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Don’t Blame Bibi for Decline in Democrats’ Support for Israel

Both Israeli and American pundits have spent the last month abusing Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for his decision to accept an invitation to speak to a joint session of Congress next month about the Iranian nuclear threat. The White House’s effort to spin the speech as a breach of protocol and an unwarranted interference in a U.S. debate about Iran has largely succeeded in rallying a significant number of congressional Democrats to back away from support of the sanctions bill co-sponsored by Senators Mark Kirk and Bob Menendez, as well as getting some to threaten to boycott Netanyahu’s speech. But while the speech is a blunder that has hurt the sanctions bill, the charge that Netanyahu has undermined bipartisan support for Israel is both unfair and untrue. As a new Gallup poll reveals, there is nothing new about Democrats being less likely to support Israel than Republicans.

The poll, which was taken from February 8-11, just as the furor over the Netanyahu speech was gaining steam, should reassure Israelis and their American friends that the doom-and-gloom scenarios about the collapse of U.S. support for the Jewish state in what is proving to be a very difficult second presidential term for Barack Obama are, at best, overstated. The poll showed that even after the shellacking it took in the press last summer during the Gaza war and the opprobrium that has been directed at Netanyahu personally in the last month, a whopping 70 percent of Americans still view Israel favorably or mostly favorably. Considering that 72 percent gave the same answer in February 2014, it’s clear that strong public support for Israel has hardly budged in spite of a very difficult year. By contrast, only 17 percent of Americans view the Palestinians favorably or mostly favorably, a number that has declined two percent in the last year.

When the question is asked slightly differently, in terms of which side one sympathizes with–the Israelis or the Palestinians–the results aren’t much different. Since the Palestinians’ plight naturally evokes sympathy irrespective of the rights and wrongs of the conflict, you’d think the numbers would swing toward them. But that isn’t the case. The results show that 62 percent of Americans sympathize with the Israelis and 16 percent with the Palestinians. A year ago that result was 62-18 percent.

But the bad news for friends of Israel is the fact that the overwhelming backing for the Jewish state isn’t entirely bipartisan. Though both congressional parties are largely united in their approval for Israel, there is a marked difference when it comes to members of the public who identity with either the Republicans or the Democrats.

Republicans support Israel by an enormous margin with fully 83 percent of them aligning themselves with the Jewish state. By contrast, only 48 percent of Democrats are pro-Israel with independents at 59 percent.

It is true that Democratic support has dipped considerably in the last year. In 2014, 78 percent of Republicans were pro-Israel while 55 percent of Democrats viewed in favorably. That five-percent boost for the GOP and seven-percent dip for the Democrats might be attributed to the actions of Obama and Netanyahu. But before you jump to those conclusions, it’s important to put these numbers in the context of a decades-long trend that has showed a steady increase in GOP backing for Israel while Democrats have been consistently less enthusiastic about it.

In 1988, long before the current debates about Iran, disrespect for Obama, or Netanyahu’s chutzpah, only 42 percent of Democrats viewed Israel favorably while 47 percent of Republicans did so. Since then, the numbers have varied at times. But since 2001, Republican support has moved steadily upward to its current position above the 80 percent mark. At the same time, the figures for the Democrats have always lagged far behind. Though the Obama-Netanyahu dustup may have alienated some Democrats, put in the perspective of the last 25 years, it is barely a blip on the radar screen.

What causes more liberal voters who call themselves Democrats to think less well of Israel than conservatives and Republicans? That is a complex question to which there are no easy answers. Perhaps some buy in to the canard that Israel is a vestige of imperialism, rather than the expression of a national liberation movement for the Jews. It’s possible the views of Democrats are influenced more by the anti-Israel bias of the mainstream media than Republicans, who largely ignore the tilt of the press on most issues.

But whatever the reason, the lack of sympathy for Israel on the part of many Democrats is no secret. The appalling spectacle at their 2012 national convention when a clear majority of those on the floor expressed opposition to pro-Israel resolutions were being pushed through is just a tangible example of the hostility that many on the left have for Zionism. With intellectual elites in academia and the mainline Protestant churches embracing economic warfare against Israel in the form of BDS—boycott, divest, sanction—resolutions, it is little surprise that the party such groups have more influence over would see Israel in a bad light.

These numbers don’t negate the fact that a plurality of Democrats back Israel and that some of their stalwarts in the House and the Senate are its most able advocates. Democratic Senator Bob Menendez, who personally stood up to President Obama to object to his slanders against pro-Israel members of Congress, is just one example.

But however you want to spin it, there’s no getting around the fact that Republicans are far more likely to be pro-Israel than Democrats and that this long predates any squabbles about the Netanyahu speech. If pro-Israel Democrats don’t like the notion that the Israelis seem to be more in sync with Republicans like House Speaker John Boehner than with the president, the fault lies with their party, not the Jewish state.



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8 Responses to “Don’t Blame Bibi for Decline in Democrats’ Support for Israel”

  1. PAUL FREEDMAN says:

    Are American Jews themselves by a majority pro-Israel? by overwhelming majorities they tolerate, enable or applaud the anti-Zionist maneuverings of their favorite Presidential candidate–birthed upon the national scene in part by red-diaper baby inheritors of Judaism as framed by the CPUSA–as, under cover of leveraging Iran’s isolation to de-nuclearize the regime, he actually implements a de facto policy 180 degrees opposite; crafts a nuclear agreement that permits missile development, heavy water development, and, as far as we can tell, delists Iranian military weaponization R&D as covered or reportable activities–past present or future; precisely to reach entente with the Iran mullahs (and the Muslim Brotherhood) and isolate … Israel.

    For perhaps a plurality of American Jews, Zionism is heartfelt as long as it remains conflict free with values held more dearly; a decisive minority or perhaps a plurality or down the road majority are completely indifferent or hostile.

    • PAUL FREEDMAN says:

      and, as the Obama administration balances out its tilt to the Shiite crescent by rewarding the Sunni Arabs of the mandate with a renewed push to expel Israel from Western Jerusalem (for now) and the territories how united will the opposition from the American Jewish community be? This administration probes for weak points and then pushes forward–given its continuing fold on immigration policy we could ask the same question of the GOP when the pedal hits the metal.

  2. IKE BASMAN says:

    Small question: what does it mean to say:

    …These numbers don’t negate the fact that a plurality of Democrats back Israel…?

    If the distinction. between a plurality and a majority holds, how within one group on a yes or no proposition can there be a plurality?

    • PAUL FREEDMAN says:

      maybe by factoring in the “no opinions” if they’re counted — say 48 percent positive, 30 percent negative and 22 percent no opinion–you get plurality positive but not a majority, etc.

      • IKE BASMAN says:

        Good point. That, if it’s the reason, should be made clear in the head post, I’d suggest. It’s hard to imagine any politically self conscious Ds not having an opinion on the issue but you may well be right.

  3. D S HODES says:

    Jews are a part of Western civilization, successful, educated, and light-skinned. They must, therefore, be oppressors.
    Arabs are of non-Western tradition, poor, poorly educated, and dark-skinned. They must, therefore, be victims.
    It is the duty of liberals to support those designated as victims against those designated as oppressors. The factual accuracy of the designations is not open to discussion.

  4. SANDRA SHREVE says:

    Someone please explain:
    How can a leftist ideology trump one’s Jewish identity?

    • JACK LEVEY says:

      Ask Rosa Luxembourg, Leon Trotsky, or Emma Goldman. Or any number of people in the 1960s New Left. It’s all a matter of what one considers important.




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