Commentary Magazine


Topic: passed health care law

Indiana Goes Red Again

Barack Obama in 2008 won Indiana by about 30,000 votes, the first time a Democratic presidential candidate won in the state since LBJ in the 1964 wipe-out election. Now we find the state swinging back to the GOP and to conservative positions:

Following his vote for the national health care plan, Democratic Congressman Brad Ellsworth’s support remains stuck in the low 30s, while two of his Republican opponents now earn 50% or more of the vote in Indiana’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in Indiana finds that 65% favor repeal of the recently passed health care law. Just 29% in the state oppose repeal. Those findings include 56% who strongly favor repeal versus 21% who strongly oppose it.

Support for Dan Coats is up by five points from last month and he now leads Ellsworth 54 to 39 percent. It is, as we’ve observed, only with the help of Obama and the Democratic leadership that Evan Bayh, a popular senator and frequent VP contender, would flee the Senate, that the Republicans would surge to a double-digit lead, and that a signature piece of legislation would incur the ire of a huge majority of Hoosier voters.

Barack Obama in 2008 won Indiana by about 30,000 votes, the first time a Democratic presidential candidate won in the state since LBJ in the 1964 wipe-out election. Now we find the state swinging back to the GOP and to conservative positions:

Following his vote for the national health care plan, Democratic Congressman Brad Ellsworth’s support remains stuck in the low 30s, while two of his Republican opponents now earn 50% or more of the vote in Indiana’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in Indiana finds that 65% favor repeal of the recently passed health care law. Just 29% in the state oppose repeal. Those findings include 56% who strongly favor repeal versus 21% who strongly oppose it.

Support for Dan Coats is up by five points from last month and he now leads Ellsworth 54 to 39 percent. It is, as we’ve observed, only with the help of Obama and the Democratic leadership that Evan Bayh, a popular senator and frequent VP contender, would flee the Senate, that the Republicans would surge to a double-digit lead, and that a signature piece of legislation would incur the ire of a huge majority of Hoosier voters.

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Reid Heading for Defeat

Sen. Majority Leader Harry Reid remains in deep trouble:

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid attracts just 39% to 42% of the Nevada vote when matched against three Republican opponents. Two of his potential opponents now top the 50% level of support.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey in the state also shows that 62% of Nevada’s voters support repealing the recently passed health care law. That’s a bit higher than support for repeal naitonally.

It is hard enough for the average Senate Democrat who rubber-stamped ObamaCare to escape the ire of voters, but it’s simply impossible for Reid, who steamrolled the bill through the Senate, to put any distance between himself and all the noxious elements of the bill that have enraged voters. He is, in some sense, the poster boy for the Democrats who lurched Left, facilitated the extreme Obama agenda, ran up the tab, and forgot that their constituents are considerably less liberal than agenda the Obami is pushing.

No wonder, then, that Nevada has become the target of a massive Tea Party effort to unseat Reid. As the New York Times explains:

In a matter of weeks, this state has become ground zero for Tea Party members, who understand that as a symbol of the movement’s power, you cannot get much bigger than beating the Senate’s top Democrat. … There is no doubting the anti-Reid sentiment here. Above Searchlight looms a billboard almost as big as some nearby homes reading “Will Rogers never met Harry Reid,” a play on a famous saying by Rogers that he never met a man he did not like.

Yes, there is the potential for vote-splitting with tea party activists and other independent candidates, but make no mistake: Reid has a mountain of opposition to overcome. It is not easy to hold your seat when only 23 percent of the voters have a favorable opinion of you.

Sen. Majority Leader Harry Reid remains in deep trouble:

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid attracts just 39% to 42% of the Nevada vote when matched against three Republican opponents. Two of his potential opponents now top the 50% level of support.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey in the state also shows that 62% of Nevada’s voters support repealing the recently passed health care law. That’s a bit higher than support for repeal naitonally.

It is hard enough for the average Senate Democrat who rubber-stamped ObamaCare to escape the ire of voters, but it’s simply impossible for Reid, who steamrolled the bill through the Senate, to put any distance between himself and all the noxious elements of the bill that have enraged voters. He is, in some sense, the poster boy for the Democrats who lurched Left, facilitated the extreme Obama agenda, ran up the tab, and forgot that their constituents are considerably less liberal than agenda the Obami is pushing.

No wonder, then, that Nevada has become the target of a massive Tea Party effort to unseat Reid. As the New York Times explains:

In a matter of weeks, this state has become ground zero for Tea Party members, who understand that as a symbol of the movement’s power, you cannot get much bigger than beating the Senate’s top Democrat. … There is no doubting the anti-Reid sentiment here. Above Searchlight looms a billboard almost as big as some nearby homes reading “Will Rogers never met Harry Reid,” a play on a famous saying by Rogers that he never met a man he did not like.

Yes, there is the potential for vote-splitting with tea party activists and other independent candidates, but make no mistake: Reid has a mountain of opposition to overcome. It is not easy to hold your seat when only 23 percent of the voters have a favorable opinion of you.

Read Less