A few days ago I wrote that Barack Obama’s “coalition of the ascendant” was collapsing. I cited in particular a Harvard University Institute for Politics poll that found that among young Americans between the ages of 18 and 29 Obama’s approval rating is just 41 percent, down 11 points from a year ago.
Just after that poll was published, the Gallup organization reported President Obama’s job approval rating among Hispanics has dropped 23 points over the last 12 months, the most among major subgroups and nearly twice the national average. A year ago his approval rating among Hispanics was 75 percent; it’s now 52 percent. And in 39 subgroups listed in the Gallup survey, Mr. Obama has lost support in every single one over the last year.
This is yet more empirical evidence that the Obama presidency is at a perilous political moment.
In response, the president is trying to do several things: rally his base (by focusing on issues like the minimum wage), change the subject (to issues like income inequality), and attack Republicans (which Mr. Obama does habitually). This kind of short-term, tactical approach is basically worthless. It might win the president a news cycle or two. But his presidency is in disrepair for fundamental reasons and because of fundamental flaws–and unless and until they are corrected, the president will discover that as bad as this year has been, next year will be worse.