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Majority Want SCOTUS to Scrap Mandate

The Supreme Court will hear arguments on President Obama’s health care law next week, and still an overwhelming majority of Americans say that the court should either scrap the mandate or the entire law:

This ABC News/Washington Post poll finds that Americans oppose the law overall by 52-41 percent. And 67 percent believe the high court should either ditch the law or at least the portion that requires nearly all Americans to have coverage.

The high court opens hearings on the law’s constitutionality a week from today.

The law has never earned majority support in ABC/Post polls – and this update, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates, finds a strong sense its critics are dominating the debate. Seventy percent of Americans report hearing mainly negative things about the law lately; just 19 percent say the buzz has been positive. Even among its supporters, 53 percent are hearing more negatives than positives. Among opponents this soars to 88 percent.

As Chris Cillizza reports, Americans are set in their opinions on ObamaCare, which may be the big reason why Obama rarely talks about it in the context of his reelection.

Since the law was passed, opposition has remained near the low 50s, while support has remained near the low 40s. And of course the opposition climbs higher when you specifically ask about the individual mandate.

What’s interesting is that while Obama’s most significant legislative achievement provides him with little-to-no political advantage on the campaign trail, Republicans will be able to benefit from it no matter how the Supreme Court rules. If the Court deems the law, or parts of the law, unconstitutional, then the GOP will have that as a bludgeon. And even if the Court upholds the law in its current form, there’s still widespread public opposition to the mandate. The only way to get rid of it at that point would be to replace Obama with a Republican, which would be an added incentive to vote GOP.


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