Optimistic or Pessimistic About America: James W. Ceaser

The following is from our November issue. Forty-one symposium contributors were asked to respond to the question: Are you optimistic or pessimistic about America’s future?

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Optimistic or Pessimistic About America: James W. Ceaser

Must-Reads from Magazine

Trump Won’t Keep His Iran Promises

One of the strongest among a dwindling number of arguments in favor of Donald Trump’s presidential candidacy rests on his steadfast opposition to the Iran nuclear deal. Though Trump’s foreign policy positions are a diverse grab bag of shifting positions that combine isolationist tendencies with bombast about “kicking “ISIS’s ass,” one of the few consistent points has been his anger about President Obama’s push for détente with Iran.

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PA Results Won’t Be About Cheating

It’s no secret that if Donald Trump is going to win the 2016 election, he’s going to have to win Pennsylvania. That’s a problem considering that the current Real Clear Politics average of polls showing him losing both a 4-way race and a head-to-head matchup with Hillary Clinton by nine percentage points. Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball site has moved the Keystone state from the “leaning” to the “likely” Democrat column.

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An Opportunity in ObamaCare’s Crisis

If New Hampshire Senator Kelly Ayotte is any indication, vulnerable Republican incumbents are getting closer to being focused on their own self-preservation in November. “I am the one candidate that will stand up to whomever is in the White House,” she told CNN on Tuesday amid assurances that her promise to vote for the GOP nominee is no endorsement. It’s a contradictory message that nevertheless dovetails with the embattled senator’s advertising, in which she touts herself as an aisle-crosser who is unafraid to oppose her party when she thinks it’s in the wrong. And there can be little doubt that the popular New Hampshire Republican’s constituents in the Granite State believe the GOP erred greatly by nominating Donald Trump to the presidency.

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Russian Bombers in Iran?

The Associated Press has released a video of Russian warplanes on bombing runs over Syria and said that they took off from a base in Iran. If true, that’s significant because the historical baggage between Russia and Iran is huge notwithstanding their de facto anti-American alliance. (About a month ago, I published a lengthy analysis based on many Iranian and Persian-language sources of the official and unofficial Iranian views toward Iran for some folks over at Fort Leavenworth, a copy of which is here).

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A Conspiracy Theory for President

In Trump’s imagining, the United States is an unexceptional nation. It is beset by outside forces to which it can only respond with cruelty and plunder, by sealing itself off from a troubled world, and by rooting out violent prejudice inside its borders by reviving some of the darkest chapters of its history. To justify these harsh prescriptions for what ails the nation, however, Donald Trump has erected a complex web of fantasies and falsehoods.

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