Commentary Magazine


Posts For: January 23, 2012

Debate Roundup: Romney Strikes Back as Gingrich Plays Defense

At the last two debates in South Carolina, Newt Gingrich took charge with stinging attacks on the moderators and on Mitt Romney. But in the first of two Florida debates this week, Romney took the offensive, landing a number of telling blows on Gingrich. For the first time in this series of debates, the former Massachusetts governor didn’t play the frontrunner attempting to rise above the fray with his only focus on Barack Obama. Instead, he zeroed in on Gingrich’s record as a Washington influence peddler and paid advocate. Though at times he tried to turn the tables on Romney, Gingrich was consistently put on the defensive as he tried to defend his record, leaving him few opportunities to score points or to deliver one of his trademark rants at the expense of those hosting the debate.

In the midst of what was one of the most boring of all the GOP debates it was a good night for Romney and may help slow down Gingrich’s momentum. But this was no knockout. Gingrich was on his heels most of the night, but there were no gaffes. Nor is it clear whether merely going on the attack is going to convince conservatives that Romney is their kind of candidate. For all of his aggressiveness and strong arguments about free enterprise, Romney still lacked the ideological passion that helped propel Gingrich back into the lead last week.

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Live Blog: The GOP Debate

Winner: Romney got his shots in and stayed on messge. Loser: Gingrich looked and sounded subdued. Not clear whether this changes much though.

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Gingrich gives meandering answer about presidency. Gingrich uses his question about American greatness to shift to economic agenda. He’s certainly staying on message. The debate ends without Santorum or Paul getting a closing question.

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Romney asked what he’s done to advance conservatism. His answer his family and his business and being elected governor of a liberal state. Not quite the red meat the right wants. Newt lists a life of conservative activism. Santorum tears into them both as liberals on health care and cap and trade. Best moment of the night for him. Paul then explains the difference between conservatism and libertarianism. He’s the latter, not the former.

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After so many debates it’s hard to compare them but if there was a more boring one than this, I don’t remember it.

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Gingrich, Reagan and “Ressentiment”

I’ve expressed my concerns about Newt Gingrich several times already, so there’s no need to rehash them here. But I’m certainly willing to give Gingrich his due: his smashing victory in South Carolina was a comeback for the ages. A week ago Gingrich was in the political intensive care unit, having finished in the back of the pack in both Iowa and New Hampshire and trailing Mitt Romney in the Palmetto State. Now he’s comfortably ahead of Romney in several polls in Florida.

Two debates are set for this week, including one tonight, and the primary is a week from tomorrow. And all of a sudden Newt Gingrich, 2012 GOP nominee, is not beyond the realm of the possible. All because Gingrich put together an extraordinary four days, beginning with last Monday night’s Fox News debate and culminating in his verbal assault of CNN’s John King on Thursday.

It was an amazing 96 hours.

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Live Blogging the GOP Debate

Join us tonight as senior online editor Jonathan S. Tobin live blogs the Republican presidential debate taking place tonight in Tampa, Florida. So tune in to NBC at 9 pm and then log on to Commentarymagazine.com for live insights as the final four candidates have at it once again.

Pressure Is On Romney Tonight

How crucial is tonight’s debate for Mitt Romney? Well, he’s dropping to a distant second in Florida, and his national lead on Newt Gingrich has disintegrated to just one point, according to Gallup’s latest tracking poll (via Ed Morrissey at HotAir):

Hey, Mitt Romney can finally look at a poll today where he’s leading. Unfortunately, it’s still bad news for Romney, as the Gallup national tracking poll shows Newt Gingrich has closed to within one point over the last three days. Romney now leads Gingrich only 29/28, dropping one point while Gingrich rose three overnight. That means that polling over the last couple of days has gone for Gingrich as the race heads into Florida.

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Lying About the Stimulus

James Pethokoukis has done an excellent job redacting some of the revelations that were uncovered by a piece in The New Yorker by Ryan Lizza about the first days of the Obama White House. One of the source materials for Lizza’s piece was a 57-page memo by economist Lawrence Summers written in December 2008. Summers, who would soon be appointed head of the incoming president’s National Economic Council, provided a fascinating blueprint for the new administration policies. Pethokoukis lists 11 main points that tell us all we need to know about the economic stimulus package that the Democrat-controlled Congress passed at Obama’s behest.

Chief among them is this: the nearly trillion-dollar expenditure package was primarily about implementing Obama’s political agenda, not fixing a damaged economy.

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Liberals Join the Topple Assad Argument

Back in November, I argued that it was time to take more vigorous action to end the civil war in Syria and help topple the increasingly illegitimate Assad regime. I suggested, in particular, providing more support to the opposition, including to the armed opposition (the Free Syrian Army) and also possibly employing air strikes against Assad’s forces and the imposition of “buffer” or “safe” zones to protect some population centers from his thugs. Turkish forces, I suggested, would have to take the lead in that.

Since then, not much has happened beyond more killing. With the death toll over 5,000 and the revolt still not extinguished, Syria continues to sink deeper and deeper into a civil war, even as the Obama administration blithely pronounce Bashar al-Assad’s days to be numbered. Sure they are. But are we talking about two weeks, two months, two years or two decades? The number of days he has left matters, because in the time remaining to him he can still inflict considerable misery on the Syrian people and draw neighboring states into a ruinous civil war.

That is why I am glad to see some distinguished friends and colleagues joining the argument that the U.S. needs to do more to bring down Assad. Three articles in this regard are worth checking out.

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Note to GOP: Pick Your Poison

Almost on cue, the blogosphere is lighting up today with talk about the possibility of a Republican presidential candidate emerging in the coming weeks who will save the GOP from being led into November by a weakened Mitt Romney or, even worse, a guaranteed loser like Newt Gingrich. The latest pundit to pick up on this theme is the New York Times’s Ross Douthat, who writes to defend the honor of The Weekly Standard’s William Kristol, whom he feels has been unfairly maligned for his constant calls for an alternative.

Kristol, whom I also greatly admire, needs no help from Douthat in defending his ideas. But the point is not that, as Douthat puts it, “he’s been right all along” about the need for a better candidate. Of course, a stronger field of presidential wannabes would have better served the Republicans. The problem with Kristol’s thesis is not that the GOP doesn’t need a better candidate, but that it is too late for a potential messiah to win the nomination.

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Rand Paul and the TSA Firestorm

Who’s ready for another populist, anti-TSA firestorm?

Authorities blocked U.S. Sen. Rand Paul at the Nashville airport Monday after the Kentucky Republican refused a pat-down at a security checkpoint, his spokeswoman said.

Paul went through a scanner at the airport and set off an alarm, said his spokeswoman, Moira Bagley. He wanted to go through the body scan again instead of getting a pat-down, but officers of the Transportation Security Administration refused, Bagley said.

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Obama’s Favorite Foreign Leader

The Washington Post’s Jackson Diehl is a normally sober observer of foreign affairs so it’s a bit disappointing to see him writing today in defense of Turkey’s Islamic government. Diehl’s starting point was to debunk Rick Perry’s comment in last week’s debate in South Carolina in which the Texas governor claimed Turkey was run by “Islamic terrorists” and questioned its continuing presence in NATO. Of course, he’s right that the government of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is not quite the equivalent of Hamas or Hezbollah, but as Michael Rubin noted last week, it has became a major sponsor and enabler of terrorism. While Diehl makes the point that Turkey has been somewhat helpful to the U.S. on Libya and Syria, on the issues of Middle East peace and the threat from the Iranian nukes, it has been a disaster.

Which is why I think the most distressing aspect of Diehl’s defense of Turkey as a reliable American ally is the fact that he says its leader has become one of the few foreign leaders with whom Barack Obama has a strong relationship. Obama has, according to the Post, spent more time speaking on the phone with Erdogan than any other ally. Indeed, in a cover story interview with Time Magazine, Obama told a fawning Fareed Zakaria that Erdoğan was someone with whom he had become friends and forged “bonds of trust.” It speaks volumes about the deplorable state of American foreign policy that Erdogan is someone with whom Obama is most comfortable.

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No Fluke: Rasmussen Shows Gingrich Surging in Florida

It looks like that surprising Insider Advantage poll Jonathan cited earlier today wasn’t a fluke. Rasmussen Reports just released a survey that also shows Newt Gingrich leading Mitt Romney by nine points in Florida, a massive turnaround from two weeks ago:

Less than two weeks ago, Mitt Romney had a 22-point lead in Florida, but that’s ancient history in the race for the Republican presidential nomination. Following his big win in South Carolina on Saturday, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich now is on top in Florida by nine.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Florida Republican Primary Voters, taken Sunday evening, finds Gingrich earning 41 percent of the vote with Romney in second at 32 percent. Former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum runs third with 11 percent, while Texas Congressman Ron Paul attracts support from eight percent (8%). Nine percent (9%) remain undecided.

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Jeb Bush Non-Endorsement May Be What Romney Needs

Of all the many possible reasons Jeb Bush seems to have backed off his earlier intention to endorse Mitt Romney, Politico’s Ben White received the most plausible I’ve heard. White tweeted yesterday that he heard from people close to Bush and was told: “Jeb won’t endorse in part because he knows Romney needs to show he can take down Newt w/out help.”

This is consistent with one way Republican and Democratic nominations differ. The Democratic approach, especially when nominating a more left-wing candidate, is to allow allies and especially the media to try and drag the candidate across the finish line. Sometimes it works–witness the current occupant of the White House. Sometimes it doesn’t–it was simply too much to ask that the country elect John Kerry president. Bush knows the GOP nominee will get even harsher scrutiny, and he must be able to stand on his own. But follow this line of thought a step further, and it begins to look like withholding his endorsement was the best thing Bush could have done for Romney, right now.

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Abbas’s Mufti Preaches Jewish Slaughter

For some in the West, including many left-wing Jews, the prime obstacle to peace remains an obdurate Israeli government whose hard-line policies need to change. This is the conceit behind groups like J Street; the left-wing lobby that claims its services are needed to save Israel from itself. Unfortunately for the group and its cheering section in the press, all that is needed to debunk their argument is to pay even the slightest attention to what the Palestinians–the intended object of the left-wingers’ solicitude–are doing and saying.

Their principal religious leader, Mufti Muhammad Hussein, provided the latest example of mainstream Palestinian opinion. Earlier this month, Hussein told a gathering commemorating the founding of the “moderate” Fatah Party the slaughter of the Jews remains their religious duty. The speech, broadcast on official Palestinian television on Jan. 9, is a classic anti-Semitic incitement to hatred and a violation of the peace accords the Palestinian Authority has signed. The fact that it is has largely gone unreported tells you all you need to know about the distorted vision of the Middle East by the mainstream media.

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Romney Blasts Newt: “We’re Not Choosing a Talk Show Host”

In Florida yesterday, Mitt Romney rolled out some new, aggressive attacks on Newt Gingrich:

“We’re not choosing a talk show host,” Romney said, alluding to his rival’s strong debate performances that helped shift momentum in his favor in South Carolina. “We’re choosing the person who should be leader of the free world.” …

“At the end of four years as speaker of the House, it was proven that he was a failed leader,” Romney said. “He had to resign in disgrace. I don’t know whether you knew that.… His fellow Republicans – 88 percent of his Republicans – voted to reprimand Speaker Gingrich. He has not had a record of successful leadership.”

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When Will the GOP Wheel Stop Turning?

Two days after Newt Gingrich’s stunning victory in the South Carolina primary, the Republican presidential race has been transformed. The latest poll conducted by Insider Advantage/Majority Opinion Research for Newsmax shows Gingrich has taken an eight-point lead over Mitt Romney in Florida, the next state to hold a primary. Gingrich’s momentum is showing up in national tracking polls as well. If Gingrich wins Florida and builds from there, we may soon hear the former speaker once again speaking of himself as the inevitable nominee.

If all of this sounds a bit familiar, it’s because it is. Gingrich was way ahead in the polls back in mid-December. Before that, it was Herman Cain — the guy who spent some of last week being a foil for comedian Stephen Colbert in a sideshow act that flopped in South Carolina — who was surging. Before that it was Rick Perry’s turn to be the certain winner. And before that, Michele Bachmann had a couple of weeks when she appeared to be a formidable contender. The point is, momentum has swung so many times in this race, giving us days and even weeks when most of us were sure the race was all but decided, it is hard to know when the wheel will stop turning. Though at the moment Gingrich is coming on like gangbusters and Romney can’t get out of his own way, there’s no real reason to believe all this won’t change again sometime soon.

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