With few expecting tomorrow’s Florida primary to be anything but a decisive win for Mitt Romney, some observers are turning to the question of what Newt Gingrich will do in the weeks ahead in the aftermath of this anticipated defeat. While the Republican race has been highly volatile, February could be a very lean month for Gingrich with no debates scheduled for weeks at a time and no states voting or caucusing that give him a good chance of victory. But even if Romney starts rolling up victories, few think Gingrich will withdraw even if it is clear he has little or no chance to win the nomination. Instead, Gingrich will continue to run hard while making increasingly bitter attacks on the all-but-certain GOP nominee all the way to the Republican National Convention in Tampa.
The possibility that Gingrich’s candidacy will rise from the dead one more time has to frighten Republicans who believe he has no chance to beat Barack Obama. But it is this sore loser scenario that really ought to be scaring them. As Politico reports this morning, there is every indication Gingrich will be fighting a scorched earth campaign against Romney for as long as he has a penny in his pocket. In doing so, he could help exacerbate the rift between his Tea Party supporters and Romney and make it harder, if not impossible, for the frontrunner to beat Barack Obama in November.
Gingrich has no incentive to be a good sport like most Republican runners-up in the past. The former speaker has no need to worry about mending fences with GOP power bases in order to secure another White House race in the future simply because it is unlikely he would run again and no chance he would benefit, as others have in the past, from his runner-up status in 2012. Gingrich has nothing personally to gain from clearing the way for the all-but-certain nominee and to help strengthen his chances in November against Obama.
Just as important is the temperament of the candidate. Even at the height of his power as Speaker of the House, Gingrich was always better suited to the role of insurgent bomb thrower than power broker. If anything, he may actually enjoy the idea of leading a grass roots revolt against the GOP establishment even if he is just as much a member of that establishment as anyone else. Having bought into his own increasingly bitter attacks on Romney for supposedly being a liberal, it may be close to impossible for Gingrich to step back in off of the rhetorical ledge onto which he has stepped.
With the GOP primary rules mandating proportional allocation of delegates, it may even be possible for him to come close to preventing Romney from obtaining a majority until very late in the year, even if he never won another state after South Carolina. That would force Romney to spend time, energy and money fighting Republicans rather than preparing for Obama. Rather than a long fight helping Romney, the Gingrich onslaught would be aided by a press that will latch onto his attacks in a way that Hillary Clinton’s criticisms of Obama did not. Gingrich could ensure that the Republican convention is a bloodbath rather than a coronation of the GOP standard-bearer.
The only question is whether Gingrich’s financial supporters are as interested in sabotaging Romney as he is. Considering that his main backer, casino mogul Sheldon Adelson, is primarily interested in removing the possibility of a second Obama administration pressuring Israel, it may be that at some point he will consider it prudent to turn off the spigot of contributions. It may be that just as Adelson was able to revive Gingrich’s hopes with financial contributions, he could at some point put the Republicans out of their misery.
But failing that, Republicans could be in for a long, bitter and ultimately destructive Gingrich campaign whose only object would be to diminish Romney. That is exactly what President Obama is counting on.










If Newt does this, Republicans should work to shut off his personal income, never mind his Adelson dough. Big companies paying "subscriptions" to his health care consulting outfit or planning to sport him to a big speaking fee need to know that won't go down well with a Romney White House. n nWhen a pol no longer acts like a professional and goes on a crusade for personal vengeance, it is no longer business. It's personal.
As a former constituent and enthusiastic supporter of Newt, I am starting to become ill watching his campaign. I've been wondering when the Shel factor would get more attention. Money is the most obvious factor in Newt's ongoing offensive. And Shel Adelson is the most obvious factor in Newt's money pile. Who knows what is really going on in this relationship, but isn't it worth scrutinizing… or is Mitt Romney the only candidate who gets the financial endoscope?
I disagree, Mr. Tobin. While I think the current in-fighting is not productive, and one that is a direct result of Romney's techniques, I think an on-going battle can be productive., If the candidates would limit themselves to discussion policy, this could be a very productive battle, promoting conservative and Republican solutions to Americans. However, Messrs Romney and Gingrich want to drag this through the mud. Mr. Romney could have stayed out of the mud, but I think he entered the mud first, no matter how sophisticated his mud slinging. If Gingrich wins the nomination, will you and all the Romney supporters, support Gingrich?
It is Romney who is dastardly and bitterly negative (with a 5 to 1 money advantage in Florida). I don't know why Romney is going out of his way to alienate the 75% of the party that haven't been on his bandwagon particularly? I get what this article says (generally) about a sore loser hurting the winner — but I'm also sure, though you may not imagine it's possible, there are many who are angry and getting angrier about Romney's tactics and are telling Gingrich to keep fighting, that people will wise up about Romney and his so-called inevitability and electability. No one who supports Gingrich is saying, "Give it up already." On the other hand, look how Romney reacted by losing a primary!
"… make it harder, if not impossible, for the frontrunner to beat Barack Obama in November." n nLike it really matters. If Romney wins the nomination, the country is screwed with 4 more years of big-government (with either a President Obama or President Romney).
why dont we just stop calling Newt an "insurgent bomb thrower". that language is not fitting for the quality of writing in the rest of the article, although it is not unique , i have heard it on other news stories.