Commentary Magazine


Posts For: December 15, 2011

Live Blog: The GOP Debate

Winners: Romney, Bachmann, Santorum. Losers: Gingrich, Paul.

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The debate ends. Big question is whether the beating Gingrich took on Freddie Mac will cripple him.

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Question about Reagan’s 11th commandment is another soft question.

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Did Bachmann just say abortion is a seminal issue? Blasts Gingrich as a compromiser on embryos. Gingrich says she doesn’t have her facts right. Again, Bachmann won’t back down.

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Santorum accues Romney of issuing gay marriage licenses. Romney he says Mass. court ruled and he fought it.

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Romney asked about abortion flip-flop. Says Mass. legislation changed his mind. Sounds pretty convincing. Also makes good argument against discrimination against gays while still opposing same sex marriage.

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Debate Preview: Last Dance Before Iowa

Tonight’s debate in Sioux City, Iowa is the 14th in which all the major Republican candidates have participated since the first back in May. The campaign has undergone a number of major twists and turns in that time but after all the talking and the spinning, this event will be the last one before the Iowa caucus. That means that this will be the last chance for any of the contenders to change the minds of viewers of this latest episode of what has become the country’s favorite political reality show.

Once again the focus will be on Newt Gingrich who has been leading the national polls for weeks. With the release of a Rasmussen poll today that, as Alana noted, showed Mitt Romney overtaking Gingrich, there is a chance that the former speaker’s bubble may finally be bursting. This debate will therefore be closely watched not merely for the usual question of who makes the biggest mistake but as a sign of whether Gingrich is finally cracking under the pressure of attacks from Romney and the rest of the field. Since the debates have largely shaped this race, this last one before the votes start being counted will be crucial.

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Live Blogging the GOP Debate

Join us tonight as senior online editor Jonathan S. Tobin live blogs the latest Republican presidential debate from Iowa. So tune in to Fox News at 9 pm and then log on to Commentarymagazine.com for live insights as the GOP contenders have at it yet again.

Too Many Debates?

As the candidates prepare for the debate in Iowa tonight, Karl Rove outlines how the nonstop debates may actually be detrimental to the race:

Each debate kills at least three days: one day (and sometimes two) to prepare, the day of the debate, and the day after, spent dealing with the fallout from the night before. This late in the process – there are 19 days left until Iowa and 26 days until New Hampshire, with Christmas and New Year’s holidays eliminating crucial campaign dates – many candidates might want to chart their own schedules and set their own message priorities. But the debates won’t allow for that.…

Debates transfer power to the media, draining it from the campaigns. Moderators and their news organizations – through questions they frame or select – have more impact than candidates on what’s covered and discussed.

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Millennial Poll Should Alarm Obama

In 2008, voters under the age of 30 helped catapult Obama into the White House. Three years later, Obama’s approval rating is underwater with the demographic, which is becoming increasingly confident he’ll lose reelection.

According to a Harvard University poll out today, Obama’s approval rating with young Americans is at the lowest point of his presidency:

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Israel Now on Anti-Assad Bandwagon

Bashar Assad just lost another major ally. No, not Iran: Tehran is still the regime’s staunch backer–the only one it has left. No, not Turkey: Ankara turned against Assad weeks ago. And not Hamas: It too has already abandoned Assad. The latest government to join the anti-Assad caucus? Israel.

At first glance, this may seem like a surprising defection. Who would ever have expected Israel to be a supporter of Assad in the first place? Syria under the Assads (father and son) fought Israel in 1972 and 1982–and those were just the overt wars. Syria has also been a major source of surreptitious support to anti-Israel terror groups such as Hamas and Hezbollah. Yet all the while, Israeli officials quietly supported the Assads–or at least did not try to topple them–on the “better the devil you know” theory. Now that’s changed, with Defense Minister Ehud Barak telling reporters that Assad is finished and that’s a good thing:

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What if Ron Paul Wins in Iowa?

Chris Wallace is a brave man, and I’m sure his inbox is quickly filling with thousands of unintelligible hate messages from Ron Paul fans as I type. He is right, though. Because Paul has zero chance of winning the Republican nomination, a victory in Iowa would basically just reset the clock:

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Farewell to Independent Bookstores

Fascinating discussion of independent bookstores yesterday at Instapundit. Glenn Reynolds started things off by linking to a Slate article by Farhad Manjoo, which characterized independent booksellers as “the least efficient, least user-friendly, and most mistakenly mythologized local establishments you can find.”

Reynolds’s readers piled on, describing indies as “unwelcoming” and “elitist,” with an inventory of books that is “ridiculously one-dimensional.” Amen to all that. When American fiction went through its Great Schism in the early Eighties, dividing into a “literary” rite and a “genre” rite, bookstores followed suit. The large chains with franchise stores in shopping malls (Waldenbooks, B. Dalton) scooped up the largest market share; the hoi polloi shopped there for the books they had heard about, the books everyone was reading — including the fiction that still believed in Story.

The indies went upscale. By the time Borders was acquired by Kmart and merged with Waldenbooks in 1992, the concept of the bookstore had been changed forever. The new bookstore, modeled upon famous indies like the Gotham Book Mart, City Lights in San Francisco, and Elliott Bay Book Company in Seattle, were more like literary salons than retail businesses. They were identified with local writers and literary schools; they hosted readings; they recommended this book, not that one (definitely not that one); they supported causes (say hello to Banned Book Week). They were the storefront headquarters of the literary left.

Perhaps most tellingly, they encouraged their customers to loiter. They offered comfortable reading chairs and library desks. You were urged to take a stack of books to a corner and stay awhile. You were even welcome to sit down with a cup of coffee (and eventually the bookstores opened their own coffee shops on the premises). The books were confined to the walls: large open spaces were given over to those who wished total immersion in the pseudo-literary experience. (Before long, teenagers had commandeered the library tables for after-school get-togethers, where they could gossip and text instead of studying and no adults would hush them or chase them away.)

I keep trying to imagine a hardware store with a floor plan (and a customer base) like an independent bookseller — middle-aged men, sprawled in chairs, intermittently gunning the impact driver; talkative groups of day laborers crowded around a table saw, slurping energy drinks and hoping that no one hires them. Clerks sniff haughtily if a customer asks for Black & Decker. In the evening, a soulful drywall man expounds, in a dramatic voice, his emotional experiences with joint compound and black silicon carbide paper.

Maybe the independent bookstores have a lousy business model? Maybe that is what’s killing them — that and the inevitable crash of the high-end literary market. Not Amazon. The only advantage that Amazon really enjoys is an understanding of the book market, which is still strong when customers can be served efficiently (and with a minimum of self-congratulation on the part of sellers).

Although some of my happiest memories are of bookstores, where I have passed long hours of my life, I haven’t “browsed” in a new bookstore for several years now. The only time I linger, losing an entire afternoon to fruitless searches and unexpected discoveries, is in a used bookstore. Despite feeling sorry for the employees who lost their jobs, I wasn’t particularly upset to see Borders go bankrupt, and I am not saddened by the plight of the independent booksellers. They bet everything upon the literary elite, and the shooter has crapped out.

How Politically Toxic is OWS?

How politically toxic has Occupy Wall Street become? So toxic that even the Congressional Progressive Caucus – led by Reps. Keith Ellison and Raul Gijalva – is too nervous to be seen with it.

Roll Call reports the CPC had a private meeting scheduled with OWS activists this week, which was promptly canceled once the newspaper started inquiring about it:

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Anti-Israelism’s Endless Conspiracy

A well-worn trope of the conspiracy theory is that any evidence brought forward to contradict it is easily manipulated into proof of the theory itself. The 9/11 truther movement, to cite one notable recent example, sees any scientific debunking of the idea that the Twin Towers were brought down by any means other than the planes that were crashed into them as signs of the breadth of the conspiracy to silence alternative explanations.

Perhaps unintentionally, Tom Friedman’s shameful claim that the “Israel lobby” had “bought and paid for” Congress brought out a similar type of thinking in regards to the world’s oldest and most successful conspiracy theory, this time in its anti-Israelist guise.

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Beware Selling Surveillance Systems

This Wall Street Journal article about how a French company called Amesys sold Muammar Qaddafi surveillance equipment that enabled him to monitor the emails of dissidents should be required reading in Silicon Valley. Amesys’s role has come out now that Qaddafi has been overthrown. There is no indication that the company did anything illegal, but the immorality of helping a dictator to repress dissidents should be obvious.

That lesson should be taken to heart by companies such as Cisco, which are helping the People’s Republic of China to erect a giant electronic surveillance system. Such projects may be perfectly innocuous when built in liberal democracies such as Britain or the U.S. They take on a more sinister mien in a dictatorship like China or Qaddafi’s Libya. If only more high-tech companies had the guts of Google which has pulled out of China rather than submit to communist censorship.

A Misguided Fidelity Pledge

An Iowa Christian conservative group, The Family Leader, has urged presidential candidates to sign a pledge called “The Marriage Vow: A declaration of dependence upon marriage and family.” At the top of the list is this pledge: “Personal fidelity to my spouse.”

Now, I’m all for fidelity in marriage–for religious, personal and societal reasons. But this pledge strikes me as misguided.

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Romney Pulls into Lead in Iowa

Rasmussen reports that in the Iowa caucus, Mitt Romney leads former Speaker Newt Gingrich 23 percent to 20 percent, with Ron Paul close by at 18 percent. It’s a small margin, but it’s another sign that Gingrich’s support might be flagging in Iowa.

Gingrich may be relying on tonight’s debate in Sioux City to reverse his momentum. But Iowa political observers aren’t sure whether it will make up for his lack of campaign infrastructure:

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Syria Heading to Civil War?

In the Financial Times, former UN Undersecretary General Michael Williams offers a sobering analysis of the situation in Syria. He compares that country to Yugoslavia and warns that it could be the scene of an equally devastating civil war:

Two-thirds of its population are Sunnis, but the regime draws its principal strength from minorities such as the Christians and the Druze and, above all, the heterodox Islamic sect, the Alawites. Over the years the oft-proclaimed secularism of the regime has been little more than a rejection of Sunni Arab nationalism. The worst case scenario is that Syria, like multi-confessional Yugoslavia, descends into chaos and civil war. That is the black cloud that hangs over not only Syria, but also the whole Levant.

Neighboring Lebanon, the most polyglot Arab county with Sunni, Shia and Christians mixed with Druze and Armenians, lives in fear that a descent into greater conflict within Syria will trigger discord in a country only just recovering from the 1975-90 civil war. Iraq too sees the situation in Syria as deeply destabilizing and one that could reignite the Sunni/Shia conflict of recent years.

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