Commentary Magazine


Posts For: January 18, 2012

“Iron Lady” Bias Can’t Diminish Thatcher

“The Iron Lady” is not a very good movie. In conception, it suffers from the problem inherent in any biopic: the order of events is well-known, and the characters are dictated by history. The result is that most biopics are bad. The classic example is Richrd Attenborough’s “Young Winston,” which despite being directed by a prominent cinematic artist, and being based on one of the great adventure stories of the modern age, is desperately dull.

In comparison to that low standard, “The Iron Lady” comes off tolerably well, though it suffers badly from a “if it’s minute 56, it must be the miner’s strike” feeling. It’s also far too obvious about putting guns on the mantelpiece in the first act so they can be fired in the third: when you hear a young Margaret Thatcher saying she doesn’t want to end her life washing up tea cups, you know how the movie will end. And it’s got an obsession with butter – covering it, using too much of it, and buying it– that may have been intended as a misbegotten metaphor for domesticity, but comes off as weird.

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Is it Time to Attack Iran?

I have already blogged on Matthew Kroening’s compelling article in the most recent issue of Foreign Affairs: “Time to Attack Iran.” Now the Foreign Affairs website has posted two thought-provoking responses.

One, by Colin Kahl, who recently left the Defense Department as a senior official, argues the case against striking Iran. Or, to be exact, he argues that “given the high costs and inherent uncertainties of a strike, the United States should not rush to use force until all other options have been exhausted and the Iranian threat is not just growing but imminent”—a point that even most advocates of military action would not, I suspect, disagree with.

The other response, by Jamie Fly of the Foreign Policy Initiative and Gary Schmitt of the American Enterprise Institute, argues the case for more ambitious attacks designed not only to stop the Iranian nuclear program but to overthrow the regime.

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Can Iran Talk its Way Out of Oil Embargo?

While the Obama administration is talking a good game lately about tightening sanctions on Iran, it has yet to take the steps that would make an oil embargo on Iran possible. Thus, even though the Europeans are taking such steps, the gap between American rhetoric and action may be encouraging the Iranians to believe they may once again be able to entice the West into pointless negotiations that would give Tehran’s scientists and technicians more time to achieve their goal of a nuclear weapon.

That may be the story behind the claims coming out of Iran that a new round of talks with the West on the nuclear issue may be in the offing. Though we take Iranian Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi’s comments made today in Turkey that “negotiations under way about venue and date” with a grain of salt, there is little question that Iran is counting on Obama’s hesitancy and the diplomatic support of Russia and the Turks to allow them to go on stalling the international community. The signals they are getting that the United States is exerting pressure on Israel to put off any plans of attacking Iran may also have convinced the Islamist regime they are in no imminent danger.

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A Dispirited, Polarized and Deeply Pessimistic Electorate

Jon Cohen and Dan Balz, writing about a new Washington Post poll, say that President Obama “faces a dispirited and polarized electorate that is sharply divided over his record, worried about the pace of the economic recovery and deeply pessimistic about the country’s trajectory.”

According to the poll:

Obama’s job ratings in the Post poll are 48 percent approval and 48 percent disapproval.

On the economy, easily the most important issue to the public, the president’s approval rating is 41 percent (57 percent disapprove).

Only 9 percent of Americans see a strong economic recovery.

Twice as many people say they are worse off financially since Obama became president than say their situations have improved.

More than half the respondents — 52 percent — say Obama has accomplished “not much” or “little or nothing” as president.

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Obama Administration Rejects Keystone XL

President Obama has rejected the application for the Keystone XL Pipeline. And with that, Obama just handed Republicans a major battering ram to use against him on job-creation. Here’s the president’s full statement (via TransportationNation):

Earlier today, I received the Secretary of State’s recommendation on the pending application for the construction of the Keystone XL Pipeline. As the State Department made clear last month, the rushed and arbitrary deadline insisted on by congressional Republicans prevented a full assessment of the pipeline’s impact, especially the health and safety of the American people, as well as our environment. As a result, the Secretary of State has recommended that the application be denied. And after reviewing the State Department’s report, I agree.

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The Importance of the Next Debate

Tomorrow night’s GOP presidential debate (hosted by CNN) will be fascinating to watch. Newt Gingrich did extremely well on Monday. He was clearly the evening’s dominant figure. If he can string together a second impressive debate, he might alter the trajectory of this contest, which until now has been all in favor of Mitt Romney.

If Gingrich does as well on Thursday as he did on Monday, the former speaker might well create distance between himself and Rick Santorum, setting Gingrich up once and for all as the “conservative alternative” to Mitt Romney. An outright victory for Gingrich will be difficult but not impossible (he currently trails Romney by almost 10 points in South Carolina, according to today’s the RealClearPolitics.com average of polls). If Romney is defeated in South Carolina, the road to the coronation is stopped, at least for a while. (Romney is fortunate that after the South Carolina primary comes Florida, where Romney is in outstanding shape.)

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Obama Ceding Middle East and South Asia to China

In his influential NightWatch security newsletter, analyst John McCreary notes the impetus behind the new Chinese/UAE strategic partnership announced yesterday:

China has maintained a strategic relationship with Saudi Arabia since before the first Gulf War. The closer relationship with the UAE signifies that China intends to be consequential in both Sunni Arab states as well as Shiite Iran. A recent analysis concluded that Arab states friendly to the U.S. now perceive that the will to use U.S. influence in the Middle East is waning and thus have begun looking for other partners to help ensure their long term security. China is the obvious candidate and is showing that it is prepared to fill any power vacuum the U.S. chooses to leave.

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Chris Dodd: Cut it Out With the Anti-SOPA ‘Gimmicks’

Former Senator Chris Dodd, who’s been one of the most prominent lobbyists for the SOPA/PIPA bill in his new position as Motion Picture Association of America CEO, lashed out at critics participating in the Internet blackout last night. Websites like Wikipedia and Reddit have been dark since midnight in protest of the legislation:

But Dodd called the blackout a “dangerous gimmick.”

“It is an irresponsible response and a disservice to people who rely on them for information and who use their services,” Dodd said in a statement. “It is also an abuse of power given the freedoms these companies enjoy in the marketplace today.”

Disagreeing with Wikipedia and Reddit’s position is one thing, but how exactly is the blackout “irresponsible” and “an abuse of power”? The First Amendment covers the protest actions of these websites, just like it protected Dodd’s own congressional lobbying.

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Téa Obreht’s Anti-War Message

Just wrapped up a discussion of Téa Obreht’s The Tiger’s Wife in my course on contemporary literature. In my remarks, I made no secret of my unease with the novel’s ideological message. After the bombing raids start in an unnamed city in an unnamed Balkan country at some unspecified time in the last 12 years, her grandfather makes clear to the narrator Natalia his view of war:

When your fight has purpose — to free you from something, to interfere on the behalf of the innocent — it has a hope of finality. When the fight is about unraveling — when it is about your name, the places to which your blood is anchored, the attachment of your name to some landmark or event — there is nothing but hate, and the long, slow progression of people who feed on it and are fed it, meticulously, by the ones who come before them. Then the fight is endless, and comes in waves and waves, but always retains its capacity to surprise those who hope against it.

A little later in the novel, the grandfather explains that he has no side in the war. “I am all sides,” he says. The novelist too, by all appearances. Obreht’s method is to strip history from The Tiger’s Wife. Even when Germans “arrive” in grandfather’s village and “finally the train” begins to run through town, “the rattle and cough of the tracks” awakening the villagers at night, the Germans are not identified as Nazis and the train is not identified as going to Auschwitz (and the Jews are erased altogether). The “endless war” could be any war in which any innocents are killed in any way.

And my students were quick to notice as much. One pointed out how neatly the grandfather’s passage fits the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. Another student observed that this is just his generation’s basic view of war. (Obreht, who is 26, is only slightly older than the students in my class.) “We are ambivalent about it [the Palestinian-Israeli conflict],” he said. “For us, neither side is clearly in the right.”

A clear majority of my students disliked The Tiger’s Wife, although their reasons were aesthetic rather than ideological. (Loose ends were not tied up, they complained. “I will not explain what happened between the tiger and his wife,” Natalia announces three pages from the end. “I had to read a whole novel to find out you were not even going to tell me what happened?” a student cried in outrage.) But my own dislike of the novel was almost entirely ideological. Its generalized dissatisfaction with the wanton destruction of endless (and featureless) war removed the story from the Balkans and set it in a No Place, where magical stories provide a magical refuge from history. Except for scattered references to rajika and gossip about the origins of its celebrated young author, there would be no way of knowing that The Tiger’s Wife was a novel about the Balkans and no reason to care.

Dems Should Be Wary of Wisconsin Recall

With the delivery of more than a million signatures to the state capital in Madison earlier this week, backing the recall of Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker, Democrats may think they have set the stage for an epic battle in which they will reverse the outcome of the 2010 midterm elections. Walker became a symbol of the GOP victory when upon taking office he took his campaign pledges and with the aid of new Republican majorities in the Wisconsin legislature, set about reforming state government in a way that infuriated unions and other Democratic constituencies.

Despite walkouts and other tactics that failed, Democrats could not stop Walker from undoing a collective bargaining process that had allowed state worker unions to put that state on a path to bankruptcy. But with the recall effort, the left is set to take its revenge for that loss. If successful, and right now it’s difficult to argue that Walker is not in trouble, they would not only knock off a GOP governor but also issue a warning that any other Republican who dares to try to deal with state employee entitlements will meet the same fate. But what Democrats have not thought about is the consequences of a Walker victory.

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Another UN Anti-Israel Spectacle

If you were concerned that the United Nations is spending too much time on the massacres of civilians in Syria, or on the ongoing arrests of journalists in Turkey, or on the repression of women in Egypt, or on the persecution and murder of Christians in Nigeria and across the Arab Spring countries – you can set your mind at ease. Today, the UN Security Council will be focused on Israel:

The UN Security Council will on Wednesday hear a briefing on the humanitarian situation in the occupied Palestinian territories which the United States had opposed… Valerie Amos, the UN humanitarian coordinator, will give details on the impact of Israeli settlements at the UN Security Council meeting on Wednesday morning as part of discussions on the Middle East, diplomats said. Morocco officially made the request for the briefing as the Arab representative on the 15-member council. The briefing would be “useful,” said Morocco’s UN ambassador Mohammed Loulichki.

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Senate Republicans Turn Against SOPA/PIPA

Today’s Internet blackout protesting the SOPA/PIPA bills – which would allow the federal government to shut down accused copyright violators online without due process – is already making an impact. Legislators who support the bills are being barraged with angry phone calls, and this morning Sen. Marco Rubio withdrew his co-sponsorship of the PIPA legislation:

I have been a co-sponsor of the PROTECT IP Act because I believe it’s important to protect American ingenuity, ideas and jobs from being stolen through Internet piracy, much of it occurring overseas through rogue websites in China. As a senator from Florida, a state with a large presence of artists, creators and businesses connected to the creation of intellectual property, I have a strong interest in stopping online piracy that costs Florida jobs.

However, we must do this while simultaneously promoting an open, dynamic Internet environment that is ripe for innovation and promotes new technologies. …

Therefore, I have decided to withdraw my support for the Protect IP Act. Furthermore, I encourage Senator Reid to abandon his plan to rush the bill to the floor. Instead, we should take more time to address the concerns raised by all sides, and come up with new legislation that addresses Internet piracy while protecting free and open access to the Internet.

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Does Gingrich Think Romney’s Tax Rates Are Too Low?

With time running out before the crucial South Carolina primary, Newt Gingrich is grasping at any issue that he thinks will damage frontrunner Mitt Romney. After the disastrous reaction to his attempt to demonize Romney’s business experience at Bain Capital, the former House speaker has moved on to another topic he hopes will do him so good: Romney’s tax returns. But in doing so, Gingrich has not only once again given Democrats an early start at bashing the most likely Republican nominee, but he has succumbed again to the bizarre temptation of attacking a fellow Republican from the left.

Gingrich may think he has embarrassed Romney by harping on the release of his tax returns since the implication of the demand is that his rival is either hiding something or is not paying his fair share. Since the former is clearly not the case, it is the latter point upon which Democrats have seized today after Romney owned up to having paid a rate in the vicinity of 15 percent of his income. They have gleefully sought to use this revelation as proof of the need to raise taxes on the wealthy. But the question today for Gingrich is why, if Republicans have uniformly opposed raising tax rates, should GOP primary voters think ill of Romney for this reason? If Gingrich is implying via means of this issue that Romney should be paying more, is he telling us he supports raising taxes? If not, what point is he trying to make other than to appeal to South Carolinians to vote against Romney because he’s rich?

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The NY Times’ Invidious Racial Stereotypes

New York Times editorialists, not exactly known for their racial sensitivity, have an especially offensive editorial this morning. The subject of the editorial is Newt Gingrich’s answer to Monday night’s debate question in which Gingrich defended the dignity and work ethic of minorities.

The editors say that “racial resentment” is behind the following statement of Gingrich’s: “The fact is that more people have been put on food stamps by Barack Obama than any president in American history.” After disputing the word “put” but conceding that Gingrich’s numbers about the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) were correct, the editors say this: “Non-Hispanic whites also far outnumber blacks receiving SNAP benefits.” That’s right–and this is more than just an example of what our own Max Boot likes to call the Times’ “self-refuting” editorials; it’s an admission that when someone says “food stamps” the Times hears “African-Americans.”

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Occupy Congress Pits Liberal Activists Against Anarchists

The protest permit would have allowed 10,000, but the Associated Press is reporting that the Occupy march on the West Lawn of the Capitol ended up drawing just a few hundred activists yesterday. Some of the low turnout can be chalked up to the bad weather, but you’d think people who willingly sleep outside for weeks at a time wouldn’t be so deterred by a little rain.

The underlying problem may be that the movement is having some serious identity issues, now that the curious onlookers and fair-weather supporters have checked out for the winter. Right now the Occupiers have fizzled down to two core elements: professional liberal activists and radical anarchists. Needless to say, they’re having a hard time agreeing on which path the movement should head down:

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Progressives Fiddle While Turkish Women Burn

Yesterday, on the American Enterprise Institute’s blog, I noted that while I wish Governor Rick Perry had been a bit more precise regarding his criticism of Turkey, he was not as wrong as some media commentators and pundits have suggested. The Turkish leadership is not comprised of terrorists; they are just sponsors and enablers of terrorism. Perry has now buckled down, and has defended his remarks on CNN, citing predominantly the sorry situation of women in Turkey.

While pundits may have fun bashing Perry for his lack of nuance—see here Joshua Marshall’s blog post, for example—progressives might question why it is that the murder rate of women in Turkey has, according to Turkey’s own Justice Ministry, increased 1,400 percent under Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, and why such a staggering figure has been met with such silence by progressive bloggers and the mainstream media until now. Certainly, it seems that progressives are fiddling while Turkish women literally burn.