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September 2002

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Abstract –

THE WEALTH produced by oil is what underlies, almost exclusively, the strength of three major groups in the Middle East--Islamists, both Shiite and Sunni, and Baathists--that have chosen to be at war with us. Our own dependence on that oil, and the effect this has had on our conduct over the last quarter-century, have helped encourage each of these groups to believe that we are vulnerable. Each group is anchored in a leading oil-producing state.


About the Author

R. James Woolsey, here making his first appearance in COMMENTARY, was director of the Central Intelligence Agency from 1993 to 1995. In different form, this article will appear as a chapter in The Next American Century: Essays in Honor of Richard G. Lugar, to be published by Rowman & Littlefield in December 2002.