Sleepless in Tehran

One way of judging the effectiveness of the IDF’s campaign against Hamas is to observe the level of nervousness among Hamas’s allies. And with the opening this morning of a northern front — tepidly, with only three rockets — it seems that Damascus and Tehran are feeling the pressure of a Hamas defeat. This defeat is coming in both military and diplomatic forms. So far there is firm international support for a cease-fire arrangement that would prevent the reconstruction of the smuggling tunnels by which Hamas arms and funds itself. The idea is that the IDF will cripple and humiliate Hamas militarily, and the cease-fire will strangle the group into quiescence. Geographically and politically, the latter was impossible in Lebanon. In Gaza, this is not the case; it is a small territory bordered by two countries that wish to see the group destroyed. That’s why Hamas just rejected the French-Egyptian cease-fire — because the group knows that the deal being discussed would all but eliminate its ability to re-arm.

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Sleepless in Tehran

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