The Swing Seats Will Be a Bloodbath

According to the latest findings by Glen Bolger of Public Opinion Strategies:

The generic ballot shows Republicans leading 44%-39%. Besides all of the usual regional crosstabs, we also broke it out by the type of district. We looked at the sample in the 66 Democratic INCUMBENT districts that Charlie Cook lists as either toss-up or leaning Democratic at the time of the survey.  In that key crosstab of Swing Democratic Incumbent Seats, the Republican lead grows to 49%-31% on the generic ballot. That is a very powerful crosstab that says the wave is coming.

If Democrats sustain as much damage in the swing seats as Bolger anticipates, it could more than wipe out the gains Democrats made in the House in both the 2006 and 2008 elections. And that would be nothing short of remarkable.