When liberal pro-immigration groups criticize a Republican candidate, it will often understandably be written off as pure partisanship (or in some cases, preparing for a plum administration appointment). But what happens when the presumptive GOP nominee is taking fire on immigration from Republican groups, and even a Republican governor who has attracted speculation she might be considered for the vice presidential nomination? The Wall Street Journal reports:
Mitt Romney’s embrace of Kris Kobach, the man behind a spate of laws intended to rid states like Arizona of illegal immigrants, is drawing fire from Hispanic Republicans and immigrant advocates who say the GOP front-runner has damaged his chances of attracting Latino voters in the presidential election.
“Romney committed political suicide when he received Kobach’s endorsement,” said DeeDee Garcia Blase, founder of Somos Republicans, a grassroots Latino Republican group. Somos Republicans announced Monday that it is endorsing Newt Gingrich in the Republican primary.
[…]
Concerned about alienating Hispanics, the Republican National Committee has enlisted a director for Latino outreach. New Mexico Gov. Susan Martinez, who is a Republican, last week urged her party’s presidential candidates to tone down their immigration rhetoric. Arizona Sen. John McCain is also among prominent Republicans who have recently cautioned against taking an anti-immigrant stance.
Romney has chosen immigration as one area to run to the right of his rivals to shore up his conservative credibility. But it may not have been the best choice. The issue has potency, and in fact hurt Rick Perry’s candidacy a few months ago when he defended, somewhat awkwardly, offering in-state tuition to the children of illegal immigrants. Newt Gingrich also took a more moderate line on immigration, similar to Perry’s, and it seemed to leave him unscathed.
But as a general-election issue, Romney may have put himself in a box. Romney is not just to the right of Gingrich and Perry on the issue; he’s to the right of every Republican presidential nominee in recent history. After Ann Coulter and Peter Robinson discussed the topic on a Ricochet podcast last week, Ben Domenech jumped into the fray with some statistics that reveal why the GOP’s border state politicians are telling Romney to cool it:
Now, I’m skeptical of a lot of data about illegal immigrants because, well, it’s a bit difficult to assess. But as far as such data goes, the folks at Pew do a pretty thorough job. They estimated recently that two-thirds of illegal immigrants have been here for more than a decade.
Of the total, Pew found that 35% of illegal immigrants have been here for more than 15 years. And only 15% have been here for less than five years (this is the area where I think their estimate is questionable, as that would likely be the population more difficult to track; on the flip side, the economic downturn of the last four years has almost certainly slowed traffic in this direction).
The overall point is that a long-term illegal immigrant is not some outlier, but actually a significant portion of the population.
If you support hard-line policies to curb illegal immigration, at some point you have to ask yourself whether your plan really calls for the deportation of 6.4 million adults (out of the 10.2 estimated total) who have been in this country for at least a decade, almost half of whom have children under the age of 18. If the answer is yes, you are left with two follow-up questions: Can this in any way be considered realistic? And presuming you do not accomplish this (for a host of reasons), have you just told 3 million parents in the demographic that accounted for 56 percent of the nation’s population growth in the last decade that your party wants them and their children out?
In other words, is it possible your plan is both bad politics and bad policy? Since the general-election ads against this line have presumably already been cut, Romney needs to have answers to all those questions.










How about an immigration policy at least as restrictive as Israel's? Build a fence, expel the illegals, only allow immigration by the dominant ethnic group?
How about a comment from Vile Old Man that doesn't connect everything to Israel, no matter how tenuous the connection?
I think the right plan is to stop illegal immigration and secure the border and deport felons (using the definition of grave or violent crimes committed) … and deal with those who are here illegally and not criminals later — not granting them citizenship or a free college education, but not expelling somebody's family either. That is, I think securing the border should be the policy focus (as both Gingrich and Perry, as I understand it, seem to be all about, for the most part). That would undo decades of no policy or only a bad policy. That would also be a policy it would be easy for Romney to change to (especially if it's worded like this in the party platform).
Thanks for this, Seth! I couldn't agree more. I'm afraid the GOP will lose Independents and Latinos on this issue alone. This shameless pandering to hardliners was so unnecessary for a presumptive nominee.
The GOP will never get much of the so called "Hispanic vote" because so many "Hispanics" (really, Latinos or Mexicans is more correct) are either illegal aliens or legal alliens and the vast majority are left-liberal. Think about it, why would poor, lowly educated people vote for smaller government, less taxes and no ethnic favoritism? n nGOP's better strategy is to overwhemlingly win the native born White American vote, since White Americans make up nearly 75% of the voting electorate. Long term strategy is to reduce all immigration and begin an "immigration time-out" which will help assimilate existing immigrants, make therm mroe "American" and then they will start to vote for conservative philosophy.
I've noticed whenever someone seems about to get serious about illegal immigration there are those who leap to their feet with arguments about why nothing should be done.
Aren't we tired of a racial spoils system as Americans. Didn't MLK say something about character being better than skin color [and ethnicity] in judging a person? Of course, the New Spain social pyramid is still very much in existence, and while encomiendas no longer are in existence, vestiges can still be seen in the Western Hemisphere in former Spanish and Portuguese colonies.
On the issue of immigration the GOP can mobilise the other minorities against hispanics by:r nIncreasing legal immigration of skilled workers from Eastern Europe and Asia(we actually need them for the revival of heavy industry and IT.)This can certaintly attract the asian and white american vote.r nIncrease welfare for the poor(whites and blacks)and point out the fact that illegals have drastically reduced the job options for poor unskilled blacks(and young college students) this is actually true.r nIf the Republicans focus on this,the will have more than 80%of the electorate.