrad goes on to examine the differences between Christian and Jewish conceptions of magic and evil, which are essential to fantasy. But I’d like to draw attention to a third element.

Speaking as both an author and scholar of fantasy, Lewis said in a 1947 essay that “To construct plausible and moving ‘other worlds’ you must draw upon the only real ‘other world’ we know, that of the spirit.” No statement about the genre has ever been more definitive. The bedrock premise of fantasy, which cannot be waived without voiding the genre, is the existence of a spirit realm. Lewis’s Narnia, Tolkien’s Middle Earth, Rowling’s “wizarding world,” parallel universes of all kind are imaginative reconstructions of Christianity’s first principle: namely, that the “kingdom of heaven” is the only true world.

G. K. Chesterton illustrated the connection between fantasy and a belief in the spirit realm quite entertainingly in Orthodoxy (1908):

Fairyland is nothing but the sunny country of common sense. It is not earth that judges heaven, but heaven that judges earth; so for me at least it was not earth that criticised elfland, but elfland that criticised the earth. I knew the magic beanstalk before I had tasted beans; I was sure of the Man in the Moon before I was certain of the moon. This was at one with all popular tradition. Modern minor poets are naturalists, and talk about the bush or the brook; but the singers of the old epics and fables were supernaturalists, and talked about the gods of brook and bush.

But Jewish tradition stands at a right angle to “all popular tradition.” Jewish children’s literature has developed only since 1935. Traditionally, Jewish children were taught the stories of the Bible and the Midrashim that filled in the biblical gaps, but the clear emphasis was upon practical religious lessons.

More to the point, there is no spirit realm, no “other world,” in Judaism. There is no Ascension in the Jewish religion. On the contrary, there is God’s “moving about in the garden at the breezy time of day” (Gen 3.8), there is God’s decision to “go down to see whether [Sodom and Gomorrah] have acted altogether according to the outcry that has reached Me” (Gen 18.21), there is God’s exposing his backside to Moses (Exod 32.23). The dualism of matter and spirit, shadow and fulfillment, is foreign to Judaism.

If some Jewish readers have been exempt from the public enthusiasm for J. K. Rowling and the Harry Potter books, the explanation may lie as much in religious instinct and training as in literary criticism.

Could Perry Have Leaked the Cain Story?

First it was media bias. Then the left-wing racist noise-machine. And now the Cain campaign has moved on to blaming Rick Perry for leaking the story of his sexual harassment allegations to Politico:

“The actions of the Perry campaign are despicable,” Mark Block, Mr. Cain’s chief of staff, said on Fox News’s “Special Report” program. “Rick Perry and his campaign owe Herman Cain and his family an apology.”

It’s pretty typical for rival campaigns to leak unflattering stories about their opponents, but it’s unusual for the clash to play out so publicly. Cain is taking a risk by pointedly accusing Perry of the leak, based on this very thin evidence: one of Cain’s former staffers from his previous senate campaign (who Cain says he briefed on the sexual harassment allegations) just started working for Perry.

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Celebratory Butt Grab Leads to Lashes in Iran

Celebrating the winning goal during a soccer game televised throughout Iran, Mohammad Nosrati appears to have grabbed his teammate Sheys Rezaei’s buttocks. Nosrati’s goal gave Persepolis the lead from behind as the clock ran down. The video of that rogue action accompanies this Washington Post story.

Slaps on the butt are a curious but commonplace phenomenon among athletes in Europe and the United States, but Nosrati crossed the line as far as regime officials are concerned. In a truly asinine move, Iran’s soccer federation slapped a $40,000 fine on both players, and suspended them. Iranian parliamentarians are now calling for both players to be flogged, although it is not clear whether the parliamentarians in question come from Qazvin, or elsewhere in Iran.

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