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The Greatest Threat to Obama’s Re-election

For more evidence the debt ceiling debate has damaged the Obama presidency, consider this: A new Quinnipiac University poll shows the national debt ceiling deal did not “rescue President Barack Obama’s crashing job approval rating in Florida.” In fact, it has done the opposite.

According to the poll, Obama’s approval ratings are 44 percent approval v. 51 percent disapproval. Moreover, Florida voters surveyed after the deal say, by a margin of 50 v. 42 percent, Obama does not deserve to be re-elected. (He carried Florida by almost three percentage points in 2008.) As a point of comparison, Obama’s approval-disapproval rating was 47-46 percent before the deal, and as recently as late May Florida voters, by a margin of 50 percent v. 44 percent, supported Obama for re-election.

“President Barack Obama’s numbers in the key swing state of Florida have gone south in the last two months,” said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “The president’s drop off is huge among independent voters who now disapprove almost 2-1.”

That this isn’t surprising is what is so worrisome for the president. The hemorrhage of support Obama is experiencing among independents is the single greatest threat to his re-election.



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