Study: Voter ID Laws Could Impact Millions
Alana Goodman 2011-10-03This report by the Brennan Center is making the rounds on liberal blogs today, with its sensational finding that new voting laws could disenfranchise five million eligible voters. According to the study:
• These new laws could make it significantly harder for more than five million eligible voters to cast ballots in 2012.
• The states that have already cut back on voting rights will provide 171 electoral votes in 2012– 63 percent of the 270 needed to win the presidency.
• Of the 12 likely battleground states, as assessed by an August Los Angeles Times analysis of Gallup polling, five have already cut back on voting rights (and may pass additional restrictive legislation), and two more are currently considering new restrictions.
Opponents of the voting laws are specifically concerned about new rules that require voters to show photo ID at the polls, pointing out that roughly 11 percent of potential voters don’t own valid identification cards. But the figures cited in the report are questionable. Brennan maintains that 11 percent of the voting age population don’t have photo ID, a statistic it concluded from a previous study. However, the “voting age population” includes non-citizens, illegal immigrants and felons who are barred from voting, according to the Census Bureau. Also, a hefty portion of the voting age population do not even vote – just 56 percent cast a ballot in 2008.
Other reports that looked at registered voters, as opposed to the general voting age population, conflict with Brennan’s findings. An American University study of registered voters in Indiana, Maryland, and Mississippi found that just 1.2 percent lacked government-issued photo IDs.
There’s definitely a debate to be had about whether voter ID laws will actually help prevent voting fraud. There are other ways to game the system that ID laws can’t thwart. And there are also questions about whether voting fraud is actually rampant enough to have an impact on elections, and whether having these laws in place is really necessary. Unfortunately, it’s hard to gather credible statistics on election fraud simply because IDs aren’t checked in the first place. But the widespread voter disenfranchisement Brennan’s report warns about is far from conclusive.
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Arthur Herman
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Jonah Goldberg
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Charles Krauthammer
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William Kristol
“ COMMENTARY’s writing is predictably engaging and edgy, but its content is anything but homogeneous. Center-right perspectives characterize contributions, but not predictably so. Jewish affairs are thematic, but not always. Controversies of the day are the usual subjects, yet offered only with reflection well apart from the frenzied 24/7 news cycle. Intellectual honesty and analytical rigor characterize COMMENTARY and that is why even its political critics concede that they are still enlightened by the very arguments they often oppose. „
Victor Davis Hanson
“ COMMENTARY is an indispensable read on the Arab Spring, the Afghan war, the future of American conservatism, and all the other crazy stuff out there. But you already knew that. What I really love about it is that it’s a full-service operation, and its back-of-the-book guys—the fellows who write about music, literature, and all the things that make life worth living as the world goes to hell—are the best in the business. There is an observation in a Terry Teachout piece on the wonderful singer Nancy LaMott about “Moon River” that has stayed with me for almost two decades. I fished it out from the back of my mind to impress a gal at a Goldwater Institute reception only the other day, and it worked a treat. So thank you, COMMENTARY! Likewise, my differences with the arts’n’culture crew unsettle me far more than the geopolitical ones: reasonable people can disagree on how large a nuclear arsenal those wacky mullahs should be permitted to own, but I’m still agog at the great Andrew Ferguson’s mystifying praise for the New York Times obituaries page a couple of issues back. That’s COMMENTARY for you—provocative to the end, on matters large and small. In these turbulent and dismaying times, we can all use a huckleberry friend waiting round the bend, in the mailbox each month and on the computer screen every morning. For any journal of opinion, as “Moon River” teaches us, there’s such a lot of world to see. COMMENTARY sees most of it with piercing clarity: it can’t know all the answers, but it asks all the right questions, and with great farsightedness. It deserves your wholehearted support. „
Mark Steyn
“ COMMENTARY has played an invaluable role in American political discourse for decades, offering thoughtful analysis on issues rather than sound bites or bumper stickers. Especially when it comes to U.S. foreign and defense policy, COMMENTARY has time and time again been ahead of the crowd, anticipating trends and developments that others react to only after the fact. I can't imagine not being a COMMENTARY subscriber. „
John Bolton
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Karl Rove
“ It's notorious, and true, that government officials hardly read anything. Memos, sure; nowadays, emails and tweets as well. But magazines? People barely have time to eat lunch or see their kids, so how can an intellectual monthly affect public affairs? The question is a good one. How did COMMENTARY do it? The answer is that officials, like all citizens following American foreign policy, need a way to understand the world around them. When prevailing theories fail, when conventional wisdom is clearly at variance with what they see before their eyes, the outcome for senators and congressmen and White House officials is what the shrinks call cognitive dissonance. They may say one thing but believe another, or simply be unable to square previous beliefs and policies with the clear effects of U.S. conduct. They've lost the ability to explain the world. And then came COMMENTARY, offering month after month of piercing, bracing analysis—and value judgments of right and wrong, and clear writing about American gains and losses. Here was an insistence on looking reality in the face. Here was plain argument, seeking no quarter intellectually and giving none. And it mattered. It shamed some people, and emboldened others; COMMENTARY demanded that we conform policy to the opportunities and dangers that really faced America. In years of confusion and obfuscation, that striking clarity changed policies, and changed American conduct, because it changed the way we understood the world. „
Elliott Abrams
“ For more than 60 years, COMMENTARY has been a go-to source on matters of the greatest importance to our nation and our civilization. Today, its full-throated defense of the United States and freedom is as eloquent as it was a half-century ago, and no less urgent. Issues of the day will change, news cycles come and go, but COMMENTARY remains an indispensable authority in the battle of ideas that help to shape our world. Its continued success is both an indication, and source, of the country’s intellectual health. „
Donald Rumsfeld
“ COMMENTARY is America's most important monthly journal of ideas, period. For nearly seven decades it has published the best and most exciting writing from the most important thinkers: Saul Bellow and Lionel Trilling; Daniel Patrick Moynihan and Jeane Kirkpatrick; Paul Johnson and Ruth Wisse; Cynthia Ozick and—of course—Norman Podhoretz and Midge Decter. Is there anything remotely like it? No. It is the lamp by which America, and Israel, and the Jewish people, may find their way to safety. I'm proud to be published in its pages. „
Bret Stephens
“ Irving Kristol once called COMMENTARY the most influential magazine in Jewish history. Certainly, no publication had a greater influence on me as I evolved from adolescent reader (arguing over its articles with my father and older brother) into a “frequent contributor” who made it my intellectual home. The magazine did not exploit American freedom to escape from civilizing duty but rather activated the intertwined responsibilities of citizens and members of a group. American Jewry can boast of many contributions to the welfare of this country and the Jewish people, but few as fortifying as COMMENTARY. „
Ruth R. Wisse
“ Edward Shils noted that there are four means of education in the modern world: the classroom, bookstores (especially used-bookstores), the conversation of intelligent friends, and intellectual magazines. For me intellectual magazines were more important than any of the other three, and no magazine among them more so than COMMENTARY. I first happened on COMMENTARY as a student browsing in the University of Chicago Bookstore in 1957. I have not missed an issue since. The magazine spoke to my intellectual interests and passions, and still does. As a reader and as a writer, I should be lost without it. „
Joseph Epstein
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Matthew Continetti
“ COMMENTARY has long been an unmissable landmark on the American intellectual landscape. These days it shapes debate, propels argument, and explains society with renewed vigor and force. It is one of the small group of essential reads for anybody engaged in politics, Judaism, foreign policy, national manners, and morals. „
David Brooks
“ Anyone looking for a definitive exposition of a significant historical moment—whether UC Berkeley's Free Speech Movement, say, or the battles over "general education" at Harvard—has at his fingertips an inestimable gift: COMMENTARY's archives, which contain countless gems of reporting and analysis. Today's generation of COMMENTARY writers is building an equally invaluable store of knowledge for future researchers and scholars. „
Heather Mac Donald
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Michael Medved
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Yuval Levin
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Dana Perino
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Obama’s Iran Missile Charade
Jonathan S. Tobin 2016-01-01
On Wednesday, the Treasury Department said it was prepared to impose sanctions on Iran for violating United Nations Security Council resolutions about its ballistic missile program. The proposed sanctions were a long-delayed response to Iran’s missile tests conducted in October and again in December that breached measures that were enacted by the world body specifically to work in conjunction with the nuclear deal conclude between the West and Tehran. In response, Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani raged at the West and, as the New York Times notes today, denounced the sanctions and asserted that the Islamist regime would continue building and testing missiles. But anyone thinking the disagreement was a sign the Obama administration was genuinely prepared to try and hold Iran accountable for its behavior was soon disabused of the notion. As the Wall Street Journal reports, the White House is making clear it has no intention of imposing these sanctions or taking any action about this or any other Iranian breaches of its agreements.
Apparently the White House decision to indefinitely put off the imposition of any sanctions on Iran was made only hours after the Treasury Department spoke of them in the first place. They were actually scheduled to be announced on Wednesday before being pulled back. Is it possible that there are some in the administration that want to get tough with Iran after years of concessions that gradually eviscerated America’s previous tough stance aimed at curbing Iran’s nuclear threat? Maybe. But perhaps it is also possible that what we have seen this week is just another version of the same tired show we’ve been watching throughout the course of President Obama’s term of office. The talk of more sanctions was clearly as insincere as President Obama’s 2012 campaign promises that said any deal with Iran would have to mean the end of its nuclear program.
Iran’s public anger over the possibility is just as cynical. By now, the Iranians know very well this administration is obsessed with the chimera of détente. From his first moments in office, the president has constantly spoken of wanting to enact an historic reconciliation between the two nations. In pursuit of that dubious goal, it didn’t merely initiate new negotiations but proceeded to discard previous consensus positions about the need for Iran to cease enriching uranium and keeping its nuclear infrastructure. It wound up agreeing to a deal that not only allowed the Iranians to keep their most advanced centrifuges, to continue research and also ultimately passed on any effort to make the regime come clean on their work on possible military dimensions of the nuclear project. The accord that was announced last summer also expires in a decade leaving Iran free at that point to proceed quickly to a bomb. In exchange for some Iranian concessions that don’t close the door to a weapon, the West is about to transfer as much as $100 billion in frozen assets to Tehran. It will also lift sanctions that will open the floodgates to international commerce ahead of schedule that will enrich the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps and enable to give more aid to its Hezbollah and Hamas terrorist allies.
That last point is key to understand this week’s sanctions melodrama. The administration has consistently demonstrated that it is willing to ignore any Iranian behavior, no matter how egregious, so as to not be distracted from the goal of an entente with Tehran. That’s why it resisted any effort to include restrictions on Iranian funding of terrorism or its threats against both Israel and Arab states in the Middle East. Indeed, the president’s reluctance to take action against Iran’s ally, Bashar Assad, when it might have helped avert the current catastrophe in Syria and the rise of ISIS, can also be traced to his desire not to offend the Islamist regime.
Administration apologists claim that this is merely smart policy because the nuclear deal postpones the danger of an Iranian bomb and because Tehran can be a useful ally in dealing with ISIS and the worsening situation in Afghanistan. But Iran’s priority is consolidating its influence over governments in Iraq and Syria and eliminating their opponents, not in helping the U.S. fight a war with ISIS or the Taliban. Iran wants regional hegemony over the Middle East and its ongoing ballistic missile program — which makes little sense in the absence of an intent to build a nuclear weapon — is part of a posture in which it hopes to intimidate its foes.
Even more to the point, were the U.S. serious about making Iran stick to even the terms of the weak deal it agreed to, Washington would be making clear that the missile violations is a very serious matter. If, Iran is prepared to flaunt its willingness to violate these restrictions in the weeks before the West is about to lift sanctions, why would anyone think they’ll observe any rules after they start receiving the rewards promised in the deal. The missile issue isn’t as critical as other possible breeches of the nuclear accord, but it is an all-too-obvious indication that the Obama administration will never hold Iran accountable on any issue.
Iran may be flexing its muscles about even the possibility of more sanctions but its leaders know they have nothing to worry about. The talk of sanctions that will never be imposed is a pointless charade that fools no one, least of all the ayatollahs. Unless or until Barack Obama is replaced in the White House by a president that Iranians respect and fear, all bets are off as far as compliance with the nuclear deal or any other issue.
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Everyone worth reading avidly reads COMMENTARY. Can you afford not to?
“ In 1975 the Economist said of COMMENTARY: “The world's best magazine?” Take away the question mark and that statement still stands, thirty-eight years later. It's still the magazine America's liberals dread most, and the one America's enemies can't afford to ignore. It's the point of the conservative spear in the never-ending fight against the insanity of the left, whether it's in foreign policy or economic policy, social and cultural issues, or the arts—and no one does a better job standing up for Western culture and America's interests and those of its allies, including Israel. In fact, surviving the next three years—the Obama administration home stretch—and building the foundations for an American resurgence afterward will be impossible without reading COMMENTARY in print and online. „
Arthur Herman
“ There’s an enormous amount of shouting in the wild west of conservative media. That has its place, and is often a sign of the energy on the right. But amidst the cacophony there’s a special need for serious, considered, and compelling argument, presented in the hope of persuading, not just punishing. This is where COMMENTARY has always shined, perhaps more now than ever before. It aims to tackle the best arguments of its intellectual opponents, not just the easiest targets. It’s a journal I’ve read for nearly 30 years and I can’t think of a time when I’ve valued it more. „
Jonah Goldberg
“ For decades, COMMENTARY has opened its pages to the most serious uncompromising defense of the American creed—exemplar of ordered liberty at home, pillar of the free world abroad—in an era when it has been most under attack. From the exceptionally influential manifestoes of Daniel Patrick Moynihan and Jeane Kirkpatrick to today's counterattack against the empowered advocates of the entitlement state and of American decline, COMMENTARY remains what it has been for more than a generation: fearless, informative, indispensable. „
Charles Krauthammer
“ COMMENTARY isn’t just an important magazine. It’s an indispensable one. It’s been indispensable for half a century, and it is today. It’s indispensable for understanding the moment we live in, and it’s indispensable for laying out a path forward. The challenges we confront are great, but COMMENTARY is used to facing grave challenges without fearful cowering or wishful thinking. So we need COMMENTARY today as much as we ever have, and we need it to be as strong as it’s ever been. „
William Kristol
“ COMMENTARY’s writing is predictably engaging and edgy, but its content is anything but homogeneous. Center-right perspectives characterize contributions, but not predictably so. Jewish affairs are thematic, but not always. Controversies of the day are the usual subjects, yet offered only with reflection well apart from the frenzied 24/7 news cycle. Intellectual honesty and analytical rigor characterize COMMENTARY and that is why even its political critics concede that they are still enlightened by the very arguments they often oppose. „
Victor Davis Hanson
“ COMMENTARY is an indispensable read on the Arab Spring, the Afghan war, the future of American conservatism, and all the other crazy stuff out there. But you already knew that. What I really love about it is that it’s a full-service operation, and its back-of-the-book guys—the fellows who write about music, literature, and all the things that make life worth living as the world goes to hell—are the best in the business. There is an observation in a Terry Teachout piece on the wonderful singer Nancy LaMott about “Moon River” that has stayed with me for almost two decades. I fished it out from the back of my mind to impress a gal at a Goldwater Institute reception only the other day, and it worked a treat. So thank you, COMMENTARY! Likewise, my differences with the arts’n’culture crew unsettle me far more than the geopolitical ones: reasonable people can disagree on how large a nuclear arsenal those wacky mullahs should be permitted to own, but I’m still agog at the great Andrew Ferguson’s mystifying praise for the New York Times obituaries page a couple of issues back. That’s COMMENTARY for you—provocative to the end, on matters large and small. In these turbulent and dismaying times, we can all use a huckleberry friend waiting round the bend, in the mailbox each month and on the computer screen every morning. For any journal of opinion, as “Moon River” teaches us, there’s such a lot of world to see. COMMENTARY sees most of it with piercing clarity: it can’t know all the answers, but it asks all the right questions, and with great farsightedness. It deserves your wholehearted support. „
Mark Steyn
“ COMMENTARY has played an invaluable role in American political discourse for decades, offering thoughtful analysis on issues rather than sound bites or bumper stickers. Especially when it comes to U.S. foreign and defense policy, COMMENTARY has time and time again been ahead of the crowd, anticipating trends and developments that others react to only after the fact. I can't imagine not being a COMMENTARY subscriber. „
John Bolton
“ In the midst of today’s political rancor, COMMENTARY Magazine provides a rare venue for thoughtful discussion. COMMENTARY’s talented writers provide insightful analysis of foreign affairs, domestic policy, and the politics of the day. COMMENTARY is a treasure not only for conservatives, but for anyone looking for in-depth exploration of the issues that influence America’s public dialogue and shape the nation’s future. „
Karl Rove
“ It's notorious, and true, that government officials hardly read anything. Memos, sure; nowadays, emails and tweets as well. But magazines? People barely have time to eat lunch or see their kids, so how can an intellectual monthly affect public affairs? The question is a good one. How did COMMENTARY do it? The answer is that officials, like all citizens following American foreign policy, need a way to understand the world around them. When prevailing theories fail, when conventional wisdom is clearly at variance with what they see before their eyes, the outcome for senators and congressmen and White House officials is what the shrinks call cognitive dissonance. They may say one thing but believe another, or simply be unable to square previous beliefs and policies with the clear effects of U.S. conduct. They've lost the ability to explain the world. And then came COMMENTARY, offering month after month of piercing, bracing analysis—and value judgments of right and wrong, and clear writing about American gains and losses. Here was an insistence on looking reality in the face. Here was plain argument, seeking no quarter intellectually and giving none. And it mattered. It shamed some people, and emboldened others; COMMENTARY demanded that we conform policy to the opportunities and dangers that really faced America. In years of confusion and obfuscation, that striking clarity changed policies, and changed American conduct, because it changed the way we understood the world. „
Elliott Abrams
“ For more than 60 years, COMMENTARY has been a go-to source on matters of the greatest importance to our nation and our civilization. Today, its full-throated defense of the United States and freedom is as eloquent as it was a half-century ago, and no less urgent. Issues of the day will change, news cycles come and go, but COMMENTARY remains an indispensable authority in the battle of ideas that help to shape our world. Its continued success is both an indication, and source, of the country’s intellectual health. „
Donald Rumsfeld
“ COMMENTARY is America's most important monthly journal of ideas, period. For nearly seven decades it has published the best and most exciting writing from the most important thinkers: Saul Bellow and Lionel Trilling; Daniel Patrick Moynihan and Jeane Kirkpatrick; Paul Johnson and Ruth Wisse; Cynthia Ozick and—of course—Norman Podhoretz and Midge Decter. Is there anything remotely like it? No. It is the lamp by which America, and Israel, and the Jewish people, may find their way to safety. I'm proud to be published in its pages. „
Bret Stephens
“ Irving Kristol once called COMMENTARY the most influential magazine in Jewish history. Certainly, no publication had a greater influence on me as I evolved from adolescent reader (arguing over its articles with my father and older brother) into a “frequent contributor” who made it my intellectual home. The magazine did not exploit American freedom to escape from civilizing duty but rather activated the intertwined responsibilities of citizens and members of a group. American Jewry can boast of many contributions to the welfare of this country and the Jewish people, but few as fortifying as COMMENTARY. „
Ruth R. Wisse
“ Edward Shils noted that there are four means of education in the modern world: the classroom, bookstores (especially used-bookstores), the conversation of intelligent friends, and intellectual magazines. For me intellectual magazines were more important than any of the other three, and no magazine among them more so than COMMENTARY. I first happened on COMMENTARY as a student browsing in the University of Chicago Bookstore in 1957. I have not missed an issue since. The magazine spoke to my intellectual interests and passions, and still does. As a reader and as a writer, I should be lost without it. „
Joseph Epstein
“ Why does COMMENTARY matter? Since 1945, no other monthly magazine has so consistently published serious, provocative argument and analysis. No other monthly magazine has viewed America and the world through such a wide angle, encompassing economics, politics, society, culture, religion, and diplomacy. No other monthly magazine has published such a celebrated and wide-ranging list of editors and contributors. Cerebral, critical, and committed, the point of view found in its pages is as unique as it is formidable. And in a world of Iranian nukes, rising anti-Semitism, radical Islam, American disarmament, bipartisan neo-isolationism, and disintegrating institutions, reading COMMENTARY is more than a pleasure. It is a necessity. „
Matthew Continetti
“ COMMENTARY has long been an unmissable landmark on the American intellectual landscape. These days it shapes debate, propels argument, and explains society with renewed vigor and force. It is one of the small group of essential reads for anybody engaged in politics, Judaism, foreign policy, national manners, and morals. „
David Brooks
“ Anyone looking for a definitive exposition of a significant historical moment—whether UC Berkeley's Free Speech Movement, say, or the battles over "general education" at Harvard—has at his fingertips an inestimable gift: COMMENTARY's archives, which contain countless gems of reporting and analysis. Today's generation of COMMENTARY writers is building an equally invaluable store of knowledge for future researchers and scholars. „
Heather Mac Donald
“ I first subscribed to COMMENTARY in 1973, as a recovering liberal who had invested four years of my young life in writing speeches for a constellation of McGovernite candidates and office-holders. Living in Berkeley at the time, I relished COMMENTARY as a guilty pleasure, feeling grateful that the magazine arrived each month discreetly disguised in a plain, brown wrapper that concealed its suspiciously neo-conservative content. In the militantly leftist community in which I functioned forty years ago, receiving regular monthly installments of the most degrading porn would have produced far less embarrassment than my growing devotion to the persuasive prose of Norman Podhoretz and Co. Yes, my personal journey from left to right-center involved the usual biographical factors, including the three P’s: paychecks, parenthood, and prayer. Paychecks, because they arrived with shocking subtractions in the form of onerous and incomprehensible taxes; parenthood, because responsibility for a new generation forced a longer-term perspective; and prayer, because my own growing Jewish observance led to the conclusion that my “idealistic” ’60s generation, with all its narcissism and preening self-regard, might not provide life’s ultimate answers after all. Fortunately for me, reading COMMENTARY with near-religious regularity helped to organize my onrushing insights and experience into a more coherent world view. In a dark time in our nation’s history, while surviving (temporarily) in the most unhinged corner of the continent, this incomparable publication persuaded me that I wasn’t alone. „
Michael Medved
“ Just as one begins to despair of hearing the strong voice of sanity and courage, leavened with charm and good humor, in our modern polity, COMMENTARY arrives, and once a month one can be reminded that there are indeed some clear-sighted and articulate people who seem actively to enjoy the battle for truth. „
Andrew Roberts
“ Every month in print, and every day online, COMMENTARY somehow manages to pull off a dazzling balancing act: intellectual but unpretentious, serious but never boring, timely but not fleeting. On the leading questions of the day, it offers fresh and unfamiliar insights. And on the emerging questions that will dominate the years to come, it often sees things first and clearest. It is simply indispensable. „
Yuval Levin
“ In a time of passion, COMMENTARY champions reason. Against lies, COMMENTARY speaks for truth. Confronting those who would doom to death the Jewish people, COMMENTARY is a magnificent continuing achievement of American Jewish life. „
David Frum
“ COMMENTARY has become my new go-to website for news analysis because it is measured, substantive, thoughtful, and written for news consumers of all shapes and sizes. When juggling all the issues of the day and thinking them through, I find myself going back to COMMENTARY again and again to see if there’s anything more that can help me add the ingredients needed to finalize an argument. I like the mix of foreign policy and national political news, as well as the discussions about America’s place in the world and what it should be. I’m a print subscriber and a frequent website visitor, and I follow all of the writers on Twitter. Thank you, COMMENTARY, for providing such consistently helpful content. „
Dana Perino
“ There is more commentary in the world than ever before—whether in print, on the air, or on the Internet. But there is still a dearth of serious, informed commentary that reports, analyzes, and argues without ever stooping to name-calling or vitriol. If you further narrow down the segment of the commentariat that looks at the world from a conservative and Jewish perspective—well, you’re left with only one choice. The magazine you are now reading. COMMENTARY has changed over the years—for instance, it now publishes this blog—but one thing that has not changed is its steadfast commitment to providing the best analysis from the most informed writers of the most important ideas in the world, all written in clear prose that appeals to a general audience. There is nothing else like it. Never has been, never will be. „
Max Boot
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David Frum on COMMENTARY
David Frum 2016-01-01
In a time of passion, COMMENTARY champions reason. Against lies, COMMENTARY speaks for truth. Confronting those who would doom to death the Jewish people, COMMENTARY is a magnificent continuing achievement of American Jewish life. Please click here to donate.
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Jonah Goldberg on COMMENTARY
Jonah Goldberg 2015-12-31
There’s an enormous amount of shouting in the wild west of conservative media. That has its place, and is often a sign of the energy on the right. But amidst the cacophony there’s a special need for serious, considered, and compelling argument, presented in the hope of persuading, not just punishing. This is where COMMENTARY has always shined, perhaps more now than ever before. It aims to tackle the best arguments of its intellectual opponents, not just the easiest targets. It’s a journal I’ve read for nearly 30 years and I can’t think of a time when I’ve valued it more. Please click here to donate.
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A Pander for the Ages
Noah Rothman 2015-12-31
The Republican civil war is over; conservatives won. Just don’t tell conservatives.
National Review’s Jim Geraghty performed a public service this week when he devoted his talents to identifying the many, many ways in which the GOP’s “establishment choice,” Marco Rubio, might be the most conservative candidate the party’s moderate wing has ever embraced. If Rubio is a moderate squish, Mitt Romney and John McCain are radical Bolsheviks. That’s to say nothing of Donald Trump, who was an orthodox liberal on every issue save immigration until he sought the Republican Party’s presidential nomination.
Modest distinctions are accentuated in a primary race, and the tactics preferred by Rubio and disfavored by Ted Cruz are often mischaracterized as contrasting philosophies. For Cruz, who is presenting himself to the electorate as an insurgent anti-Beltway candidate, this serves his purposes. He’s hoping his supporters forget his service to George W. Bush’s 2000 campaign and his embrace of all things “compassionate,” a policy of empathy that extended even to the nation’s illegal immigrant population.
Rubio’s conservative bona fides is doubted by few, but they are an influential minority. One of Rubio’s recent pronouncements ought to allay their fears about the senator’s instincts. “One of the things I’m going to do on my first day in office: I will announce that I am a supporter, and as president I will put the weight of the presidency behind a constitutional convention of the states so we can pass term limits on members of Congress and the Supreme Court and so we can pass a balanced budget amendment,” Rubio told a crowd at an Iowa rally this week.
The notion that Americans should convene a Convention of States pursuant to Article V of the Constitution in order to pass a selection of narrowly-tailored amendments to the nation’s founding charter has some powerful advocates. Chief among them might be the constitutional scholar, author, and radio host Mark Levin. “Rubio endorses Convention of States!” the talk show host exclaimed. “Will the other GOP contenders support it as well?” As a political maneuver, Rubio’s latest is a deft one. Hardened by influential talk show hosts who have spent months inveighing against his support of a 2013 immigration reform bill, Rubio will need to soften the beaches of conservative opposition to his candidacy if he is to win the GOP nomination. This latest proclamation goes some way toward achieving that end. It is also a dangerous pander to one of the right’s worst ideas.
There is a peculiar irony to the fact that a constitutional Convention of States is viewed so favorably by those conservatives who are convinced their side of the political fight does nothing but lose. Moreover, it is a risky approach to amending the Constitution beyond the existing process, which demands overwhelming consensus and years of tempering consideration. Convention proponents don’t seem to see much risk in this process.
Those who are not possessed of infinite faith in their powers of persuasion contend that the Convention of States cannot “run away” from the initial intentions of the conventioneers because some state legislatures will impose penalties on delegates who deviate from the approved agenda. In this way, convention backers claim, only the constitutional amendments conservatives favor – a Balanced Budget Amendment and term limits for federal officials – can be passed and, eventually, ratified. As of today, however, only three states have approved “delegate limitation” or “faithful delegate” acts. Just seven more states have proposed such acts. Further, of the over 30 states that have called for a convention, many did so in the 1980s when the political makeup of the Union was much different. Some of those states have since rescinded their support for a Convention of States, reducing the number of states supporting a convention to as few as 23. This should tell conservatives who support this item something about the nature of competing interests and the rapid pace at which popular sentiment can evolve. To induce more states to call for a convention, the scope of such a gathering would have to broaden substantially.
Contrary to popular belief, there are no rules for such a convention. Congress has tried on over 20 occasions to craft a uniform set of rules governing a convention process, but it has failed every time. The Congressional Research Service cannot definitively assert that a constitutional convention can have a limited focus, and its review of precedent seems to reinforce the notion that a sovereign convention of the people enjoys broad autonomy from state and federal legislatures. Despite frequent assertions that a “runaway” convention is simply not possible, there are no guarantees that conservative delegates can maintain total control over such a radical process. By design, a convention to reconsider the existing amendments, including those in the Bill of Rights, will have an expansive agenda. Conservatives might be surprised to learn that their liberal colleagues are fully empowered to litigate their own grievances with America’s governing charter. And everyone has a problem with the Constitution.
Bernie Sanders liberals are disgusted by the First Amendment’s freedoms as defined by the Supreme Court that overturned the McCain-Feingold campaign finance reform laws. They introduced a new amendment to the Constitution in the Senate that would rewrite the First just last year. Democrats, in general, have for decades sought to limit the freedoms in the Second Amendment, and a recent series of judicial impediments to doing so render the amendment process the best vehicle for enacting far-reaching gun control laws. One ill-timed incident of gun violence amid a convention might foment the rise of a movement in support of such a measure. Libertarians would surely like to strengthen elements of the Fourth Amendment to prevent agencies like the National Security Agency, the Transportation Safety Administration, and the Defense Department from pursuing present methods of information collection and retention. Conservatives of the Levin school would not be happy with a narrow convention agenda that declines to repeal the 17th Amendment, allowing for the direct election of U.S. senators. Further, some hope to draft an amendment that would allow a three-fifths vote of Congress or state legislative bodies to overturn Supreme Court verdicts – eliminating another check on majoritarian governance the Founders, in their wisdom, imposed on posterity.
When the convention ever gets around to considering a Balanced Budget Amendment, media scrutiny of that provision would soon render it toxic. The center-left press would soon discover that America’s largest debt drivers are entitlements, but also sprawling executive branch agencies like the departments of energy, education, and transportation. Does anyone imagine that in today’s polarized age Democrats would sit on their hands while conservatives unilaterally threatened the government’s ability to fund those initiatives? In order to secure liberal support for a BBA, it might be subject to unforeseen revision.
Some convention supporters display unique faith in the tempering power of the ratification process. Any amendments sent to the states out of this convention must be ratified by three-fourths of the Union, therefore only the most popular provisions will be adopted. Amendments 16 through 18, however, granted substantial powers to the federal government and were broadly popular at the time of their ratification. Those who opposed prohibition bowed to popular pressure and agreed to a provision that would sunset the amendment if it was not ratified by three-fourths of the states within seven years of its passage by Congress. They were shocked when it was adopted by a sufficient number of states in just under 13 months.
“Having witnessed the difficulties and dangers experienced by the first Convention, which assembled under every propitious circumstance, I should tremble for the result of a second, meeting in the present temper of America and under all the disadvantages I have mentioned,” wrote the Constitution’s father, James Madison, in 1788. Ever the visionary, Madison’s warning about the “temper of America” is as prudent today as it was prescient nearly 230 years ago. The divine genius of the Constitution, which has made the United States history’s longest enduring republic, is in the charter’s unresponsiveness to the capricious public. If the Constitution is proving too difficult to amend to the tastes of one modest cohort of American voters, it is performing precisely as designed. This is a marvel to celebrate, and “constitutional conservatives” should be doing just that. Instead, they lament their own impotence. In doing so, they forget that their political opponents are limited by precisely the same constraints.
An educated man with a demonstrated reverence for both the nation’s governing documents and America’s founding principles, Marco Rubio likely knows all of this. That’s precisely what makes his latest pander so profoundly disappointing.
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Max Boot
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Victor Davis Hanson on COMMENTARY
Victor Davis Hanson 2015-12-31
COMMENTARY’s writing is predictably engaging and edgy, but its content is anything but homogeneous. Center-right perspectives characterize contributions, but not predictably so. Jewish affairs are thematic, but not always. Controversies of the day are the usual subjects, yet offered only with reflection well apart from the frenzied 24/7 news cycle. Intellectual honesty and analytical rigor characterize COMMENTARY and that is why even its political critics concede that they are still enlightened by the very arguments they often oppose. Please click here to donate.