Commentary Magazine


Romney Gets Bounce in FL, WI

Mitt Romney is closing the gap in Florida and Wisconsin, according to today’s Quinnipiac/CBS/NYT poll. According to Quinnipiac, this seems to be a mini-bump from the Paul Ryan pick:

Matching Obama against Romney among likely voters in each of these key states shows:

  • Florida: Obama at 49 percent to Romney’s 46 percent, compared to Obama’s 51 – 45 percent lead August 1;
  • Ohio: Obama edges Romney 50 – 44 percent, unchanged from August 1;
  • Wisconsin: Obama at 49 percent to Romney’s 47 percent, compared to Obama’s 51 – 45 percent lead August 8.

Ohio is the one state polled where Romney’s numbers have remained flat. The poll was also taken between August 15 and August 21, so it may not reflect any negative impact from the wall-to-wall Todd Akin coverage (though abortion issues don’t rank anywhere near a top concern with swing-state voters, according to the poll).

While senior citizens seem to view Ryan positively, one potential obstacle for Republicans is the general opposition to a “voucher-type” Medicare system in all three swing states:

Voters in each state say Obama would do a better job on Medicare and reject by wide margins a voucher-type Medicare system: 62 – 28 percent in Florida, 64 – 27 percent in Ohio and 59 – 32 percent in Wisconsin, the survey by Quinnipiac/CBS/The Times finds.

Obviously a big part of the Obama campaign’s Mediscare strategy will involve hammering in the idea that Romney and Ryan want to “voucherize” Medicare.