A little-remarked factoid that might conceivably matter if the Democratic race got Bush v. Gore close - i.e., very highly unlikely - is that even the precise number of delegates total can’t be known until the Convention (under the Call to Convention rule). That’s one reason why youl’ll sometimes see different tallies of SuperDs given as approximate rather than exact figures.

And it’s still almost a month until the PA primary. Backed firmly into a corner Hillary will use anything her oppo researchers have as the days progress. Obama has apparently been pretty careful in his statements and writings but it’s impossible that he hasn’t said or written something controversial about some ethnic group which can be neatly tied back to his pastor’s rantings.

The total the media is now using to win is based on no delegates from Florida and Michigan being seated. 2024 is the # without those two. If they do end up being seated, the new number need to win in 2208, I believe.

Ellen also makes a good point. If Obama was such a surefire winner, the Super Delegates and the poobahs would have already coronated him and pushed Hillary to the side. They clearly have doubts about him, and the Wright thing only heightened those doubts.

All the Obama sycophants in the media and the blogs talk about how she can’t win, how anyone else who lost 11 straight contests would have been ignored and forced to withdraw, how the math makes it impossible, etc…

Conversely, if he really had it wrapped up and is the inevitable winner, than what does it say about him that having won 11 straight contests by an avg of 30% or so, having got adulatory and fawning coverage for 2 months, having been crowned the nominee by the media, having vastly outraised, out-advertised, and outspent her…he got clobbered by 10 points in THE swing state of the last election and got a whopping 34% of the white vote and a staggering 27% of the white democrat vote, and this was before Wright. In just about any other situation, said candidate would have won Ohio easily. It shows that either Obama is weaker than thought or Clinton is stronger or both. In either case, it shows that he hasn’t wrapped this up by a long shot.

Consider what will happen if Hillary wins as expected in PA by anywhere from 10 to 15 pts. Once that happens, I think she wins in IN. Obama would need 40+% of the White vote to win in IN and based on the #s from OH, PA, MO, Hillary’s win in PA, and the support of Evan Bayh, that just is unlikely to happen.

In NC, as long he gets aound 33% of the white vote he wins, which he should be able to, given the Triangle area there. A current poll by NC-based PPP has him getting 40% of the white vote and that’s post-Wright. If you look at his totals of the white vote in the South, it’s interesting. He got 52% in VA, and 43% in GA, pretty good. But in SC he got 24%, 25% in AL, 26% in MS, 30% in LA, 26% in TN, 16% in AR. So is NC more like VA and GA or more like SC and AL and MS? I think it’s more like the former.

Still, such a result. Hillary wins in PA and IN, not mention easy wins in WV and KY, guarantee that this goes to the convention, and guarantee that there will be a war over Florida and Michigan.

And for those who think WV doesn’t matter, if Al Gore had won WV he’d have been the President regardless of what happened in FL, same with NH, so WV is an important state for the Democrats to be competitive in.

The fun is just beginning and for Republicans it will only get better.

The Clinton haters in the Democratic Party all began to come out of the woodwork when Obama went on his winning streak earlier in the season. “We never really liked them but had to pretend to because they were so powerful.” That’s what one anonymous party leader commented when Hillary superdelegates began to jump ship over to Obama.

Well, sir, we now can see that Hillary and Bill never really liked you or your party either. Since they are putting her political ambitions first over the welfare of your party, which looks increasingly dim for November.