Barack Obama is almost certainly going to be the Democratic nominee, but what has been obscured by the media frenzy over him is that he is a vastly weaker candidate than he once appeared to be. After two weeks of media insistence that Hillary is done and he is the Chosen One, he appears to have lost Kentucky by a margin of 2-to-1. That is simply bizarre. The one indisputable thing we know about the psychology of elections is that people like to vote for the candidate they think is going to be the winner. It doesn’t mean anything that he lost Kentucky; it means something that he didn’t lose it by five points, or by ten, but rather by 20 or more. Race may play a role here, but it doesn’t play a 30-point role; and it’s worth noting that one reason given in exit polls for white resistance to Obama is his connection to black racist Jeremiah Wright, a connection that is no one’s fault but Obama’s own.
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