GOP Incumbent Losses Will Hurt Too

For most of the past year, much of the prevailing narrative about the 2014 midterm elections has focused on the flood of Democratic retirements in the Senate that have made retaining control of the upper body an increasingly difficult task. While a certain amount of turnover is usual, the retirement of longtime Democratic incumbents in red states like West Virginia, Montana, and South Dakota, as well as vacancies in potential swing states such as Michigan and Iowa have raised the stakes in the competition for the Senate this year. This is all the more crucial since the Democrats are defending far more seats in November, thus raising the prospect of the Senate flipping to the GOP. But anyone who assumes a Republican majority is guaranteed forgets that there were similar opportunities for the GOP to regain the Senate in 2010 and 2012 that were derailed by poor candidates as well as President Obama’s coattails, at least in the latter contest.

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GOP Incumbent Losses Will Hurt Too

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