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	<title>Comments on: Why Hillary Supporters Might Abandon Obama</title>
	<link>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095</link>
	<description>The blog of Commentary Magazine.</description>
	<pubDate>Mon, 12 May 2008 23:06:10 +0000</pubDate>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=2.3.3</generator>
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		<title>By: CK MacLeod</title>
		<link>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115513</link>
		<dc:creator>CK MacLeod</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Mar 2008 20:35:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115513</guid>
		<description>That is a bright side!  BO promised to move beyond identity politics.  It's becoming ever more obvious that the only way to achieve that goal is to tear the party of identity politics apart.  If things go well - that is, if the Democratic Party is harshly chastised at the polls this year, and is forced either to re-create itself or, in time, give way to something new - historians may credit his candidacy, if not the candidate himself, with one of the major achievements of the post-Cold War era.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>That is a bright side!  BO promised to move beyond identity politics.  It&#8217;s becoming ever more obvious that the only way to achieve that goal is to tear the party of identity politics apart.  If things go well - that is, if the Democratic Party is harshly chastised at the polls this year, and is forced either to re-create itself or, in time, give way to something new - historians may credit his candidacy, if not the candidate himself, with one of the major achievements of the post-Cold War era.</p>
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		<title>By: Dead_Ender</title>
		<link>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115481</link>
		<dc:creator>Dead_Ender</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Mar 2008 19:01:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115481</guid>
		<description>Dan,

I think McCain would be considered conservative on things like gun control and right to life, neither of which are minor issues, and also on juducial appointments. McCain sure wouldn't appoint Ginzberg types.

McCain also believes in a strong military, and he is a hawk on government spending.

On the dark [liberal] side, let's see: McCain is a bit too much of an internationalist; he still believes in McCain-Fingold; he's for a more progressive tax system than conservatives would like; and he's a Kool-Aid drinker on global warming and the ensuing need for government to do something about it.  McCain's greatest flaw [as far as I am concerned] is his support for amnesty for illgal immigration. 

I say McCain could be a transitional figure because he could re-orientate the Republican coaliton by "moderating" the party with his above mentioned views. 

Please understand, such a re-orientation is not to my liking but I can envision it happening.  Also, McCain was NOT my choice for the GOP nomination -- Romney was.  But what can you do? Mitt lost, and I'm not going to sit by while the likes of BHO or Clinton get elected. 

On the bright side, I can see the Democratic Party, as it has been constructed since 1972, being destroyed by the Obama-Clinton civil war. This would be a definite good for the nation and a major defeat for the Left.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dan,</p>
<p>I think McCain would be considered conservative on things like gun control and right to life, neither of which are minor issues, and also on juducial appointments. McCain sure wouldn&#8217;t appoint Ginzberg types.</p>
<p>McCain also believes in a strong military, and he is a hawk on government spending.</p>
<p>On the dark [liberal] side, let&#8217;s see: McCain is a bit too much of an internationalist; he still believes in McCain-Fingold; he&#8217;s for a more progressive tax system than conservatives would like; and he&#8217;s a Kool-Aid drinker on global warming and the ensuing need for government to do something about it.  McCain&#8217;s greatest flaw [as far as I am concerned] is his support for amnesty for illgal immigration. </p>
<p>I say McCain could be a transitional figure because he could re-orientate the Republican coaliton by &#8220;moderating&#8221; the party with his above mentioned views. </p>
<p>Please understand, such a re-orientation is not to my liking but I can envision it happening.  Also, McCain was NOT my choice for the GOP nomination &#8212; Romney was.  But what can you do? Mitt lost, and I&#8217;m not going to sit by while the likes of BHO or Clinton get elected. </p>
<p>On the bright side, I can see the Democratic Party, as it has been constructed since 1972, being destroyed by the Obama-Clinton civil war. This would be a definite good for the nation and a major defeat for the Left.</p>
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		<title>By: Dan Fish</title>
		<link>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115442</link>
		<dc:creator>Dan Fish</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Mar 2008 17:30:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115442</guid>
		<description>Dead Ender: You say McCain could be "a transitional figure."  Maybe so, but a transition to what?  Excepting his clear view on the need to "win" in Iraq, where is he is not outright aligned with the left, he is either with them sub silentio (e.g., abortion) or else his views are fuzzy and unformed (e.g., economic issues).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dead Ender: You say McCain could be &#8220;a transitional figure.&#8221;  Maybe so, but a transition to what?  Excepting his clear view on the need to &#8220;win&#8221; in Iraq, where is he is not outright aligned with the left, he is either with them sub silentio (e.g., abortion) or else his views are fuzzy and unformed (e.g., economic issues).</p>
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		<title>By: serfer62</title>
		<link>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115436</link>
		<dc:creator>serfer62</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Mar 2008 17:20:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115436</guid>
		<description>The Kommiecrats strength has been special interest groups. Two of those groups are in opposition not because of their policies but group loyalty.

The Kommiecrats have had black support up to 94%. Without it its doubtful if they would have won many elections or even been in power at all. Being black may have been a large part of his success, but black racism may be then end of that. The hysteria from the blacks are now Obamas burden. Black Racism is now for all to see and be appalled.

Whats amusing about all this is that MacNasty will lose the Conservative vote and win the election with the rest. Woe be any Conservative when he wins, MacNasty is just nasty...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Kommiecrats strength has been special interest groups. Two of those groups are in opposition not because of their policies but group loyalty.</p>
<p>The Kommiecrats have had black support up to 94%. Without it its doubtful if they would have won many elections or even been in power at all. Being black may have been a large part of his success, but black racism may be then end of that. The hysteria from the blacks are now Obamas burden. Black Racism is now for all to see and be appalled.</p>
<p>Whats amusing about all this is that MacNasty will lose the Conservative vote and win the election with the rest. Woe be any Conservative when he wins, MacNasty is just nasty&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Dead_Ender</title>
		<link>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115413</link>
		<dc:creator>Dead_Ender</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Mar 2008 16:22:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115413</guid>
		<description>Also helping McCain in attracting disgruntled Hillary voters is the fact that McCain is an a full-blown conservative.

The many aspects of the man which turn off conservatives [immigration, campaign finance reform, etc] attract Democrats.

If BHO gets the nomination, I could easily envision 10 -20% of Hillary voters either staying home in November or voting for McCain.

McCain could well be a transitional political figure.  He could well win in a landslide.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Also helping McCain in attracting disgruntled Hillary voters is the fact that McCain is an a full-blown conservative.</p>
<p>The many aspects of the man which turn off conservatives [immigration, campaign finance reform, etc] attract Democrats.</p>
<p>If BHO gets the nomination, I could easily envision 10 -20% of Hillary voters either staying home in November or voting for McCain.</p>
<p>McCain could well be a transitional political figure.  He could well win in a landslide.</p>
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		<title>By: J. Lichty</title>
		<link>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115402</link>
		<dc:creator>J. Lichty</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Mar 2008 16:01:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115402</guid>
		<description>The Hillary supporters I know are not mad at her predicament other than the fact that Obama even chose to run this year, they like Obama they just like Hillary (and Bill) even more.  On the other hand, I have heard more than one Obama supporter curse the name of Hillary.  They think Wright is an unfair attack and that it came from Hillary.

Given my anecdotal experience, I am surprised that there will be more Hillary defectors than Obama defectors.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Hillary supporters I know are not mad at her predicament other than the fact that Obama even chose to run this year, they like Obama they just like Hillary (and Bill) even more.  On the other hand, I have heard more than one Obama supporter curse the name of Hillary.  They think Wright is an unfair attack and that it came from Hillary.</p>
<p>Given my anecdotal experience, I am surprised that there will be more Hillary defectors than Obama defectors.</p>
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		<title>By: CK MacLeod</title>
		<link>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115378</link>
		<dc:creator>CK MacLeod</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Mar 2008 15:28:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115378</guid>
		<description>I often wish that polls like that included follow-up questions:  "Really - or are you just saying that cuz you're mad?"  Still, I take seriously the idea that McCain could get significant crossover votes - whether they're enough to seal the deal or even to make for the kind of McCain landslide some have envisioned is another question.  

Like a lot of others, I've lately been sampling opinion over on the other side.  Regardless of the willingness to support a candidate with ideas as bad as Hillary's, I have generally found her supporters to be much more reasonable and polite than Obama's.  More to the point of this thread, many of them have been motivated, for obvious reasons, to see through Obama's aura and mystique, and have come to despise him and his campaign.  They know very well what a thoroughgoing hypocritical sham his new politics pose is, and you will never catch them slack-jawed in adulation at an Obamessiah tent meeting.  Expectations that they will fall in line anyway and vote for the team may also underestimate the degree to which the Wright affair, black bloc voting, and Obama's gaming of the system have aroused resentment that some will want to call racist, but that has as much to do with a feeling of having been conned, and of themselves being under a kind of racialist assault.  The latter sentiments are associated with the working class, but may over time even seep through the heavily reinforced ideological defenses of the "highly educated."</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I often wish that polls like that included follow-up questions:  &#8220;Really - or are you just saying that cuz you&#8217;re mad?&#8221;  Still, I take seriously the idea that McCain could get significant crossover votes - whether they&#8217;re enough to seal the deal or even to make for the kind of McCain landslide some have envisioned is another question.  </p>
<p>Like a lot of others, I&#8217;ve lately been sampling opinion over on the other side.  Regardless of the willingness to support a candidate with ideas as bad as Hillary&#8217;s, I have generally found her supporters to be much more reasonable and polite than Obama&#8217;s.  More to the point of this thread, many of them have been motivated, for obvious reasons, to see through Obama&#8217;s aura and mystique, and have come to despise him and his campaign.  They know very well what a thoroughgoing hypocritical sham his new politics pose is, and you will never catch them slack-jawed in adulation at an Obamessiah tent meeting.  Expectations that they will fall in line anyway and vote for the team may also underestimate the degree to which the Wright affair, black bloc voting, and Obama&#8217;s gaming of the system have aroused resentment that some will want to call racist, but that has as much to do with a feeling of having been conned, and of themselves being under a kind of racialist assault.  The latter sentiments are associated with the working class, but may over time even seep through the heavily reinforced ideological defenses of the &#8220;highly educated.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>By: Ellen S</title>
		<link>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115348</link>
		<dc:creator>Ellen S</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Mar 2008 14:34:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115348</guid>
		<description>Of course not, Seth, I don't like the Clintons and I strongly support McCain.  Marty Peretz has it exactly backwards.  He thinks Commentary is doing the dirty work for Hillary.  Actually, Hillary is doing the dirty work for Commentary - by weakening Obama and showing him to be the divider that he actually is, McCain should have an easier path to the White House.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Of course not, Seth, I don&#8217;t like the Clintons and I strongly support McCain.  Marty Peretz has it exactly backwards.  He thinks Commentary is doing the dirty work for Hillary.  Actually, Hillary is doing the dirty work for Commentary - by weakening Obama and showing him to be the divider that he actually is, McCain should have an easier path to the White House.</p>
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		<title>By: Bob Miller</title>
		<link>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115339</link>
		<dc:creator>Bob Miller</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Mar 2008 14:13:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115339</guid>
		<description>It's far more likely that the most ticked-off Hillary supporters would just stay home in November or vote only for the Democrats running for Congress, etc., in their districts.   They would have real trouble bringing themselves to vote for a Republican.

The possible exception could be those Jewish liberals who still strongly support Israel; they might be scared enough by Obama's anti-Israel program and entourage to actually vote for McCain.

Hillary herself would not be above inciting her people behind the scenes to undercut Obama.  As has been noted here and there, Obama's loss in November could give her one more chance in 2012.  As long as she could stand at arm's length from such a sabotage effort, it might succeed.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s far more likely that the most ticked-off Hillary supporters would just stay home in November or vote only for the Democrats running for Congress, etc., in their districts.   They would have real trouble bringing themselves to vote for a Republican.</p>
<p>The possible exception could be those Jewish liberals who still strongly support Israel; they might be scared enough by Obama&#8217;s anti-Israel program and entourage to actually vote for McCain.</p>
<p>Hillary herself would not be above inciting her people behind the scenes to undercut Obama.  As has been noted here and there, Obama&#8217;s loss in November could give her one more chance in 2012.  As long as she could stand at arm&#8217;s length from such a sabotage effort, it might succeed.</p>
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		<title>By: Seth Halpern</title>
		<link>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115338</link>
		<dc:creator>Seth Halpern</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Mar 2008 14:09:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115338</guid>
		<description>Ellen S, I take it that if Hillary is nominated, you will vote for her?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ellen S, I take it that if Hillary is nominated, you will vote for her?</p>
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		<title>By: Rubber And Glue &#187; Comments from Left Field</title>
		<link>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115335</link>
		<dc:creator>Rubber And Glue &#187; Comments from Left Field</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Mar 2008 13:57:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115335</guid>
		<description>[...] from memeorandum: The Swamp, The Fix, Commentary, Political Machine, Brendan Nyhan, American Street, Top of the Ticket, The Moderate Voice, Prairie [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[&#8230;] from memeorandum: The Swamp, The Fix, Commentary, Political Machine, Brendan Nyhan, American Street, Top of the Ticket, The Moderate Voice, Prairie [&#8230;]</p>
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		<title>By: Ellen S</title>
		<link>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115333</link>
		<dc:creator>Ellen S</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Mar 2008 13:55:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115333</guid>
		<description>For those relics of the 1960's who still think New York is an ultraliberal place with Marty Peretz as its bellweather, doddering or otherwise, every neighborhood in Manhattan voted for Hillary except 2 - Central Harlem and Greenwich Village/Chelsea.  Even the Upper West Side went for Hillary.  

If the DNC disses Hillary, McCain has a decent shot of even winning NY State and NJ.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For those relics of the 1960&#8217;s who still think New York is an ultraliberal place with Marty Peretz as its bellweather, doddering or otherwise, every neighborhood in Manhattan voted for Hillary except 2 - Central Harlem and Greenwich Village/Chelsea.  Even the Upper West Side went for Hillary.  </p>
<p>If the DNC disses Hillary, McCain has a decent shot of even winning NY State and NJ.</p>
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		<title>By: Jon S.</title>
		<link>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115328</link>
		<dc:creator>Jon S.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Mar 2008 13:47:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115328</guid>
		<description>"Marty Peretz, the doddering bellwether of New York Jewish intellectual, hence upscale Democrat, opinion..."

Marty Peretz is no longer the bellwether of anything, if he ever was.  He may tell you how Upper West Side ultra-libs are rationalizing the Obama fiasco, but in the rest of the city and the tri-state area, I am finding it extremely hard to find more than a few affluent Jews who are sticking to Obama. Quite a large number will either stay at home or vote for McCain.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Marty Peretz, the doddering bellwether of New York Jewish intellectual, hence upscale Democrat, opinion&#8230;&#8221;</p>
<p>Marty Peretz is no longer the bellwether of anything, if he ever was.  He may tell you how Upper West Side ultra-libs are rationalizing the Obama fiasco, but in the rest of the city and the tri-state area, I am finding it extremely hard to find more than a few affluent Jews who are sticking to Obama. Quite a large number will either stay at home or vote for McCain.</p>
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		<title>By: Seth Halpern</title>
		<link>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115327</link>
		<dc:creator>Seth Halpern</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Mar 2008 13:47:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115327</guid>
		<description>If "Holmesian logic" means fatalistic determinism bordering on the Koranic, maybe Peretz is (inadvertently) correct.  Holmes's  had such a personality streak.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If &#8220;Holmesian logic&#8221; means fatalistic determinism bordering on the Koranic, maybe Peretz is (inadvertently) correct.  Holmes&#8217;s  had such a personality streak.</p>
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		<title>By: Rininger</title>
		<link>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115316</link>
		<dc:creator>Rininger</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Mar 2008 13:38:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115316</guid>
		<description>Plenty of leftists will vote for Senator McCain out of spite when their favored Democrat candidate is knocked out of the race. Plenty of moderate Democrats will vote for McCain regardless of which Democrat candidate is still in the race.

Senator Clinton is so power mad she probably already went crying to the superdelegates. The Democrats are in trouble no matter which candidate they nominate.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Plenty of leftists will vote for Senator McCain out of spite when their favored Democrat candidate is knocked out of the race. Plenty of moderate Democrats will vote for McCain regardless of which Democrat candidate is still in the race.</p>
<p>Senator Clinton is so power mad she probably already went crying to the superdelegates. The Democrats are in trouble no matter which candidate they nominate.</p>
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		<title>By: Seth Halpern</title>
		<link>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115313</link>
		<dc:creator>Seth Halpern</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Mar 2008 13:35:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115313</guid>
		<description>Well as you undoubtedly know, my favorite pundit Dick Morris has been insisting that the superdelegates will never, ever risk alienating the black vote.  Only Barry himself could calm those waters, and I don't know what would impel him to do so now that the feuding with Hillary has so escalated.  Marty Peretz, the doddering  bellwether of New York Jewish intellectual, hence upscale Democrat,  opinion,  slavers over the "Holmesian logic"  of his refusal to disown Rev.Wright. (I wonder what Felix Frankfurter would have thought about that.)  I keep wondering why any sane superdelegate would resign himself to either aspirant.  (Meantime I'm sure there's been a run on aspirin.)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Well as you undoubtedly know, my favorite pundit Dick Morris has been insisting that the superdelegates will never, ever risk alienating the black vote.  Only Barry himself could calm those waters, and I don&#8217;t know what would impel him to do so now that the feuding with Hillary has so escalated.  Marty Peretz, the doddering  bellwether of New York Jewish intellectual, hence upscale Democrat,  opinion,  slavers over the &#8220;Holmesian logic&#8221;  of his refusal to disown Rev.Wright. (I wonder what Felix Frankfurter would have thought about that.)  I keep wondering why any sane superdelegate would resign himself to either aspirant.  (Meantime I&#8217;m sure there&#8217;s been a run on aspirin.)</p>
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		<title>By: W. Hsieh</title>
		<link>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115309</link>
		<dc:creator>W. Hsieh</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Mar 2008 13:30:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115309</guid>
		<description>Just out of curiosity, was there comparable polling done during the Republican primary.  In other words, did any pollsters ask Republicans after South Carolina or New Hampshire "Would you vote for Sen. Clinton or Sen. Obama if Sen. McCain is the nominee?"  If those numbers existed, it would be interesting to see how they compare at the height of the talk radio assault on Sen. McCain, versus these figures for the Democratic race right now.  I know that the concern on the Republican side was more that conservative voters would stay home, as opposed to voting for the Democratic nominee, but it would be interesting to see if there was any comparable data.  Or, better yet, if any poll asked Republican voters whether or not they would stay home and refuse to vote in the generals, if Sen. McCain were the nominee.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Just out of curiosity, was there comparable polling done during the Republican primary.  In other words, did any pollsters ask Republicans after South Carolina or New Hampshire &#8220;Would you vote for Sen. Clinton or Sen. Obama if Sen. McCain is the nominee?&#8221;  If those numbers existed, it would be interesting to see how they compare at the height of the talk radio assault on Sen. McCain, versus these figures for the Democratic race right now.  I know that the concern on the Republican side was more that conservative voters would stay home, as opposed to voting for the Democratic nominee, but it would be interesting to see if there was any comparable data.  Or, better yet, if any poll asked Republican voters whether or not they would stay home and refuse to vote in the generals, if Sen. McCain were the nominee.</p>
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		<title>By: Ellen S</title>
		<link>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115304</link>
		<dc:creator>Ellen S</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Mar 2008 13:14:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/3095#comment-115304</guid>
		<description>The poll you cite is a one example and the Rasmussen tracking polls are another of how Obama has been hurt seriously by the Wright affair.  The NBC-WSJ polls claims he hasn't, but as commented before, polls that ask people about racially or religiously sensitive issues are often inaccurate because a certain percentage of people don't tell the truth.  The Rasmussen and Gallup polls directly contradict the NBC-WSJ one, so take your pick on whom to believe.

There are many voters who supported Hillary who will not vote for Obama.  All of us know people like that, so anecodotal evidence corroborates the national polling here.  The key will be to watch the new few primaries and see how well Hillary does.  If she wins PA by less than 10%, that would be a bad sign for her.  If she wins by more than 10%, she even has a chance of winning NC and IN.

Barring a disaster for McCain, I don't see how Obama can beat him.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The poll you cite is a one example and the Rasmussen tracking polls are another of how Obama has been hurt seriously by the Wright affair.  The NBC-WSJ polls claims he hasn&#8217;t, but as commented before, polls that ask people about racially or religiously sensitive issues are often inaccurate because a certain percentage of people don&#8217;t tell the truth.  The Rasmussen and Gallup polls directly contradict the NBC-WSJ one, so take your pick on whom to believe.</p>
<p>There are many voters who supported Hillary who will not vote for Obama.  All of us know people like that, so anecodotal evidence corroborates the national polling here.  The key will be to watch the new few primaries and see how well Hillary does.  If she wins PA by less than 10%, that would be a bad sign for her.  If she wins by more than 10%, she even has a chance of winning NC and IN.</p>
<p>Barring a disaster for McCain, I don&#8217;t see how Obama can beat him.</p>
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