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Santorum’s Lead Narrows in Pennsylvania

Via Quinnipiac, Rick Santorum is now leading Mitt Romney by just six points among likely Pennsylvania Republican voters. The last Quinnipiac survey in mid-March showed Santorum with a 14-point lead, though keep in mind that poll was also taken among registered, not likely, Republican voters.

Favorite Son Rick Santorum leads former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 41 – 35 percent among likely voters in Pennsylvania’s Republican presidential primary, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul has 10 percent, with 7 percent for former House Speaker Newt Gingrich.

Santorum tops Romney 43 – 33 percent among men, while women split 39 – 38 percent. Santorum also leads 53 – 24 percent among white evangelical Christians, 50 – 32 percent among Tea Party members and 48 – 30 percent among self-described conservatives. Romney is ahead 45 – 29 percent among self-described moderates.

There seems to be a trend of Santorum losing ground in Pennsylvania, as we saw with the Franklin & Marshall College poll late last month. And assuming Romney sweeps all three primaries tonight, as it looks like he’s going to, this could become an extremely competitive race in Pennsylvania. There are still three weeks until the primary, plenty of time for Romney to rack up more endorsements and momentum.

And there are already other good signs for Romney in the state, according to Quinnipiac. He has a 59 percent favorability, and the majority believes that the “Etch A Sketch” criticism of Romney is an unfair attack. But that could also be because likely GOP voters expect politicians, including Romney, to flip on issues. They said 27 to 7 that Romney changes his position more than most public figures, with 60 percent saying he changes his positions about the same as most public figures.



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