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Could Gay Marriage Amendment Tip Minnesota to Romney?

That was George Will’s prediction on ABC’s “This Week” yesterday (h/t Jeff Poor): 

The anti-gay marriage amendment will bring religious voters out to the polls, but will it be enough of a margin to swing the vote for Romney? A couple of recent polls, including PPP’s yesterday, found that more voters oppose the anti-gay marriage amendment than support it. But if that’s the case on election day, it will be unprecedented — gay marriage has lost in all 32 states where it’s been up for a vote. If that changes in Minnesota tomorrow, it could mark the beginning of a political shift. 

Beyond that, the polls are all over the place for Romney in Minnesota. Saturday’s poll by the conservative American Future Fund found the race a dead-heat. But yesterday’s PPP poll found Obama up by eight points, and today’s Survey USA found him leading by double-digits. So if Romney does win Minnesota, it would be a major upset, and not just because it would be the first time in nine presidential elections that the state went for a Republican.

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One Response to “Could Gay Marriage Amendment Tip Minnesota to Romney?”

  1. Ed__EdD says:

    We haven't heard much about the Maine one, have we? That could be interesting tomorrow and I honestly don't know which way it will go. n nThe other thing we haven't heard much about is how the left is donating to Independent (and former Governor) Angus King instead of to the Dem nominee for what was Olympia Snowe's Senate seat. The Republican is running second, and I wonder how much King's name recognition (both on its own and in relation to Maine Author Stephen King although I do not think they are related) is causing variance in the polls that won't be reflected on the ballot returns.

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