Does the Convention Bounce Matter?

Jonathan argued yesterday that Republicans shouldn’t expect much of a post-convention bounce for Romney, since public interest in the conventions (which have become carefully-orchestrated stage shows) seems to have waned in recent years, and the hurricane and Democratic diversionary tactics could distract from the speeches. Two other factors that seem to point against a big bounce: Romney chose his running mate earlier than usual, which means he may not get the additional VP bump. And reports indicate that there are fewer undecided voters out there than in previous years.