How Not to Analyze Iran’s Elections

In Iran, elections are anything but free.

Every four years, it’s déjà vu all over again. Pundits, the press, and Iran-watchers indulge in horserace analysis of the Iranian presidential race. Will incumbent Hassan Rouhani win a second term? Could a more conservative candidate like Ebrahim Raisi, the Astan Qods Razavi Foundation head and Assembly of Experts member whose name is also often floated as a potential successor to the Supreme Leader, unseat Rouhani? What about a populist like former President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad?

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How Not to Analyze Iran’s Elections

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